Russo-Ukrainian war, day 1602: Allies rally around Kyiv, but air defense still lags behind war’s pace

Meanwhile, Russia’s oil refining has collapsed to its lowest level since 2005 after months of sustained Ukrainian drone strikes, sending global diesel prices climbing.
Russo-Ukrainian war (daily review)
Russo-Ukrainian war, day 1602: Allies rally around Kyiv, but air defense still lags behind war’s pace

Exclusives

Ukraine's premier listed a record year to the parliament that dismissed her. No one in Kyiv has said why. Her own farewell leaves out the name that would explain it.
Hungary swapped its pro-Russian prime minister. Yet it is still slowing Ukraine's path to the EU.. Hungary has allowed two stages of Ukraine's EU talks to open while holding up the other four. Péter Magyar is no Viktor Orbán, but years of anti-Ukraine politics might still make blocking Kyiv safer than helping it.
The US Army's former commander in Europe is "withholding applause" for Trump's Patriot pledge—and expects no interceptors before winter.. Ben Hodges is pretty certain Ukraine will build no Patriot interceptors for three to six months. Until then, Ukraine will remain dependent on allied supplies—amid a global interceptor shortage.
A $50 computer just flew Russia's newest jet drone into a Ukrainian grain ship—and jamming couldn't stop it. Russia's fast, highly autonomous Geran-4 one-way attack drone is the weapon of choice for strikes on Ukrainian grain ships.
Russia has the oil. It no longer has the gasoline—so Russians are learning to make their own. Ukraine's drone campaign has cut Russian refining to its lowest level since March 2005—and the diesel Russia can no longer sell is driving world fuel prices to multiyear highs.
Russia stalled bankruptcy reform for six years—then passed it in two days. Russian companies owe more than the country produces in a year, and a reform frozen since 2020 was cleared by parliament in two days.

Military

Ukraine sank Russian ship that shot at its sailors in 2018 with Sargan-3000 naval drone. The satellite image confirms the destruction of the Russian border patrol ship Izumrud at the mooring wall.

Consequences of own destruction: Russia is stripping canal it killed to fix Crimean substations Ukraine keeps hitting. ATESH says Russia has begun removing 10-40 MVA transformers from Northern Crimean Canal pumping stations, idle since Moscow destroyed the Kakhovka dam.

116 Russian ships in nine days: One big export tanker needs 12–15 small ones to fill it. Ukraine is burning the small ones. Three drone units carried out the latest overnight strikes under operation MoLoChKa, whose name reads like Ukrainian slang for dairy products.

A plant making 150 products from gasoline to polyethylene caught fire 1,300 km from the war zone—Ukraine hits two refineries overnight. Fires broke out at the Afipsky refinery's tank farm area, the Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat complex, and, likely, the Rosneft-Opt depot next door, monitoring channels and Astra report.

Ukraine put armed robot on Russian-held ground. Naval drone was landing craft. Ukraine's 123rd Brigade delivered a ground robot to the Russian-held Kinburn Spit aboard an unmanned surface vessel and landed it to fight.

Intelligence and technology

Ukraine kills Russian radars with drones, then strikes through gap. France flew both in one package on jet Ukraine gets in 2028. Dassault and Harmattan AI say a Rafale F4 controlled a drone carrying the new NAMIB system, which found a simulated enemy radar dozens of kilometers away.

Denmark sent Ukraine something essential that keeps F-16 parts airworthy.

Ukraine is building a flight school under fire—and the simulator delivery shows how fast. Scarce jets, contested skies, no fixed base that can stay hidden. Ukraine's answer: train pilots on Ukrainian soil, in equipment that moves.

Europe's answer to the Patriot costs $700,000 a shot—and no foreign government can switch it off. Ten nations joined the coalition. Ukraine has the missile. Germany has the seeker Ukraine still needs to sign for. Nobody has an intercept yet — and the clock says 12 months

Russia's ex-space chief calls for "systematic zeroing out" of the Starlink satellite constellation. Senator Dmitry Rogozin claims cutting Ukraine off from SpaceX's network would end the war within two to three weeks — and that Russia knows several ways to do it.

International

Ukrainian pilots opened the Bastille Day flypast from French fighter jets. Macron's last parade as president had no American aircraft and one deliberate message. Ukraine flew it

Hungary votes to remove Orbán-loyal president as Magyar dismantles Fidesz system. The constitutional amendment targets Tamás Sulyok and caps lawmakers' tenure at 12 years. Magyar's break with Orbán remains sharper at home than on Ukraine.

Two months in office, three blows to Ukraine: Bulgaria's premier stacks Coalition of the Willing exit on aid freeze and sanctions blocks. Since May, Radev has stopped state military aid, defended two prominent Russians from EU blacklists, and now removed Bulgaria from the group backing Kyiv against Russian aggression.

Warsaw refuses to lift its embargo on Ukrainian agricultural products. The new EU-Ukraine trade agreement should erase all unilateral restrictions from November, yet Poland, Slovakia, and Hungary hold on to their own bans.

Humanitarian and social impact

Polish man approached passerby in Łódź and hit him twice in head. Police say he took him for Ukrainian. Police in Łódź are searching for a man who fractured a passerby's nose and jaw after mistaking him for a Ukrainian.

Ukrainian new state award's second criterion contributes to security of all Europe. 271 MPs backed a new state award for services to Ukraine's EU accession, a day before the EU is due to open Ukraine's sixth negotiating cluster.

Ukraine votes to dismiss its PM. She hasn't accepted the exit job offered. Three sources say the outgoing premier is not considering the Washington posting used to justify her removal.

Olenivka officials and Taganrog jail land on EU sanctions list for abuse of Ukrainian prisoners. Brussels adopted the listings under two human-rights regimes, targeting the command chains of detention facilities in occupied Ukraine and inside Russia.

"Incredible legacy for him": Days after Graham's death, Trump says he's ready to move on his Russia sanctions bill. Trump supports the sanctions package the late Senator Lindsey Graham spent two years trying to pass. The Senate needs a new lead sponsor.

Ukraine's Supreme Court refused to lift Zelenskyy's sanctions on opposition leader. The Supreme Court rejected Poroshenko's challenge to sanctions that freeze his assets and strip his state awards. He says the judges were pressured.

Read our earlier daily review here.

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