Russia unlikely to achieve significant breakthrough near Bakhmut in coming weeks – British intel

Russia unlikely to achieve significant breakthrough near Bakhmut in coming weeks – British intel


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In its January 3 intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine, the British Defense Ministry suggests that Russian assaults on the city of Bakhmut, Donetsk Oblast, peaked in mid-December, and that now Russia is unlikely to achieve a significant breakthrough in the area in the upcoming weeks.

Bakhmut remains the main target of Russian offensive operations for several months now.

The ministry tweeted:

  • “In mid-December, Russian military and Wagner proxy forces likely increased the frequency of their infantry assaults around the Donetsk Oblast town of Bakhmut. However, many of these operations were poorly supported.”
  • “Over the last ten days, Ukraine has committed significant reinforcements to defend the sector and the frequency of Russian assaults have likely reduced from the peak in mid-December. Both sides have suffered high casualties.”
  • “Russian offensive operations in the area are now likely being conducted at only platoon or section level. It is unlikely Russia will achieve a significant breakthrough near Bakhmut in the coming weeks.”

Read also:

Russian advance rate slowed down at Bakhmut yet it’s too early to assess if Russia’s Bakhmut offensive culminated – ISW

Russo-Ukrainian War. Day 301: Zelenskyy visits Bakhmut

Bakhmut direction is tough because of Wagner PMC “competition” with regular Russian army – Ukrainian servicewoman

Russia’s months-long disproportionately costly Bakhmut offensive became political objective for Russia – British Intelligence


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