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Analysis of events in Ukraine

6 minute read

Analysis

Budget crunch: Will Germany keep supporting Ukraine?

One of Ukraine's strongest allies has imposed a spending cap despite Ukraine's ongoing offensive in Russia's Kursk Oblast, fearing the surge of far-right parties in coming elections. But experts warn, "If Russia wins, we'd need to find much, much more in Germany's budget.''

byBenjamin Looijen

7 minute read

Analysis

Ukraine ratifies Rome Statute: how it aids prosecuting Russian war crimes

After two decades of hesitation, Ukraine has finally ratified the Rome Statute, potentially unleashing a flood of war crime prosecutions against Russian perpetrators in the International Criminal Court.

byVira Kravchuk

Expert Warns: “Azerbaijani” Gas May Mask Russian Energy's EU Return

5 minute read

Analysis

Expert warns: “Azerbaijani” gas may mask Russian energy’s EU return

As China shatters the Kremlin’s dream to make up for lost gas exports to the EU, an unexpected new player enters the European gas chessboard. However, Baku’s gas offer is but a Trojan horse, warns energy expert Mykhailo Gonchar.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

telegraph putin throws young cannon fodder kursk maintains offensive ukraine ukrainian soldiers taking down russian flag vnezapnoe village oblast screenshot from video tsn

10 minute read

Analysis

Kursk Oblast: Where Russia’s “historical lands” argument falls apart

As Ukrainian troops advance into Kursk Oblast, they encounter an unexpected ally: history itself. Ironically, Russia's justification for invading Ukraine crumbles on its own soil.

byBohdan Ben

5 minute read

Analysis

Ukraine turns Tesla and Toyota eco-cars into DIY hydrogen bomb drone

Ukrainian troops successfully deployed a Tesla-powered ground drone carrying a Toyota Mirai hydrogen tank bomb against Russian-occupied positions, an operation that may soon feature in military textbooks.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

6 minute read

Analysis

Why Russia clings to gas lifeline amid Ukraine’s Kursk incursion

Russia once used reduced gas flows to the EU at a weapon to pressure the bloc into Kremlin-friendly policies. Now, it is desperate to merely preserve the status quo

byAlya Shandra

Kursk incursion: why is Ukraine taking the war to Russian soil?

6 minute read

Analysis

Kursk incursion: why is Ukraine taking the war to Russian soil?

As Ukrainian forces advance into Russia's Kursk Oblast, Kyiv maintains silence. Only Mykhailo Podoliak, a presidential advisor, comments, suggesting the incursion could influence future peace talks.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

4 minute read

Analysis

Is Kamala Harris’ VP pick Tim Walz a Ukraine hawk with China ties?

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz brings a strong pro-Ukraine stance to the Harris ticket, but his past China connections may raise eyebrows.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

Ukrainian defense industry's first cruise missile Neptun

5 minute read

Analysis

Ukraine’s defense diplomacy: How Kyiv shepherds Western aid into domestic arms

Ukraine’s weapons producers are operating at only 30% of their capacity. The Ukrainian state is trying to bridge this gap by attracting Western funds to its cheap and effective domestic arms producers. Are they succeeding?

byBohdan BenandbyBohdan Miroshnichenko

Shadow of the Empire: Why Russia's Ethnic Minorities Fear Independence

7 minute read

Shadow of the empire: Why Russia’s indigenous nations fear independence

Shunned both by the West and Russia’s liberal opposition, indigenous activists find new ways to challenge Russia’s colonial ways — and rekindle their people’s will to independence.

byBohdan Ben

How Ukraine's Lukoil Ban Threatens Hungary's Cheap Russian Oil Lifeline

4 minute read

Analysis

How Ukraine’s Lukoil ban threatens Hungary’s cheap Russian oil lifeline

Ukraine's recent sanctions on Russian oil giant Lukoil have sent shockwaves through Central Europe, exposing Hungary's reliance on discounted Russian crude.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

Ukrainian soldier firing artillery, illustrative image. Photo via Eastnews.ua.

13 minute read

Analysis

Support Ukraine now or pay more later, Dutch think tanks tell West

Two prominent Dutch think tanks warn that scaling back aid to Ukraine could lead to far greater costs for Western nations in the future, urging continued support despite short-term financial pressures.

byBenjamin Looijen

7 minute read

Analysis

Can Ukraine’s coming F-16s crack fortress Crimea?

After a long wait, Ukraine expects F-16 jets to arrive soon. Will they enable a rapid counteroffensive? Experts are split.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

How EU firms funnel electronics to Russia’s war machine via an obscure Turkish firm

5 minute read

Analysis

How EU firms funnel electronics to Russia’s war machine via an obscure Turkish firm

A joint European media investigation has uncovered how Promtech, a sprawling Russian corporation, continues to source critical Western components for tanks, drones, missiles and much more despite sanctions.

bytrapaggressorandbyYevheniia Martyniuk

Eyes in the sky: How Ukraine is battling Russia's drone intelligence network

6 minute read

Analysis

Eyes in the sky: How Ukraine is battling Russia’s drone intelligence network

Russian reconnaissance drones once dominated Ukraine's skies, but a new player has entered the game. Modified FPV quadcopters, costing just $1000 each, are now hunting down their more expensive counterparts in a high-stakes aerial duel.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

6 minute read

Analysis

Summit in Washington: Ukraine’s NATO dream deferred, but not dead

At the 75th NATO summit in Washington, leaders prioritized bolstering Ukraine's defense capabilities while sidestepping the question of NATO membership, leaving Kyiv to navigate an uncertain path towards future accession.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

5 minute read

Analysis

Russia struck Kyiv children’s hospital with Kh-101 missile, OSINT analysis indicates

Russian propagandists claim the missile that devastated Kyiv's Central Children's Hospital was of western origin. But all evidence points to the Kh-101

byTatarigami

Russia's Kharkiv offensive flops. Defense expert reveals why and what's next

6 minute read

Analysis

Russia’s Kharkiv offensive flops. Defense expert reveals why and what’s next

Russia failed to achieve any objectives in its Kharkiv Oblast offensive. But it was thanks to Ukraine's successful strategy, not the western permission to strike Russian soil, defense expert Ivan Kyrychevskyi argues.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

It army of ukraine Ukrainian hackers Russian military targets

7 minute read

Ukraine’s IT Army now aids drone strikes on Russian oil refineries

Once focused on disrupting Russian banks and businesses, Ukraine's volunteer hacker group is now shifting to Russian military targets, from Starlinks to CCTV cameras during long-range drone raids

byDavid Kirichenko

5 minute read

Analysis

Ukraine’s EURO-2024 football hopes hinge on clash with Belgium

Ukraine faces Belgium on Wednesday, 26 June, in a must-win Euro 2024 qualifier. Victory advances them, but anything less puts their qualification at risk.

byDavid Kirichenko