Russia trying to reintroduce false narrative that it is open for negotiations – ISW
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated on February 28 that Russian officials are open to negotiations to end the…
Russia’s offensive has begun in Luhansk Oblast – ISW
Russian forces have regained the initiative in Ukraine and have begun their next major offensive in Luhansk Oblast.…
Russia may be rushing to launch offensive in Donbas without sufficient combat power – ISW
Russian military command may be rushing to launch a large-scale offensive operation to conquer Donetsk Oblast in an…
Russia didn’t show capacity to sustain multiple major offensive operations – ISW
Russian decisive offensive operations are unlikely to target Zaporizhzhia City from the western Donetsk–Zaporizhzhia frontline as the Russian…
Russia might attempt new major offensive in coming months most likely in Luhansk Oblast – ISW
Russian officials, Kremlin advisors, and other unspecified knowledgeable figures who spoke on condition of anonymity reportedly told Bloomberg that…
Russia likely preparing decisive strategic action in Ukraine in the next six months – ISW
Russia has failed to achieve most of its major operational objectives in Ukraine over the past eleven months.…
Russia to struggle to keep pace of operations as it burns through its artillery ammo stocks – ISW
Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (HUR) Chief Kyrylo Budanov reported on December 31 that Russian forces in Ukraine…
Russian FM Lavrov claims Russia will continue hostilities until Ukraine’s capitulation – ISW
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated that the Kremlin will continue to pursue a military solution to the…
Russian advance rate slowed down at Bakhmut yet it’s too early to assess if Russia’s Bakhmut offensive culminated – ISW
Russian forces’ rate of advance in the Bakhmut area has likely slowed in recent days, although it is…
Russian defense minister wants army increased to 1.5 mn troops which is unlikely in short run – ISW
Shoigu publicly presented a series of proposed Russian defense policy changes to significantly increase the size of the…
Prigozhin continued efforts to legitimize his Wagner Group as a parastatal armed force – ISW
Prigozhin complained on December 18 that the local St. Petersburg authorities refused to bury a Wagner Group fighter…
Kremlin likely not abandoned its maximalist objectives in Ukraine – ISW
The Kremlin likely has not abandoned its maximalist objectives in Ukraine despite Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov’s first-time acknowledgment…
Russia likely wants West’s preemptive concessions offered it for entering negotiations with Ukraine – ISW
Russia is attempting to capitalize on the Western desire for negotiations to create a dynamic in which Western…
Russian forces made marginal gains around Donetsk’s Bakhmut on Nov 29 but not as large as Russians claim – ISW
Russian forces made marginal gains around Bakhmut on November 29, but Russian forces remain unlikely to have advanced…