After two fails, Putin starts ‘third stage’ of war against Ukraine, Piontkovsky says

Russian troops

 

2017/03/17 - 06:29 • Analysis & Opinion, Politics, Russia, War in the Donbas

Andrey Piontkovsky, prominent Russian scientist, political writer and analyst

Andrey Piontkovsky

Vladimir Putin’s effort to create “Novorossiya” and his subsequent one to force Ukraine to accept Moscow-controlled bandit territories as part of its state have both failed, Andrey Piontkovsky says. And so the Kremlin leader has opened “a third stage” in his war campaign by “openly supporting” these territories and raising the level of military provocations.

The Russian commentator says that

Moscow’s latest moves, including the recognition of the passports of the “DNR” and “LNR,” the official introduction of the Russian ruble in the occupied territory, and the tighter integration of the economies of these bandit enclaves into Russia make it clear to all who is responsible for tearing up the Minsk Accords.

Despite the fact that it has been “clear from the very beginning” that Russia had no plans to fulfill the Minsk Accords, won’t withdraw its forces from the Ukrainian territory or hand over control of the Ukraine-Russia state border adjacent to the temporarily-occupied territory to Ukraine, Moscow has played a diplomatic game intended to muddy the waters by insisting on the question “’who is the main violator?’”

Ukraine has been restrained in its response because its chief European supporters, France and Germany, “have devoted very great significance to the Minsk Accords,” despite the fact that Russian actions made them a dead letter even before they were signed. But now Moscow’s actions have made that clear to all, Piontkovsky says, and Ukraine can respond.

Kyiv’s blockade is “a very correct step, a demonstration that the game about the Minsk agreements is ended, that Russia doesn’t plan to fulfill them, and now violates them.” And it means that Ukraine now has “all bases for considering these territories as temporarily occupied just like Crimea.”

“This is a positive leap forward,” Piontkovsky says. Moreover, as far as the Kremlin is concerned, Moscow will “cease all false talk about the restoration of the territorial integrity of Ukraine and will begin to raise still further the subject-ness of these territories and, in this way, ever more openly show the aggressive nature of its policy.”

Piontkovsky says that he thinks that among Moscow’s next steps will be a change in the leadership of the “DNR” and “LNR,” involving the political “reanimation” of Ukraine’s former president Yanukovych and his prime-minister Azarov [both escaped to Russia after the Revolution of Dignity in 2014 and currently live there – Ed.] in order to put forward the absurd claim that they and the territories Moscow controls are the legitimate Ukraine and that the rest of the country is in the hands of usurpers.

To promote that idea, Moscow will have to come up with more assistance economic and military, the Russian commentator says, putting more strain on its own economy. In this situation, no full-scale military attack against Kyiv is likely, but Moscow will support more provocations as well as efforts to expand the “DNR” and “LNR” to the oblast lines.

But more important even than the burden all this will place on the Russian government, this action of “naked aggression” will spark a political reaction from the West. “This is the price which Putin will pay for his adventure,” one he can’t turn away from, at least until after the Russian presidential campaign.

Indeed, given that Putin has nothing to offer Russians except imperial fantasies, he will likely make additional moves in that direction, including toward the incorporation of South Ossetia into the Russian Federation or against his sometime ally Alyaksandr Lukashenka in Belarus.

The Kremlin leader may even launch new adventures in Africa, Piontkovsky says. But “all these steps of Putin” offered by him as evidence that Russia has risen from its knees and is again a world power will, in the end, “lead only to the collapse of the Russian state.”


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Edited by: A. N.

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  • Dirk Smith

    Fascism 101. Keep the various ‘enemy’ distractions rolling while usurping the country from within. Putin is simply an international mafia syndicate that occasionally governs. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/909fb896695040a7e6343e9114cd9d115d0fdd09621f90d1a0cf29bbee167b02.jpg

    • Victor Victory

      His mouth waters when he looks at gold

      • veth

        And small boys……

        • Victor Victory

          Ahahaha

  • Dagwood Bumstead

    What makes Pedo Vladito Putolini believe he will succeed the third time round when he failed twice already? To expand the so-called LNR and DNR to the oblast borders will require a full-scale offensive. Even if the dwarf achieves this, it will only come at a huge cost in dead and wounded Kolorads, not to mention the financial cost of taking over territory that will be devastated by battle. He can’t even afford the cost of rebuilding the current occupied zones as Dwarfstan is running out of cash and he isn’t going to pay out of his own pocket, nor are his crooked cronies. They haven’t been robbing Dwarfstan left, right and centre to hand back their ill-gotten gains.
    It took the Kolorads over 6 months to take the ruins of Donetsk airport at a huge cost in lives, an advance of a few hundred yards. At that rate Dwarfstan will be literally bled to death by the time the Kolorads reach the oblast borders- if they ever do.

    • Victor Victory

      He’s mentally challenged, he really thinks he will conquer the world.

    • Kruton

      Putin is a police officer not a soldier.

      • Quartermaster

        Not even that. He was an intelligence operative.

        • Kruton

          All police forces do intel.

  • Robert

    In America exists a strong Proverb: 3 strikes and you’re out. It’s a Baseball ‘thing’. vlady’s WAY past his 3 strikes! he’s nothing … Nothing! … NOTHING!!! … other than a ‘Has Been’, ‘Wanna be’ … he’s got nothing left … except for his Very Important Appearances in the Hague … the International Criminal Court in the Hague … it’s that Simple! vlady’s got nothing … Nothing! … NOTHING!!! to look forward to … other than the ICC. :)

  • Mykola Banderachuk

    the second greatest day in human history is the collapse of the russian empire, aka russia, of course the greatest day in human history was the collapse of the ussr.

  • Kruton

    Surrender Bolshevik savages or be annihilated!

  • zorbatheturk

    Stomp the Putinator. The world has had enough of this tinpot dictator and his evil ways.