US, EU actions on Russia a remake of what brought the much stronger USSR to its end, Yakovenko says

Putin on the throne of swords

 

Analysis & Opinion, Russia

The almost certain approval of a US defense budget that will provide assistance to Ukraine, including lethal arms, while restricting US-Russian contacts and the EU’s moves toward a five billion US dollar Marshall Plan aid package for Kyiv represent a partial remake of the Western strategy that hastened the end of the USSR, Igor Yakovenko says.

Igor Yakovenko

Igor Yakovenko

And while these efforts are smaller than either the US defense buildup against the Soviets or the Marshall Plan, they will have an equivalent impact because “Putin’s Russia is much smaller than the USSR, and its confrontation with the US will not last 43 years or even eight,” the Russian analyst says.

Instead, “everything will end more rapidly and possibly with more unpleasant results for [Russia] and its leadership.”

In response to the American plans, Moscow announced that it would adopt “an instant and mirror-like response.” But the best it could come up with was a plan to ban US broadcasting in Russia until it was discovered that there isn’t any US government broadcasting in Russia and the only US company with a presence is CNN, which is hardly a friend of Donald Trump’s.

What Moscow’s threat looked like was “bombing Voronezh in response to a threat from NATO,” and that too resembles the Soviet past but also contrasts unfavorably from Moscow’s point of view regarding what the Soviets could do and what the Russians can’t, Yakovenko continues.

The Marshall Plan not only restored the economies of those countries in Europe which did not have communists in them – a requirement for aid – but also provided, despite the Iron Curtain, an unfavorable comparison for Soviet citizens who could contrast the well-being of Western citizens with the empty shelves of stores in their country.

“The second mortal blow on the USSR,” Yakovenko continues, “was the Strategic Defense Initiative, known as ‘Star Wars,’ which Reagan announced in 1983.” The Soviet leadership tried feverishly to find a response but wasn’t able to – and eight years later the USSR was dead.

Analogies and post hoc ergo propter hoc arguments are always something of a problem, the Moscow commentator concedes. But “nevertheless,” they are suggestive in this case, especially since the Russian economy today is less than 10 percent of the American one, and the entire Russian government budget equals “less than 40 percent” of the US defense budget alone.

Putin and his regime talk a good game, but “miracles only happen in stories, Russian television programs and Putin speeches when he talks about how, collecting biomaterials in Russia will allow for the development of viruses that will kill only the citizens of the Russian Federation.”

“In real life,” Yakovenko says, such “miracles” don’t happen.

Read More:

Edited by: A. N.

  • zorbatheturk

    You be makin’ some beautiful sounds, Mon.

  • laker48

    A very brutal reality check for the Dwarf. An uncontrolled tailspin of the fascist RuSSian Federation will likely start after 2022, when Poland, Lithuania and Croatia bring over 30 bcm per year of natural gas from other than RuSSian sources to Central and Eastern Europe and cheaper by the quarter LNG from different, mainly US suppliers hits Western European LNG terminals with 200 bcm per year idling regassing capacity. The US will be able to purify, liquefy and ship some 220 bcm of NG per year, up by ca 140 bcm per year from the present 80 bcm per year. The RuSSians are right talking about the US squeezing them out of Asian and European oil and gas markets.

    The first blow to the energy raw material-dependent RuSSian economy will be delivered by Poland somewhere around 2019, after its crude receiving terminal at the Gdansk Naftoport increases is capacity to 100 million tons (750 million barrels) per year from the present 34 million tons (ca 250 million barrels) per year of crude unloaded from tankers. Just two vertically integrated Polish refiners Lotos and Orlen process between two of them between 50 and 60 million tons of crude per year. They’re in an acquisition mode throughout the EU and already own refineries and chains of gas stations in Lithuania, Poland, Germany, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary.

    The ageing RuSSian Druzhba (Friendship) crude pipeline pumps to Europe on average 65 million tons (ca 500 million barrels) of crude per year. Both Polish refiners use between 20 and 45 million tons of RuSSian crude per year combined. Both have already taken deliveries of crude from Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, Norway and the US. There’s also a 30 million ton per year crude pipeline connecting the Plock Refinery with the Gdansk Naftoport. The pipeline can be easily extended by some 50 km to Brody to deliver excess crude from Gdansk, through an existing pipeline in Ukraine, to the Black Sea.

