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Ukraine intercepts just 1 of 6 Russian ballistic missiles near Kyiv as air defense catch rate drops below 50%

The missiles that got through killed one, injured three, and left a trail of destruction in Kyiv this morning.
The aftermath of the Russian missile strike on Kyiv, 6 April 2025. Photo: DIM
Ukraine intercepts just 1 of 6 Russian ballistic missiles near Kyiv as air defense catch rate drops below 50%

Russian forces launched six ballistic missiles at Ukrainian territory on 6 April, with only one successfully intercepted by Ukraine’s Air Force. The remaining missiles struck Kyiv and surrounding areas.

“Unfortunately, of the six ballistic missiles, only one was destroyed. The others — regrettably — hit their targets. In Kyiv Oblast,” Yuriy Ignat, head of the Communication Department of the Air Force Command, told Ukrainian TV.

Despite this, Ukrainian forces did manage to neutralize 12 Caliber and X-101 cruise missiles using electronic warfare systems, preventing them from reaching their targets and causing further damage.

The attack was part of a larger combined Russian assault involving 132 air assault weapons, including 23 different types of missiles and 109 combat drones.

Evolving Russian threat

Ignat highlighted the challenge of keeping pace with Russia’s evolving weaponry.

“After the deployment of Patriot systems, we’ve seen good results, like intercepting ‘Kinzhal’ and ‘Iskander’ missiles,” he said. “But it’s becoming more difficult as the enemy modernizes their missiles.”

He noted that Russian Shahed drones have undergone several modifications since their introduction and that Russia has increased its use of ballistic missiles since early 2024. Ukraine shares this intelligence with Western partners to encourage upgrades to defense systems like NASAMS and IRIS-T needed to counter these threats.

On 6 April, the ballistic missiles targeted three of Kyiv’s districts, killing one person and injuring three others. The strikes caused a fire in non-residential buildings, destroyed one structure, and left three parked cars ablaze.

The attack also damaged several media outlets, including Freedom TV, Dim, UATV (English, Spanish, Arabic, Portuguese editions), The Gaze, and various digital departments and technical services.

Air defense challenges grow

This strike follows a 4 April attack on Kryvyi Rih with an Iskander-M ballistic missile that also evaded interception. That combined missile and drone attack killed 19 people, including 9 children.

According to a recent analysis by The Telegraph, Ukraine’s air defense effectiveness has declined from above 60% last summer to below 50% recently. Meanwhile, Russian drone attacks have increased by more than 50% since US-led peace talks began in mid-February, with daily attacks rising from 101 to 154 drones on average.

“It’s clear that the Russians were trying to exploit the pause in intelligence sharing,” said Karolina Hird, an analyst at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

She noted that Russia has shifted to long-range drones that are better able to penetrate Ukrainian defenses.

“The Russian strike packages are getting bigger and more effective,” Hird observed, calling this “incongruent with Russian claims that they are ready for peace.”

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