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UK intel: Russian recruitment ambitions hampered by challenges, including heavy losses

With mounting casualties and recruitment hurdles, analysts wonder if Russia’s military ambitions can match its battlefield reality.
byBenjamin Looijen
19/09/2024
1 minute read
Russian soldiers, illustrative image. Photo via Wikimedia.
Russian soldiers, illustrative image. Photo via Wikimedia.
UK intel: Russian recruitment ambitions hampered by challenges, including heavy losses

On 16 September 2024, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree to increase the size of the Russian military with an additional 180,000 personnel to 1.5 million in total coming into effect from December 2024.

Putin’s latest military expansion decree signals Moscow’s determination to sustain its war effort despite significant challenges. This move to boost troop numbers by 180,000 underscores the ongoing strain on Russian forces and raises questions about the Kremlin’s long-term strategic goals, the sustainability of its military ambitions, and potential implications for regional stability and global security dynamics.

As reported by the British Ministry of Defense and the British military intelligence agency, this is the third decree that has been signed by Putin to increase the size of the Russian military since the start of the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

Russia’s aspiration to expand its military is well-established, analysts from the UK say. In December 2022, then-Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu called on the Russian forces to be enlarged to 1.5 million. Russia will likely increase the number and size of units in its ground forces to accommodate the majority of the additional 180,000 personnel.

However, British military intelligence argues that despite the stated intent of Russia to expand its force, it is likely that this ambition will be hampered by continued heavy losses sustained in the war against Ukraine, in addition to recruitment challenges.

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