    • Mephisto

      This is the result of Putin’s gas threats. I remember a couple of years ago, there was a freezing winter, -20°C, and Putin stopped gas supplies for Europe to demonstrate his power. Of course everybody started looking for alternative solutions. Putin is really bad as a strategist. It seems he has no long term plans, does not forsee and anticipate the long-term impacts of his actions. He tries to shock the world, but thinks not of the consequences. Bad leader.

      • laker48

        Right you are, hence he’s the best undertaker available to put the fascist RuSSian Federation to eternal rest and driving RuSSia into the historical borders of the Great Duchy of Muscovy.

      • Dagwood Bumstead

        The dwarf forgot that he doesn’t have a monopoly on oil or gas- there are LOTS of other countries that can supply oil and /or gas.
        Longer-term oil and gas are on the way out. The dwarf or his successor will be sitting on his (or her) oil and gas reserves but there won’t be any customers. Then what? The dwarf has squandered all of the country’s reserves on his insane wars in Syria and the Donbas, neither of which he can win. The Reserve Fund is empty and the last reserve, the Welfare Fund, will be running on fumes by the end of 2018.

        • Screwdriver

          You guys already promised cheap oil , freedom to Dagestan and punishment to those bad dwarfs, …..I kinda trusted you on that , and was waiting and waiting…, now is getting cold, my oil tank almost empty, and I have to buy 250 gallons of heating oil for $2.20 per gallon now :-( Shame on you !

          • Микола Данчук

            You Bolsheviks only care about yourself, dog eat dog, as it were?
            You don’t buy heating oil, you steal it from the poor, as you have been doing all your life.
            Shame is something you never understood?

          • Screwdriver

            Rant ? On Sunday ? :-) Wow!
            Did you miss tserkva today ?

          • slavko

            Dude! This IS tserkva!

          • Микола Данчук

            What would a bolshevik know about religion other then how to manipulate it?
            No shame in that either?

          • slavko

            count your blessings! Seven years ago the prices of heating oil was over 4 bux/gal

          • Screwdriver

            I know pan slavko, you right about that. I was happy when I bough my house- oil tank was full :-)
            I also purchased disel Volkswagen at around that time…that was a big help.

          • slavko

            If available in the area, natural gas is the way to go. Much less expensive.

          • Screwdriver

            I wish..our development was built in 50`s, for some reason gas was never an option. This is very common in our area, entire Levitown is oil only, unless you install a propane tank, or run electric heat.

          • Dagwood Bumstead

            NOBODY promised Dagestan anything, old eunuch- well, perhaps the dwarf did. You are the only one here who keeps mentioning Dagestan- nobody else.
            You really should go back to school to learn how to read properly. Clearly schools in Dwarfstan are incapable of doing that- now even more so thanks to the dwarf’s cuts in state funding for education- so perhaps you should switch to a private tutor.

        • zorbatheturk

          How can gas be on the way out?

          • Dagwood Bumstead

            Gas, like all fossil fuels, will be redundant in a few decades. The dwarf has great hopes for China as a customer, but the Great Gas deal which he was boasting about a few years ago STILL hasn’t been finalised, despite being over 10 years in the making. Furthermore, with coal being a significant source of energy for Peking and many being employed in coal in some way or other, Peking won’t switch quickly because it doesn’t want to cause social unrest by closing mines and coal-fired power plants; Peking may well decide to go the coal-to-liquid and/or coal-to-gas route. South Africa did this in the 1970s and 1980s and Sasol is a leader in the technology, having further developed the Fischer-Tropsch and Bergius processes which Germany used in WW2 to produce synthetic oil from coal.
            The EU, the dwarf’s chief customer for his oil and gas, is slowly but surely moving away from fossil, as well as Poland and the Baltics especially moving away from the dwarf’s oil and gas.

          • laker48

            A very good insight! Kudos!

          • Mick Servian

            Ok.
            The Crimean bridge would never be built.
            Russia should have collapsed by now according to your predictions.
            Spastic

          • MichaelA

            the crimean bridge still isnt built

          • Mick Servian

            U mean its not finished.
            Sorry but real projects take time

          • MichaelA

            yes… time
            it was going to be built more than a year ago
            and then the date was put back
            and back
            and back
            the easy bits are close to shore
            the crimean bridge still isnt built

          • Mick Servian

            Ok u focus on bridge.
            In big context it’s very important.
            Forget about the republics that want to leave Ukraine.

          • MichaelA

            no i didnt actually
            you were the one who focussed on the bridge
            i dont know why
            but it was silly because the bridge hasnt been built and probbly never will be
            there are no republics who want to leave ukraine
            there are separatist groups
            but where would they go?
            the kremlin doesnt want them
            nor does anybody else
            the separatist can flee or face life in a ukrainian prison
            in the end its the only choice they will have
            putin will sell them out whenever its convenient to do so

          • Mick Servian

            No. People can read
            You mentioned the bridge first and many more times.

        • Mick Servian

          No customers for gas?
          Hahahaha
          Do you understand economics? Logistics etc?
          You’re an idiot

      • Screwdriver

        “Putin stopped gas supplies for Europe to demonstrate his power”
        Is this new Ukrainian line when they steal Russian gas ?

        • slavko

          You are presenting inaccurate picture. There was no theft of gas when in fact Putin stopped the flow of gas into Ukraine in the middle of a very severe winter. That kind of manipulation is just unheard of in the West during the heating season.

          • Screwdriver

            Any credible sources ?

          • slavko

            Everyone knows that Russia cut off the gas to Ukraine during severe winter months because of price disputes. The normal humane approach, which Russia does not use, would be to cut off the gas after the winter and not when people can freeze to death. So such conditions create a genuine human need for heating that may involve a bit of siphoning. 😉

            Still it was Russia that created that inhuman need that drives people towards such ends in order to survive.

          • Screwdriver

            “A bit of siphoning” with a smile right after, I love it. :-)
            It was not just the government from what I’ve learned .
            “Gazprom can do very little to stop Ukraine’s gas company from siphoning off extra gas. Since Ukraine buys gas from Russia, it already has the infrastructure to tap into the Gazprom pipeline. Russia has for years accused Ukraine of using that tap to draw off more natural gas than it pays for; in 2001, Gazprom filed suit claiming reimbursements for the theft of more than a billion cubic meters of gas. Ukraine admitted that it took the missing gas, but claimed it had been “overdrafted,” not stolen.

            You don’t need to be a state-run gas company to steal fuel from a pipeline. In the first few months of 2004, Ukrainian police discovered more than 150 holes in the nation’s oil distribution system. Oil crooks there and elsewhere can find an unguarded length of pipe and make their own tap. First they drill a hole most of the way through, and then they use a rubber mallet to crack open the pipe without making a spark. They insert a valve into the hole and then attach it to a tanker truck with a hose. The whole procedure takes about 20 minutes. ”
            http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/explainer/2005/12/how_do_you_steal_gas_from_a_pipeline.html

          • slavko

            Like I said earlier… Russia cut off the gas in the middle of severe winter in Ukraine and understandably that will lead to siphoning. This is normal human behavior in attempt to keep warm. EVERYBODY knows this, even Putin. And that’s why Russia did this in order to say “look they are stealing our gas” which you did say. The NORMALLY HUMANE country does NOT turn off the gas in the middle of winter. If Russia did not turn off the gas in the middle of winter, then good intentions would have been projected and Russia would be more credible as a nice country. But as usual, Russia is not a credible nice country. :)

            EDIT: Russia has had many opportunities to change its image and continually takes the low road. This is evidenced fact.

          • laker48

            Here you are! Is there anything else you want to know? https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/bankruptcies

          • veth

            The number of bankrupt companies in the Russian Federation is close to the record. This is reported by DW, referring to the data of the analytical review of the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting.

            “The number of bankrupt companies in Russia increased by 3% in the third quarter of 2017, compared with the second quarter of 2009. About 3227 companies announced their bankruptcy from July to September of this year, a 12.4% increase over the same period in 2016. The registered level of bankruptcies is only 2.1 percent lower than the record level reached in October 2009, “the report said.

            At the same time, it is noted that the companies of the construction industry were most affected. “A significant number of bankruptcies are also noted in the field of trade, engineering and food industry,” the report adds.

            Among the reasons for this deplorable dynamics, the experts of the Center for Strategic Studies called the slow decline of Centrobank key rate and weak consumer demand, while noting that real incomes of the population are declining for 12 consecutive quarters.

          • Mick Servian

            Hahaha
            Russophobes wet dream

          • laker48

            I’ve given here the link to statistics on RuSSian bankruptcy statistics. Here it is again: https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/bankruptcies

        • laker48

          And afterwards, the share of RuSSian gas in European gas supplies has dropped from over 80% to below 30% over a bit more than a decade or so. The Nord Stream 2 project will be likely killed by the European Commission and US sanctions too. The West will sanction RuSSia into a stone age. Low global prices of hydrocarbons and their global oversupply will seal the tomb with RuSSia inside.

          • Screwdriver

            “The West will sanction RuSSia into a stone age. Low global prices of hydrocarbons and their global oversupply will seal the tomb with RuSSia inside.”
            Did you just copy-paste your 3 year old comment ?

          • laker48

            Well, you won’t freeze a dinosaur to death overnight. It’ll take time, but it’s coming. The train of destruction heading for RuSSia has already left the station.

      • Mick Servian

        You remember?
        When has Putin stopped gas supplies to Europe? When?
        Never dude you lie.
        He also never threatened anything. Still suppllying Ukraine even though it stole gas.
        And yes a bad leader makes his country strong economically again. Lol
        What’s a good leader? Yeltsin?
        Hahahaha
        Retard

        • MichaelA

          yes russia cut off the gas to europe
          are you really so ignorant you dont know that?
          but you are right that putin has weakened russia economically
          that is why he is a bad leader

          • Mick Servian

            You’re a liar.
            Russia never cut of supplies to Europe.
            That made up fact doesn’t exist. Because business is business.
            And your bullshit is bullshit

          • MichaelA

            yes youre a liar
            russia cut off the gas to europe
            trying to pretend that black is white doesnt make it so
            but you are right that putin has weakened russia economically
            that is why he is a bad leader

          • Mick Servian

            When?
            Give me a fact check.
            You’re the liar.
            Oh and now u just copy my rhetoric. Lol
            Under Yeltsin it was much better right?
            Whenever trolls talk about Putin weakening Russia it’s for propaganda. You hate Russia why would you care? Lol
            Oh and do provide facts of when Russia cut gas to Europe. Lol

          • MichaelA

            you dont have any rhetoric and nobody has copied you
            russia cut off the gas to europe
            in 2006
            in 2009
            in 2014
            and yes youre a liar

          • Mick Servian

            Yeah you are.
            It would be flattering. Except you’re a racist bigot troll
            Oh and no
            You’re the liar.

          • MichaelA

            ha ha
            changing the subject because you cant answer
            nobody has copied you
            nobody could be bothered
            and yes you are a liar

          • Mick Servian

            But i called u a liar first. So obviously copying me.
            You also copied me on that obfuscation comment.
            So u can be bothered right?
            Loser

          • MichaelA

            no nobody has copied you
            nobody could be bothered
            and yes you are a liar
            you changed the subject because you couldnt answer

          • Mick Servian

            Changed the subject on what?
            You’re the one flip flopping.
            As soon as i ask you something.
            I get “aha gotcha you ignorant go look up yourself”. Instead of backing your claim.
            You said Europe has other sources.
            Well what are they?

          • MichaelA

            so you still admit that you dont know about the change in european energy
            you dont know why russia has dropped as a source of energy to europe
            nor who replaced it
            think about it
            is europe still using gas?
            If so, who is supplying it?
            and is europe using other forms of energy?
            think
            carefully

          • laker48

            That Serbian troll doesn’t have the first clue what he’s blubbering about. :)

          • Mick Servian

            People can read
            Back your argument plagiarist

          • MichaelA

            keep trying to change the subject
            nobody has copied you
            nobody could be bothered
            you changed the subject because you couldnt answer

          • MichaelA

            yes your a liar
            and your paranoid about being copied
            russia cut off the gas to europe
            in 2006
            in 2009
            in 2014
            and you hate russia just like putin does

          • Mick Servian

            No. Just cut it gping through Ukraine

          • MichaelA

            no russia cut off gas to europe as well as ukraine

          • Mick Servian

            In your head.
            Theres a song fits u perfectly.
            Zombie.
            Lol

          • MichaelA

            no in reality
            it was a really dumb move by putin
            the ussr never did it because they understood that you can only pull a stunt like that once or twice
            and then your customers go elsewhere
            exactly what happened to putin

          • Mick Servian

            You sit behind a computer trolling.
            Sorry but not accepting business or economic advice from you.
            Armchair President. Lol
            Putin= head of state of world superpower
            You= loser

          • MichaelA

            yes you do sit behind a computer trolling
            and you dont get to accept anything from me because I wasnt advising you
            you have zero influence on anything russia does
            and no russia is not a superpower
            not even close

          • Mick Servian

            Actually.
            Give me an example when Europe didn’t receive gas from Russia?

          • MichaelA

            look it up yourself you ignorant little man
            learn about history instead of just trolling
            do a course on google searching
            narrow your search
            try 2006
            or 2009
            or 2014
            actually
            and think before posting again

          • Mick Servian

            Hahaha
            Russia cut off all supplies going through Ukraine. Lol
            Because they siphoned and stole.
            That’s not cutting Europe of gas.
            Europe always got it’s quota.
            You need to obfuscate facts to win? Why?

          • MichaelA

            russia cut off supplies to europe
            not just to ukraine
            no europe didnt get its quota
            that is why europe has found other sources of gas
            because russia is an unreliable business partner
            you need to obfuscate facts to win? why?

          • Mick Servian

            You copy what i say why? Lol
            What other sources of gas has Europe found?

          • MichaelA

            thanks for admitting that you dont know
            get off your lazy behind and do some research
            find out why russias share of europes energy market has dropped so much
            and who has replaced it

          • Mick Servian

            I ask you a question dude.
            Why can’t you just answer?
            Oh that’s right.

          • MichaelA

            think now mick
            russias share of eu energy market has dropped every year since 2010
            maybe one year it recovered a little then dropped again
            who do you think increased their share at same time
            ill give you a hint
            one of them was european
            and three others werent

          • Mick Servian

            Back your argument dude

          • Mick Servian

            Again just through Ukraine

    • veth

      De-Communization of Ukraine: 987 cities renamed, 1,320 monuments to Lenin dismantled
      In the course of the sweeping de-Communization campaign in Ukraine 987 cities, villages, 50,000 streets were renamed and 1,320 monuments to Lenin as well as hundreds of monuments related to the totalitarian regime in FSU dismantled or destroyed.
      The statistics was given by Verkhovna Rada Speaker Parubij Nov. 11.

      “We have thrown into the political garbage din the symbols of criminal Communist ideology,” he said.

      We are witness to the mental de-occupation of Ukrainians. The de-Communization campaign was launched in May 2015. Читайте більше тут:

    • Czech Mate

      my only worry is Putin will be one foot out the door by that time. Not only will he evade justice for his crimes but I have a strong suspicion he won’t be blamed for economic destruction of russia either.

      But I’ll let myself be pleasantly surprised!

      • laker48

        The trainwreck loaded with destruction and decomposition of the fascist RuSSian Federation has already left the station. It’s only a matter of time when it crashes and burns.

  • Screwdriver

    USSR problem was “socialist economy”, poor agriculture , closed system.
    Russia is very much different. USSR imported grain, Russia exporting.

    • Микола Данчук

      And the Russian people go hungry.
      Russia also exporting depravity and death!

      • Screwdriver

        “Russian people go hungry”.
        Yes, Putin should be convicted for ethnic cleansing, Holodomor of the Russian people should be treated as “Genocide”. We hope that this new Holodomor would be recognized and condemned by the International community.

        • Микола Данчук

          Oh please, a bolshevik doesn’t care how many people die, as long as its not you.
          You still don’t know what “Genocide” is, do you?

          • Ihor Dawydiak

            That is why he threw in the term “Holodomor” in order to lay a pretense to sophistication but in reality he doesn’t have a clue to the real meaning of either term.

    • focusser

      USSR exported grain during Holodomor. Check your facts.

    • zorbatheturk

      Grain exports mean a shortage of vodka.

      • Ihor Dawydiak

        It could also be noted that the so called “Caucasian Clique” which included Dzhugashvili (aka Stalin) and his Georgian henchmen, Beria and Ordzhonikidze plus the Armenian Mikoyan, could have cared less about Russian vodka as that rot gut was beneath them. Their preferred alcoholic drinks were restricted to Georgian and Armenian brandies.

      • Dagwood Bumstead

        That’s another reason why Boyarishnik will become even more popular in Dwarfstan……..