The DoD warns Russia may launch another experimental intermediate-range ballistic missile, while also confirming the Russian military's withdrawal from Syria's Tartus base following Assad's fall.
The situation in the Black Sea demonstrates how Ukraine's strategy has reshaped but not eliminated the maritime threat, as Russian forces adapt their tactics under pressure.
H.I.Sutton says the loss of Tartus would threaten Russia's Mediterranean naval task force presence and ability to support its military operations in Africa.
A Ukrainian strike on Russian naval assets demonstrates the country's increasing ability to develop domestic long-range attack capabilities amid Western restrictions.
Russia's cancellation of the Navy Day parade marks the most significant event scrapped since invading Ukraine, reflecting an increasing inability to ensure military protection, as per UK intelligence.
"Our ultimate goal is the complete absence of military ships of the so-called Russian Federation in the Azov and Black Sea regions," Pletenchuk stated.
Ukraine's attack on a Russian naval corvette in Crimea highlights potential disruptions to Russia's shipbuilding infrastructure and delivery schedules, as per UK intelligence.