Copyright © 2021

The work of Euromaidan Press is supported by the International Renaissance Foundation

When referencing our materials, please include an active hyperlink to the Euromaidan Press material and a maximum 500-character extract of the story. To reprint anything longer, written permission must be acquired from [email protected].

Privacy and Cookie Policies.

Too early to assess counteroffensive results, Ukraine committed only three of 12 new brigades – analysts

Map of the situatiion in southern Ukraine as of 15 June 2023 according to Liveuamap.
Too early to assess counteroffensive results, Ukraine committed only three of 12 new brigades – analysts

After a week of heavy fighting, the real tests of Ukraine’s counteroffensive lie ahead, with the country’s troops some distance from Russia’s main defensive line and the bulk of forces prepared for the push still on standby, Reuters says.

The risk for Ukrainians is that before they get the main Russian defensive line, they take too much attrition to breach it, according to Rob Lee, a senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute.

The Ukrainian military created 12 armored brigades before the operation, nine of them equipped by the West, with one brigade typically comprising up to 4,000 soldiers. Additionally, the Interior Ministry formed eight assault brigades of 40,000 soldiers.

Poland-based military analyst Konrad Muzyka said only three of those 12 brigades had been spotted in combat, with the main thrusts coming near Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and Donetsk’s Velyka Novosilka further to the east.

“Those thrusts may indicate Ukraine’s generals have their eye on Tokmak, an occupied town in Zaporizhzia region some 25 km from the front line. A further 50 km away lies the city of Melitopol. Both settlements are heavily fortified,” Reuters says referring to Muzyka.

Muzyka’s main concern is that the progress appears to have stopped after the first week of fighting.

Kyiv has imposed an information blackout to maintain operational security, making independent battlefield assessments hard.

Military analyst Jack Watling, in his RUSI think tank article, suggests that it is too early to determine the success or failure of the offensive.

Read also:

You could close this page. Or you could join our community and help us produce more materials like this.  We keep our reporting open and accessible to everyone because we believe in the power of free information. This is why our small, cost-effective team depends on the support of readers like you to bring deliver timely news, quality analysis, and on-the-ground reports about Russia's war against Ukraine and Ukraine's struggle to build a democratic society. A little bit goes a long way: for as little as the cost of one cup of coffee a month, you can help build bridges between Ukraine and the rest of the world, plus become a co-creator and vote for topics we should cover next. Become a patron or see other ways to support. Become a Patron!

To suggest a correction or clarification, write to us here

You can also highlight the text and press Ctrl + Enter

Please leave your suggestions or corrections here

    Related Posts