A realistic victory strategy for Ukraine
In a war where offensive operations are equally difficult on both sides, not losing is already winning in the next year and a half
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Ukraine’s counteroffensive 2023
249 posts
British Intel: Avdiivka likely to remain in Ukrainian control over coming weeks
Russian forces are trying to bypass Ukrainian defenses and enter Avdiivka. However, Ukrainian forces would remain in control over Avdiivka in the near future, as the main supply route remains undamaged and Ukrainian forces make local counter-attacks in the area.
Reuters: Ukrainian troops on “active defense,” can still surprise, Ukraine ground commander says
Ukraine's General Syrskyi notes the rarity of battalion-level offensives, influenced by increased drone usage on the battlefield, says Ukrainian troops are on active defense on the eastern front.
Mobilisation is Ukraine’s word of the year in 2023 – Myslovo
Myslovo Dictionary declares 'mobilization' as Ukraine's 2023 Word of the Year, amidst a backdrop of war-related terms like 'counteroffensive', 'draft dodger', and 'drone', reflecting the nation's intense military and political landscape
Ukraine’s 2023 counteroffensive: Ex-minister Zagorodnyuk on what went wrong and what’s next.
Ukraine's former Minister of Defense and head of the Center for Defense Strategies Andriy Zagorodnyuk sits down with…
“Do not despair.” Ex-minister Zagorodnyuk on lessons from Ukraine’s counteroffensive
All wars have had setbacks. What Ukraine needs is not gloom but lessons learned analysis. And a million drones.
Frontline report: Russian commanders set sights on Novomykhailivka after multiple failed offensives
This week, Ukrainian forces beat back two Russian assaults on Novomykhailivka, the eastern village in Donetsk Oblast, which serves as the main supply hub of the Ukrainian positions. The situation is expected to remain difficult
Welt: Ukraine prepping for major offensive “like Zaluzhnyi envisioned” in 2024
With the necessary air support, Ukraine could pull off next year what did not materialize in the summer of 2023
ISW: Russia likely presses attack to prompt aid debates in West
Russia lost 87% of its pre-war ground forces but continues partial mobilization efforts to sustain its eastern Ukraine offensive, which US intelligence believes is meant to erode Western backing for Ukraine.
ISW: Russia makes marginal gains along two axes
Russians expand control towards Kupiansk in the north as well as near Avdiivka near Donetsk. Ukraine continues offensives in Kherson Oblast
British Intel: Ukraine regains Stepove amid fierce battles for Avdiivka
Avdiivka continues to be the scene of the most intense combat on the front, accounting for "on some days approaching 40 % of all combat engagements.
Why Ukraine’s counteroffensive failed: WP analysis in 7 minutes
After 100 days and 20 kilometers retaken instead of wargamed Azov Sea advance, US and Ukrainian officials have starkly different answers for "why"
Zelenskyy: Counteroffensive didn’t achieve desired results
Ukraine's President Zelenskyy says the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive "did not achieve desired results," urges Western support for arms production, emphasizing Ukraine's military self-sufficiency as a deterrent to Russia.
ISW: Winter weather impacts Russian-Ukrainian war, but fighting persists
Artillery targeting and aerial reconnaissance are complicated, but Russian and Ukrainian ground forces continue attacks.
Ex-Minister Zagorodnyuk: Ukraine can defeat Russia, but West must commit to total victory
Ukraine Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhnyi's article was never about stalemate, but about the technological adaptations needed for victory. This is totally achievable - if the West truly decides it wants Ukraine to win the war.
Russo-Ukrainian war, day 632: Ukraine forces secured several bridgeheads in Kherson Oblast
Ukrainian Marines officially report successful operations against Russian forces, securing bridgeheads on the Dnipro River’s left bank in the Kherson sector. According to Ukraine's navy, 15 Russian warships have been destroyed and 12 more damaged since the beginning of the full-scale invasion.
Frontline report: Ukrainians repelled Russian attack south of Krynky, Kherson Oblast
After losing ground recently, Russian forces deployed new combat units and launched infantry and armor attacks to retake lost positions south of Krynky. However, Ukrainian forces repelled the Russians and held their positions.
ISW: Russia’s eastern offensive sees little progress amid Ukraine’s advances in south
Russia's offensive operations across eastern Ukraine resulted in little confirmed progress on 15 Nov., even as Ukraine consolidated gains from its Kherson counterattack.
Frontline report: Ukrainians control chemical plant near Avdiivka despite Russian bombardment
According to the video, Russians lost a fighter jet Su-25 during their attempt to conduct an airstrike on the chemical plant. In total, over the last month, Russians lost 8 aircraft in battles for Avdiivka.
ISW: Multiple Russian offensives aim to regain initiative in Ukraine
Russian forces continue offensive operations simultaneously in the Kupyansk, Bakhmut, and Avdiivka directions. ISW assessed that they will likely struggle to fully regain the initiative across Ukraine, as Ukrainian forces maintain their own offensives as well.