Putin’s most likely next anschluss – a united Ossetia within the Russian Federation

Russian invasion in Georgia in August 2008. A wounded Georgian woman in the town of Gori, 80 km (50 miles) from Tbilisi. (Image: Reuters)

Russian invasion in Georgia in August 2008. A wounded Georgian woman in the town of Gori, 80 km (50 miles) from Tbilisi. (Image: Reuters) 

International, More

Edited by: A. N.

A Georgian political analyst has warned that Vladimir Putin’s most likely Anschluss in the coming year would involve the unification of South Ossetia (which Moscow illegally seized from Georgia in 2008 but did not absorb at the time) with North Ossetia (which is already part of Russia) and the inclusion of that new entity in the Russian Federation.

Vakhtang Maisaya (Image: haqqin.az)

Vakhtang Maisaya (Image: haqqin.az)

In a comment to Azerbaijan’s Haqqin news agency which ran yesterday under the title “A Threat to Georgia: The Two Ossetias Unite and Become Part of Russia,” Vakhtang Maisaya says that “the powers that be in Tskhinvali have thought up an absolutely new and more sophisticated geopolitical provocation.”

The goal of renaming South Ossetia ‘Alania,’ he continues, is to bring it into closer correspondence with North Ossetia which also uses that name and thus to make it easier to unite the two and then absorb the Georgian portion into the Russian Federation, “a classic case of irredentism” in this case directed at Georgia.

This process is likely to involve three steps:

  • a referendum on giving the head of South Ossetia additional powers,
  • a second one renaming that republic,
  • and then a third about the unification of the two under a common name, the ‘Republic of Alania.’

It is quite possible that the capital of the new entity will be in Tskhinvali, Maisaya says.

And he concludes by suggesting that this process will begin “already in this year” but only be completed in 2018. Under current geopolitical circumstances, the Tbilisi scholar says, Georgia won’t be able to block any of the changes that Moscow has in mind.


Related:

 

Edited by: A. N.
Ukraine needs independent journalism. And we need you. Join our community on Patreon and help us better connect Ukraine to the world. We’ll use your contribution to attract new authors, upgrade our website, and optimize its SEO. For as little as the cost of one cup of coffee a month, you can help build bridges between Ukraine and the rest of the world, plus become a co-creator and vote for topics we should cover next. Become a patron or see other ways to support. Become a Patron!

Tags: , , , , , , ,