ISW: Ukrainian forces likely liberated Nadiivka village near Pokrovsk
Ukrainian forces have made territorial gains southwest of Pokrovsk while Russian troops continue attacks across multiple settlements in the Donetsk Oblast.
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ISW
155 posts
ISW: Putin doesn’t actually want UN “external governance” for Ukraine — he wants to stall peace talks
Vladimir Putin’s recent suggestion is more than just a provocative statement—it’s part of a strategic effort to delay peace talks, analysts argue.
ISW: Ukraine does not use HIMARS or ATACMS in Kursk, suggesting a US intelligence void
Russian forces have intensified their Kursk offensive as Ukraine’s precision strikes remain inactive, with ISW linking the shift to suspended US support.
ISW: Russia deploys ship-based Orion drones as Ukraine cripples Black Sea fleet
Russia’s Black Sea fleet has suffered severe damage from Ukrainian naval drone attacks, prompting the deployment of ship-based Orion UAVs for the first time.
ISW: Russia shifts forces from captured Kurakhove for new Pokrovsk offensive
Russian troops are redeploying from Kurakhove, captured in late December, to strengthen their position for an offensive around Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast.
Russians have not captured Kurakhove, Deep State analysts challenge ISW
Ukrainian military analysts contradicted American reports of Kurakhove's capture, citing ongoing combat on the town's western and southern edges.
ISW: Ukraine’s Pokrovsk defense alters Russian plans to capture city
Russian forces face mounting personnel and equipment losses in their persistent attempt to capture Pokrovsk.
ISW: Russia exploits US policy uncertainty to pressure European allies on Ukraine, pushes for Ukraine’s complete surrender
Despite recent diplomatic engagement with Western leaders, such as Putin’s call with German Chancellor, the Kremlin shows no sign of backing away from its core demand for Ukraine's unconditional surrender, according to The Institute for the Study of War.
ISW: Significant Russian gains come with unsustainable costs, irreparable losses
Russian forces claim 1500 sq km advance, as they suffer the highest losses of the war: 1,345 daily casualties, 200 tanks, 650 armored vehicles through October.
Putin reaffirms war goals, rules out a ceasefire in Ukraine, Vučić says
Serbia's President claimed Russia's ruler revealed during a phone call that Russia keeps rejecting ceasefire possibilities while pursuing stated military goals.
ISW: Russian advances accelerate but remain slow in eastern Ukraine
Russian forces are advancing at just 14 square kilometers per day in September 2024, compared to 1,265 square kilometers daily in March 2022, according to a new ISW analysis.
ISW: Russian forces deploy up to 600 troops weekly for infantry assaults in one direction
Putin acknowledged ongoing economic challenges during a government meeting but claimed Russia could sustain the longer war.
ISW: Ukrainian forces make gains north of Sudzha in Kursk Oblast
The ISW identifies specific Russian units operating in Kursk Oblast, including elements of the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade and the Alabai reconnaissance group.
ISW: West may underestimate benefits of long-range strikes for Ukraine
The Institute for the Study of War suggests that Russia's covert operations aimed at undermining European stability and NATO readiness are likely to persist or intensify, irrespective of whether Ukraine receives long-range strike capabilities from Western allies.
ISW: Russian military pursues dual tactical efforts around Pokrovsk
Russian forces are executing a two-pronged tactical effort to create favorable conditions for an assault on Pokrovsk, according to a new ISW report.
ISW: Russian forces making significant gains toward Pokrovsk, Ukrainian forces entrenching in Kursk Oblast
Ukrainian forces are reportedly digging in to hold newly captured areas in Russia's Kursk Oblast, while Russian troops make significant advances southeast of Pokrovsk in eastern Ukraine. These contrasting situations highlight the fluid nature of the conflict, with both sides achieving localized gains in different sectors of the expansive battlefront.
Hundreds of Russian military targets within range of Ukrainian ATACMS, ISW finds
ISW's report identifies 245 Russian military and paramilitary objects within ATACMS range. The study challenges US restrictions on Ukraine's use of long-range missiles, arguing that Russian asset redeployment does not diminish the strategic importance of these targets.
ISW: Ukraine’s ability to strike Russian rear crucial for degrading Russia’s capabilities
The ISW reports that Russian forces are leveraging deep rear areas for various military infrastructure, emphasizing the need for Ukraine's long-range strike capability.
ISW: Ukraine’s surprise Kursk incursion exposes gaps in Russia’s strategic planning
Despite significant investments in border fortifications, Russia's defenses proved inadequate during a recent Ukrainian Kursk incursion. ISW analysts predict this development may prompt Russian military leaders to allocate more resources for border protection and impact its large-scale offensive operations.
Kremlin downplays Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast — ISW
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports that the Kremlin has chosen to declare a counterterrorism operation in response to the Ukrainian incursion into Russia's Kursk region rather than impose martial law to downplay the scale of the incursion and prevent domestic panic or backlash.