Hans Petter Midttun

439 posts

Hans Petter Midttun, independent analyst on hybrid warfare, Non-Resident Fellow at the Centre for Defense Strategies, board member of the Ukrainian Institute for Security and Law of the Sea, former Defense Attaché of Norway to Ukraine, and officer (R) of the Norwegian Armed Forces.

All materials Featured articles

russia keeps hitting ukraine's couriers—so ukraine went after russia's amazon oil depot warehouses hit near moscow · post warehouse burns ukrainian drone strike oblast morning 20 2026 пожежа у московській

12 minute read

Opinion

Russia and Ukraine justify their strikes the same way. Only one justification holds up

Ukraine is now hitting Russia's power grid, ports, shipping and warehouses — the same categories Russia hits in Ukraine. Both call the targets military. The facts decide who is right.

Ukraine rewards drone units for racking up the most kills

6 minute read

Opinion

Ukraine is turning Crimea into an island. It just fired the minister who armed the effort

The same pattern that cost Zaluzhnyi his job in 2024—success, popularity, a Syrskyi clash, a possible rival.

A drone operated by Ukraine’s ALASTOR special unit, part of the 25th Separate Airborne Brigade, strikes two Russian soldiers hiding inside the wreckage of military equipment in Pokrovsk. Donetsk Oblast, January 2025. Source: Sternenko.

16 minute read

Analysis

Russia now loses more soldiers than it recruits. But the war won’t end because of that.

For the first time, Russia’s losses outrun its recruits—four years of General Staff data explain why that still won’t end the war.

russia blacked out europe's largest nuclear plant 15 times since occupying 2022 · post zaporizhzhia power energoatom znpp russian-occupied (znpp) again lost external 40th anniversary chornobyl disaster said same day

6 minute read

Opinion

Russia won’t start a nuclear war. It might cause a nuclear disaster.

For the first time in history, a major war is being fought around 15 nuclear reactors. The West fears a Russian strike; the real danger is the disaster it has chosen not to see.

Ukrainian drones bombing Moscow in 2026 and the London Blitz in 1940

5 minute read

Opinion

Is Ukraine about to repeat Hitler’s mistake with the London Blitz?

The West left Ukraine one exit. It's the wrong one.

12 minute read

Opinion

NATO is dead. Meet CALM.

Discussing alternatives to the Alliance has long been taboo. That changed in 2026.

4 minute read

Opinion

Kyiv Security Forum agreed Russia’s threat is existential. It did not discuss how to defeat Moscow.

The reason was the elephant the Forum could not name: an America that no longer behaves like an ally.

NATO soldiers at the training. Source: Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE)

13 minute read

Analysis

NATO’s generals warn of war by 2029. Europe won’t be ready until 2035.

The gap between threat timeline and readiness timeline is not a planning error. It is a window.

7 minute read

Opinion

Trump wants out of NATO. Good. Let him go.

Not an anti-American position—a pro-European one.

NATO exercises with Ukraine operation hedgehog soldier

13 minute read

Analysis

Ukraine fired its NATO trainers. The alliance is running out of time to learn why.

Ten Ukrainians eliminated two allied battalions in a day. The frigate crew never saw the attack coming.

7 minute read

Opinion

I defended NATO’s values. I no longer recognize what NATO defends.

The Alliance's founding documents haven't changed. Its founding nation has.

A Ukrainain soldier with a drone. Source: Ukraine's General Staff

12 minute read

Analysis

Russia’s war is getting cheaper. That’s the worst news Europe has heard in years.

Four years of data show Russia trading tanks for drones—while its new armor heads not to Ukraine, but to NATO's border.

7 minute read

Opinion

Europe must stop negotiating its own defeat

In 2024, Europe backed international law. Now it's negotiating Putin's demands.

10 minute read

Opinion

The alliance Russia fears isn’t NATO. It’s a coalition that will actually fight.

With Ukraine as a founding member, a coalition of committed nations would have the one thing NATO lacks: proven resolve.

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Hans Petter Midttun

Russia and Ukraine justify their strikes the same way. Only one justification holds up

Ukraine is turning Crimea into an island. It just fired the minister who armed the effort

Russia now loses more soldiers than it recruits. But the war won’t end because of that.

Russia won’t start a nuclear war. It might cause a nuclear disaster.

Is Ukraine about to repeat Hitler’s mistake with the London Blitz?

NATO is dead. Meet CALM.

Kyiv Security Forum agreed Russia’s threat is existential. It did not discuss how to defeat Moscow.

NATO’s generals warn of war by 2029. Europe won’t be ready until 2035.

Trump wants out of NATO. Good. Let him go.

Ukraine fired its NATO trainers. The alliance is running out of time to learn why.

I defended NATO’s values. I no longer recognize what NATO defends.

Russia’s war is getting cheaper. That’s the worst news Europe has heard in years.

Europe must stop negotiating its own defeat

The alliance Russia fears isn’t NATO. It’s a coalition that will actually fight.

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