ISW says Estonia's report aligns with its assessments of Russia's ongoing military and societal preparations for a future war with NATO "in the medium to long term."
Russia's military expansion continues with new divisions, deeper ties with North Korea, and expanded defense production, suggesting no interest in peace.
Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence says Russian government eliminates signing bonuses for prison recruits joining Moscow's war in Ukraine amid the economic strain.
Russia faces medium to long-term constraints in force generation and military-industrial production, undermining Russia's ability to overwhelm Ukraine through attrition.
Russia plans to allocate almost $1 billion for military contract payments from 2025 to 2027, indicating a continued reliance on crypto-mobilization for Ukraine war manpower.
Russia forms a commission to centralize volunteer recruitment, signaling manpower struggles for the Ukraine war and Putin's reluctance toward further mobilization, per ISW.