ISW: Russia continues deepening relations with North Korea and Iran in exchange for lethal weaponry
Through the delivery of lethal weaponry from North Korea and Iran, Russia is able to continue its military campaign against Ukraine.
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ISW
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ISW: Ukraine continue targeting Russian air defense systems to set conditions to field F-16s
Ukrainian forces have destroyed 20 S-300 launchers and 15 radar stations, setting the stage for F-16 fighter jet deployment, according to a new ISW report.
ISW: Ukrainian Forces aim to regain tactical initiative
The scale of Ukrainian attacks and the possibility of conducting a new offensive of operational significance will largely depend on the scale of the military supplies from the West.
ISW: Ukraine makes progress near Hlyboke in Kharkiv Oblast, while Russia advances near Siversk in Donetsk Oblast
Recent geolocated footage indicates Russian forces have advanced in Krasnohorivka and near Siversk, while Ukrainian forces made progress north of Kharkiv City.
ISW: Surge in Russian attacks in Donetsk Oblast signals potential summer offensive
This increased activity contrasts with a drastic decrease in Russian offensive operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast.
ISW: Russia charges Ukrainian officials with crimes in absentia as part of its efforts to insinuate that Ukraine should not exist
Russia charges Ukrainian military officials with crimes in absentia, demonstrating its refusal to recognize Ukraine's sovereignty. It also placed NATO officials on wanted lists for "violating Russian laws" in their own countries, setting stage for potential aggression
Russo-Ukrainian war, day 816: Intense fighting along the entire front line
The General Staff of Ukraine reports that intense fighting is ongoing between Russian and Ukrainian forces.
ISW: Kharkiv offensive slows, but Russia fixes Ukrainian forces along border
Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that Russian troops advanced 10 km before Ukrainian forces "stabilized the situation."
ISW: Russia unlikely to seize Kharkiv City despite offensive efforts
While Russia is unlikely to seize Kharkiv City, 2nd largest city in Ukraine, due to a lack of sufficient combat-effective forces, its offensive in the oblast aims to enable breakthroughs elsewhere in eastern Ukraine, allowing Russian advances in Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts.
ISW: Ukraine must seize initiative on battlefield to counter Russian advantages
Waiting until 2025 to launch a counteroffensive would cede the theater-wide initiative to Russia for over a year, allowing it to shape conditions, a new report warns.
ISW: Russian forces pose credible threat of seizing Chasiv Yar
They're intensifying efforts since March, trying to capture the city before US aid boosts Ukraine's defenses.
ISW: Russia may have prepared for ATACMS threat due to US aid delays
ISW suggests that Russian forces might have already taken measures to adapt to the potential Ukrainian ATACMS strikes after Ukraine first used them in October 2023.
ISW: Russia likely to ramp up offensive before US military aid reaches Ukraine
Russian troops have had tactical successes over the past six months due to deteriorating Ukrainian military supplies and equipment, but it's unlikely they'll achieve a breakthrough to rupture the front lines.
ISW: Ukrainian ammo shortages hinder defense against even depleted Russian forces
ISW reported even earlier that low Russian morale affected the prospects of Russian offensive operations. However, the report said, "Ukraine's current material shortages may make it difficult for Ukrainian forces to defend against Russian forces — even those that are exhausted and unmotivated."
ISW: Russian forces likely capture Pervomayske, southwest of Avdiivka
However, some Russian sources claim that Russia has not fully captured the village, one of the hottest points in the ongoing war, but reached the west of Pervomayske
The Telegraph: Russia uses prohibited chemical weapons in Ukraine nearly daily
Ukrainian Support Forces Command recorded 371 cases of Russians using chemical weapons in March 2024 alone.
ISW: US sanctions continue to impact Russian financial ties to neighboring countries
As Russia is trying to find ways to circumvent the sanctions applied to its economy, it is experiencing difficulties because of the impact of Western sanctions in neighboring states.
ISW: Russia ties West to “terrorism” to rally support for war in Ukraine
Russian authorities are preparing to ramp up accusations that the United States and its Western allies are sponsoring "terrorist" attacks against Russia, a rhetorical ploy likely aimed at shoring up domestic support for the war in Ukraine.
ISW: Russia attacks Ukraine’s energy system to undermine defense industry
Russian forces are likely trying to exploit Ukrainian air defense missile shortages in a renewed attempt to collapse Ukraine's energy grid, ISW reported.
ISW: Putin’s post-election speech signals continued reliance on FSB
Putin's appeals to the FSB likely indicate that Russian security services and siloviki (Russian strongmen with political influence) will continue representing his core constituency in his fifth presidential term, following the challenge posed by deceased Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin.