“Trying to exploit any opening”: Ukrainian officer warns of Russian tactics near Lyman in northern Donetsk
Moscow seeks to retake the city it briefly held in 2022, but Ukrainian forces are holding strong.
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Russian military operations
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ISW: Russia may trade deep breakthrough attempts for slow envelopment around fortress belt in Donetsk Oblast
Recent gains northeast of Pokrovsk signal a tactical priority shift, aiming at a tactical restraint designed to force Ukrainian withdrawals, says ISW.
Russia’s Sumy ambitions unlikely to succeed soon, says ISW
Despite Putin signaling a renewed land grab, the Russian military lacks the capacity to capture the city and its surrounding region.
ISW: Russian advance near Donetsk’s Pokrovsk slows as focus may shift to Kostiantynivka in 2025
The slowdown may be due to the deterioration of frontline Russian units and intensified Ukrainian drone operations in the area, per ISW.
ISW: Russian forces may redeploy from Kurakhove to Toretsk area in Donetsk Oblast
Russia redeploys units, including tank and artillery regiments, potentially preparing for offensive operations against Kostiantynivka in 2025.
ISW: Russian advances slow despite maintaining high casualty rates
In January, Russia lost 96 soldiers per seized km², the second-highest monthly casualty rate after December.
ISW: Russians resume offensive to capture Donetsk Oblast’s Pokrovsk from south
Russian forces focus on advancing through Novotroitske and Shevchenko to cut major highways and force Ukrainian withdrawal from the city.
ISW: Ukrainian Storm Shadow’s target in Kursk Oblast likely was Russian military operations center
Ukraine struck an arsenal storing diverse missile systems, including North Korean ballistic missiles, in a coordinated drone attack.