Russian front collapses in Kherson Oblast as Ukraine also continues advancement in country’s northeast

Situation in the north of Kherson Oblast as of the morning of 5 October 2022. The blue area shows the Ukrainian gains in recent days. 

Russo-Ukrainian war 2022

Recent days saw multiple reports on the liberation of settlements from Russian occupation in Ukraine’s northeast and south.

Last night, Ukraine’s Operational Command South reported the liberation of eight settlements in Kherson Oblast’s north:

“As a result of a carefully planned and brilliantly implemented military operation to liberate the territories of Kherson Oblast from occupation, our units liberated, consolidated, and restored the state flag of Ukraine in Liubymivka, Khreshchenivka, Zolota Balka, Biliaivka, Ukrainka, Velyka and Mala Oleksandrivka, as well as in Davydiv Brid in Beryslav district. In various sections of the front, it was possible to deepen from 10 to 20 km.”

The current Ukrainian operation in the north of Kherson Oblast activated a few days ago with official accounts keeping silent on the developments in the south, while Ukrainian soldiers were publishing footage from newly de-occupied settlements and Russian “military bloggers” disseminated messages about the Russian retreat in the area:

Ukraine breaks through Russian defenses in Kherson Oblast’s north – media (updated)

The October 4 afternoon update on pro-Russian map maker Rybar’s map showed huge Ukrainian advancement along the 50-plus-kilometer wide front:

A number of videos and photos from the liberated settlements emerged on Ukrainian social media during the day.

Liberated Mala Oleksandrivka, Kherson Oblast:

Liberated Velyka Oleksandrivka:

Liberated Davydiv Brid, one of major nodes of the Russian defenses in the area:

The soldier of the Kryvyi Rih 129th territorial defense brigade says in this video that they have liberated Starosillia, Novodmytrivka, Mala Oleksandrivka, Velyka Oleksandrivka as of the 4 October evening:

The unofficial reports also mentioned the liberation of the following settlements as liberated:

  • Starosillia
  • Blakytne
  • Novovoskresenske
  • Novomykolaivka
  • Novopetrivka
  • Dudchany

This video was recorded in Novodmytrivka, Kherson Oblast:

The DeepState map updates based on the geolocated photos and videos show the dynamics of the Ukrainian offensive in the northern part of Kherson Oblast:

Not only Kherson: northeastern counteroffensive continues as well

It was not only Kherson where the Russian defenses collapsed: in September Russia saw its entire front collapse in Kharkiv Oblast.

As Ukrainian troops have been consolidating the huge liberated part of Kharkiv Oblast, the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the area slowed down but didn’t stop. Later in September, the Ukrainian troops liberated Donetsk’s city of Lyman southeast of Kharkiv Oblast and continued advancement to the east beyond the Oskil river.

Currently, the Ukrainian forces continue to liberate more settlements in the extreme east of Kharkiv Oblast, and extended their advancement to the northwest of Ukraine’s easternmost Luhansk Oblast.

Yesterday, September 4, videos emerged confirming the liberation of Kharkiv’s Bohuslavka, Borova, and Borovska Andriivka.

Bohuslavka:

Today, October 5, unofficial reports claim that the Ukrainian troops have liberated the first two villages in Luhansk Oblast’s Svatove district:

Ukraine’s Kharkiv counteroffensive extends to Luhansk Oblast: two villages allegedly liberated – media

What’s next?

In Kherson Oblast, the maximum goal of the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive may be the liberation of the area of Kozatske to cut the Russian supplies via the Kakhovka bridges across the Dnipro. The Ukrainian rocket artillery forces have been conducting attacks on these bridges although Russia doesn’t leave its attempts to restore the crossing and improve the logistics of its troops stranded on the western bank of the Dnipro:

Kozatske on the DeepState’s map. ~

Kozatske on the DeepState’s map.

Without Russian access to Kozatske, the Russian forces on the Dnipro’s Western bank will be almost completely cut off from the rest of the occupied territory with only a few ferry crossings available across the Dnipro to supply and evacuate the troops.

The possible immediate goals of the ongoing offensive may be district centers of Troitske and/or Svatove in Luhansk Oblast to cut off Russia’s shortest supply route of the occupied metropolitan area of Rubizhne-Sievierodonetsk-Lysychansk:

Map: DeepState ~

Map: DeepState

Troitske has not only the highway connecting Sievierodonetsk to Russia but also the only railway line available to the Russian forces to supply the entire northern half of Luhansk Oblast (the wailway is marked as the white line going via Troitske-Bilokurakyne-Starobilask-Novoaidar on the map above).

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