IMF withdraws previous scenario for Ukraine. New outlook is much more gloomy — but not without silver lining
The IMF just changed its baseline assumption on the country.
Browsing Tag
inflation
19 posts
Ukraine spent a year beating wartime inflation. A different war just reversed it.
Fuel costs surged 23% in March as the Middle East war pushed prices past the central bank’s forecast—and a rate hike is now on the table.
“What else is he going to say?” US Treasury head dismisses Russian “propagandist” Dmitriev’s claims that sanctions don’t hurt
Dmitriev claimed sanctions would have no impact, but Bessent stresses that oil profits down 20%, inflation above 20%, and Russia’s wartime economy reeling.
Ukraine cuts inflation forecast to 9.7% despite ongoing war
Country defies economic patterns typically seen in countries fighting for survival
UN diplomat: Russia’s war is global catastrophe, not regional conflict
Bob Rae says Moscow’s war fueled chaos far beyond Ukraine.
Frontline report: Russia faces oil price collapse as OPEC+ hikes production again
With Urals crude at its lowest since 2023, Moscow’s budget faces major damage.
UK intel: Russia struggles to curb inflation as bankruptcies likely to surge
Russia’s ruble rises to 81 per dollar, but inflation hits 10.1%, deepening fiscal strain as energy revenues shrink in ruble terms, per UK intelligence.
ISW: Poll shows Russians increasingly support war on Ukraine despite economic toll
46% of Russians support the invasion of Ukraine, rejecting troops withdrawal without Kyiv's full capitulation, while 54% report worsening war-related hardships.
Reuters: Russian authorities see rising economic risks, internal reports show
Sources close to the news outlet note that Vladimir Putin himself has grown increasingly concerned about Russia's economy.
“Running around on cocaine”: Analysts unveil fragile foundations of Russian wartime growth
Analysts warn that the Kremlin’s reliance on shadow financing, soaring inflation, and a labor shortage are creating cracks in the facade of resilience, with some predicting a looming financial crisis driven by unsustainable military spending.
ISW: Russian economy shows distress signs despite Kremlin’s strong-year-for-economy claims
As the war against Ukraine strains Russia’s economy, the Kremlin launches a campaign to project false stability despite mounting fiscal challenges.
Ukraine central bank predicts inflation to rise in first months of 2025
Lower agricultural yields and rising business costs will drive inflation higher in the first months of 2025, Ukraine's central bank warned.
Ukraine’s economic growth expected to reach 4% in 2024, but slow in 2025 due to labor shortages
A return to Black Sea trade boosts 2024 growth, but labor and energy constraints dampen longer-term prospects.
ISW: Putin claims GDP grew 4.1% in 2024 as cash savings hit historical low
Amid concerns over inflation, the Russian Central Bank is contemplating a 25% interest rate hike, signaling economic challenges despite Putin’s claims of growth.
UK intelligence: Inflation and sanctions push Russia’s economy towards increased financial strain
High interest rates constrain investment, increase debt costs and bankruptcies amid inflation and sanctions, per British intelligence.
Russia doesn’t have endless resources, its economy nearing tipping point, expert says
Russia's finite resources, strained by inflation, labor shortages, dwindling stockpiles, and sanctions, make it difficult to sustain its war effort beyond 2025-2026, as per military analyst Anders Puck Nielsen.
UK intel: Defense spending drives inflation surge in Russia
Russia's economy faces heightened inflation, mainly due to surges in defense spending, challenging economic stability amid its war in Ukraine. The Central Bank's policies and the risk of an overheating economy present additional complexities in managing the situation, as per UK intelligence.
Ukraine’s Central Bank chief resigns in protest of demands to “print money,” raise inflation, and devaluate hryvnia
Ukraine’s Central Bank (NBU, Natsionalnyi Bank Ukrayiny) was built in 1911, before the Soviet era; unlike all the…
Ex-Finance Minister: Because of sanctions, Russia will lose $20bn annually
Because of Western sanctions, the Russian economy will lose annually more than $20bn. The former Finance Minister Alexei…