Close the sky, drain the oil: Defense minister spells out how Ukraine plans to force Russia into peace

Ukraine’s Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov published what he called the ministry’s “war plan” — a three-goal strategy targeting Russia’s air attacks, ground offensive, and oil revenues — saying President Zelenskyy tasked the ministry with “forcing the enemy into peace” through stronger defense, not diplomacy alone
Mykhailo Fedorov, minister of defense of Ukraine. Credit: Ministry of Defense
Close the sky, drain the oil: Defense minister spells out how Ukraine plans to force Russia into peace

Ukraine's Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov laid out three concrete goals his ministry is pursuing to force Russia into peace: closing the sky, halting the Russians across all domains, and choking off its oil revenues.

"Russia continues to fight because it believes it can break us with force and resources. That is why the President gave the Defense Ministry team a clear task — alongside diplomacy, to strengthen defense in a way that forces the enemy into peace," Fedorov wrote on social media.

95% intercept rate as a benchmark

The plan's top priority is protecting civilians and infrastructure. The Defense Ministry aims to identify 100% of airborne threats in real time and intercept no fewer than 95% of incoming missiles and drones, according to Fedorov.

He said work has already begun on building a multi-layered "small" air defense system and scaling up interceptor production. "Important organizational changes" are also underway, the minister added, without elaborating.

200 killed Russian troops per square kilometer

The second goal — stopping the Russian army "in every domain," on land, at sea, and in cyberspace — comes with a specific metric. Fedorov said Russian forces currently lose 156 soldiers per square kilometer in the Donetsk Oblast.

"Our benchmark is over 200 killed occupiers per every km². This is the level of losses at which advancing becomes impossible," the minister wrote.

He said the ministry has "a specific list of decisions and projects: from improving the procurement system and completing corps reform to transforming the training system and data-driven command."

Targeting Russia's shadow oil fleet

The third pillar targets Russia's economic lifeline: oil. Ukraine plans to disrupt supply channels used by Russia's so-called shadow fleet. This requires strengthened sanctions, coordination with partners, a counter-strategy against the shadow fleet, and joint operations at sea, Fedorov wrote.

Partnerships, tech edge, data

To deliver on these goals, the minister outlined three enablers. First, "win-win partnerships" to secure record levels of international aid for drone procurement, stable military pay, and reinforced air defense.

Second, technological superiority. The goal, as Fedorov put it, is to be "at least 10 steps ahead of the enemy in every technological cycle" and to maintain leadership in the innovation war.

Third, data-driven decision-making. Fedorov said the "eBals" system feeding through the DELTA battlefield platform already provides quality frontline data.

"The next step is to turn data into a decisive force. See more. Think faster. Strike more precisely. Every decision based on quality data, not intuition," he wrote.

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