Copyright © 2024 Euromaidanpress.com

The work of Euromaidan Press is supported by the International Renaissance Foundation

When referencing our materials, please include an active hyperlink to the Euromaidan Press material and a maximum 500-character extract of the story. To reprint anything longer, written permission must be acquired from [email protected].

Privacy and Cookie Policies.

Putin has as much to fear in Belarusian protests as Lukashenka does, Portnikov says

Putin and Lukashenka
Putin and Lukashenka
Putin has as much to fear in Belarusian protests as Lukashenka does, Portnikov says
Edited by: A. N.

Because the money is running out and because Russia can no longer make up the difference, Alyaksandr Lukashenka faces a situation he neither expected nor knows how to respond to, one in which not the nationalists but his own electorate has turned against him, Vitaly Portnikov says.

Vitaly Portnikov, Ukrainian political analyst and writer
Vitaly Portnikov, Ukrainian political analyst and writer

What the Minsk dictator will do next is “unknown,” the Ukrainian commentator says, adding the critical observation that everyone should be watching what happens in Lukashenka’s country not only for its own sake but because of what it says about what may happen in Vladimir Putin’s Russia.

“In Russia,” as in Belarus, “the government’s resources are also approaching exhaustion – and social protests are not far distant,” Portnikov says. And thus, “Putin also will have to react to protests from his own electorate and not in Moscow” but in the Russian Federation’s far-flung regions and republics.

For Putin, he argues, “this will be much more terrible” and terrifying than protests, however large, in Moscow’s public squares.

Thus, “if Lukashenka collapses, Putin will collapse as well because Russia is similar to Belarus from the political point of view and not the reverse. Moscow learned from Minsk nostalgia for things Soviet and for authoritarianism” as such. Indeed, for Putin, Belarus like Tatarstan and Chechnya earlier is a testing ground.

Consequently, “if Lukashenka is able to find a model for survival in poverty – from repression to playing with the opposition,” Portnikov suggests, “Putin almost certainly will use this approach to save himself.” That makes the protests across Belarus far more important than many now see them.


 

Edited by: A. N.
You could close this page. Or you could join our community and help us produce more materials like this.  We keep our reporting open and accessible to everyone because we believe in the power of free information. This is why our small, cost-effective team depends on the support of readers like you to bring deliver timely news, quality analysis, and on-the-ground reports about Russia's war against Ukraine and Ukraine's struggle to build a democratic society. A little bit goes a long way: for as little as the cost of one cup of coffee a month, you can help build bridges between Ukraine and the rest of the world, plus become a co-creator and vote for topics we should cover next. Become a patron or see other ways to support. Become a Patron!

To suggest a correction or clarification, write to us here

You can also highlight the text and press Ctrl + Enter

Please leave your suggestions or corrections here


    Euromaidan Press

    We are an independent media outlet that relies solely on advertising revenue to sustain itself. We do not endorse or promote any products or services for financial gain. Therefore, we kindly ask for your support by disabling your ad blocker. Your assistance helps us continue providing quality content. Thank you!

    Related Posts