Poland: we have credible information Russia is planning new provocations in Europe

FM Sikorski said going public is deliberate — the same tactic that helped derail Moscow’s false-flag plans before it invaded Ukraine.
poland have credible information russia planning new provocations europe · post radosław sikorski nato summit hague 24 2025 belsat video ukraine news ukrainian reports
Radosław Sikorski at the NATO summit in The Hague, 24 June 2025. Screenshot from Belsat video.
Poland: we have credible information Russia is planning new provocations in Europe

Poland holds credible information that Russia is again planning provocations, and it is publicizing that fact to stop Moscow from acting, Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski said in Warsaw, Polish broadcaster RMF24 reported. Speaking alongside his French counterpart on 9 July, he set the intelligence against a long list of Russian covert operations across Europe. Sikorski framed exposure as a weapon that has worked against the Kremlin before.

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine is in its fifth year, and the same Russian services fighting it run a documented campaign of arson and sabotage across NATO countries, which European intelligence agencies expect to intensify while Moscow probes for a chance to test the alliance before Europe finishes rearming. A provocation that slips past the warnings would land on states carrying Ukraine's lifeline — Poland is the indispensable overland route for Western aid — and each disclosure now doubles as a test of whether publicity alone can still make the Kremlin stand down.

"The Russians are again planning something"

Sikorski and French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot faced questions about recent media reports, including in the Washington Post, that Russia is actively considering attacks on NATO targets and that the US has warned allies. Sikorski declined to comment on what intelligence services say. Poland's deputy prime minister, he still left no doubt about the broader picture.

"But the fact that Russia is waging a hybrid and kinetic war against both France and Poland is no secret," he said.

Sikorski added:

"That the Russians attack our systems of party competition, our critical infrastructure, or use shadow-fleet ships to map critical infrastructure — all of this is known. But also arson, attacks on rail tracks, drone attacks, and sending death squads to kill Vladimir Putin's enemies — all of these are hostile activities. We do nothing of the sort in Russia.

poland have credible information russia planning new provocations europe · post radosław sikorski nato summit hague 24 2025 belsat video ukraine news ukrainian reports
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Polish FM warns Putin’s retaliatory rhetoric sounds like “an announcement of a provocation”

The 2022 precedent: exposure works

Sikorski recalled that before invading Ukraine, Russia intended to stage classic false-flag provocations to hand itself a pretext for the attack. 

"Back then, the services of the United States warned about this, and that deterred Russia from carrying out those provocations," he said.

The same logic drives today's disclosure: "The aim of these warnings is to deter them from carrying out these provocations. And may it be so," Sikorski told a journalist. 

He aired a similar caution in June, saying the Kremlin could stage a false-flag operation within the next two years.

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