"Small Russian advances", in particular 2 km near the strategic town of Avdiivka since October, came at the cost of thousands killed, according to British intelligence.
Throughout November, daily Russian military casualties in Ukraine averaged 931 killed or wounded per day, reported by UK intelligence as "plausible."
British intel: Russia will likely bring the Soviet-era M-55 high-altitude reconnaissance aircraft back into service
The aircraft will help Russia establish timely and accurate prosecution of targets by air, sea, and ground forces.
Ukrainian and Russian forces are locked in a fierce battle, but no major changes in the frontline are expected as winter sets in.
UK intel: Russia integrates radar plane with S2A missile system eyeing Ukraine’s future Western jets
Russia likely speeds up integration of an airborne radar with a surface-to-air missile system, bracing for Western combat aircraft in Ukraine, and considers riskier frontline flights.
Poor Russian discipline in its military likely remains the lack of opportunity for combat troops to rotate away from the frontline, the UK intel said.
Following the unity in July 2023 and the subsequent death of Wagner’s leadership in August 2023, large elements of Wagner Group have been assimilated into the command structure of Russia’s National Guard (Rosgvardiya)
Ukraine's advance remains "relatively static" and a major Russian assault has floundered due to sturdy defences on both sides, according to the British intel
Russo-Ukrainian war, day 609: Russia flexes nuclear muscles, Ukraine aid opponent becomes new US House speaker
Rep. Mike Johnson was elected House speaker. Russia conducted drills of Strategic Nuclear Forces and announced its withdrawal from the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty.
Notably, Russian assaults near Avdiivka have led to a 90% increase in casualties.
British intel: Ukraine’s strikes at Berdyansk and Luhansk airfields reduce Russia’s capabilities at the front
Russia’s losses will likely have an impact on its army’s ability both to defend and conduct further offensive activity on this axis.
While pauses in Russian airstrikes have occurred before, the current three-week lull is the longest since spring 2023
The number likely higher now, as psychologists identified this in December 2022; doctors in Russia send such military personnel to fight to the front, so its combat capability is low.
The Kremlin may postpone any new mobilization drives until after Russia's March 2024 presidential vote, as new call-up could prove politically damaging.
Russo-Ukrainian war, day 590: Russia is relocating its Black Sea Fleet away from Crimea due to Ukrainian strikes
As Russia moves its Black Sea Fleet away from Crimea, Ukrainian forces claim minor gains near Bakhmut and Zaporizhzhia.
Russia is building reinforced bunkers and trenches along the Orikhiv axis, indicating worries about Ukrainian forces breaching Russia's grip on the occupied area in Melitopol's direction
Russia may use sea mines to target civilian shipping in the Black Sea to deter the Ukrainian grain exports, according to intelligence data, shared by the UK Foreign Office.
Russia successfully manipulates its public opinion behind the state's anti-West, pro-war narratives using the 'foreign agent' designation – UK intelligence.
As per British intel, apparently leaked Russian finance documents suggest the country's 2024 defense budget will jump to about $112 billion, around 6% of GDP and a 68% increase, as the country prepares for extended fighting.
Putin's meeting with Troshev, who contributed to the Wagner’s insurrection in June, and Yevkurov, pictured touring African states, indicates Russia continues utilization of Wagner veterans as they can "demonstrate their loyalty to the state and maintain involvement in the Global South."