Copyright © 2024 Euromaidanpress.com

The work of Euromaidan Press is supported by the International Renaissance Foundation

When referencing our materials, please include an active hyperlink to the Euromaidan Press material and a maximum 500-character extract of the story. To reprint anything longer, written permission must be acquired from [email protected].

Privacy and Cookie Policies.

ISW: Lack of clarity on US weapons restrictions for Kyiv enables Russian military threats along Ukraine’s border

Details ambiguity in US policy authorizing Ukraine to strike Russian military forces concentrated near border with US-provided arms enabling potential new Kremlin offensives, ISW says.
Ukrainian soldier, illustrative image. Photo via Eastnews.ua.
Ukrainian soldier, illustrative image. Photo via Eastnews.ua.
ISW: Lack of clarity on US weapons restrictions for Kyiv enables Russian military threats along Ukraine’s border

The US-based think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW) assesses that the current US policies restricting Ukraine’s ability to strike Russian military targets near the border with US-provided weapons lack necessary clarity, potentially missing a critical opportunity to deter further Russian offensive efforts across the border into northern Ukraine.

ISW cites comments from US National Security Council Director Michael Carpenter stating that US policy allows Ukrainian forces to strike certain Russian military targets in Russia “across the border” to counter Russian attacks and “is meant to enable Ukrainians to defend themselves against what would otherwise be a Russian sanctuary across the border.” However, Carpenter did not definitively confirm if this extended authority beyond areas bordering Kharkiv Oblast.

A Politico report referenced by ISW cited Ukrainian officials expressing frustration that they are “restricted to the border area in Kharkiv Oblast” when using US arms to hit Russian territory, highlighting the ambiguity over the authorized scope of cross-border strikes.

Carpenter’s comments and the Politico report together suggest there is ambiguity on what the US has explicitly authorized regarding these strikes amid signaling that the US is open to expanding these authorizations to other areas in Ukraine should Russian forces launch offensive operations elsewhere along the international border area,” ISW says.

This uncertainty is particularly risky, ISW warns, as Russia has been observed concentrating military forces in its Kursk and Bryansk oblasts near Sumy Oblast, potentially indicating preparations for new offensive operations across the border that Ukrainian strikes could help deter if clearly authorized. Allowing such Russian border buildups to go unchallenged risks forcing Ukraine to reallocate resources defensively elsewhere to counter potential offensives, creating new vulnerabilities.

The ISW analysis ultimately assesses that clear and expansive US authorization for Ukraine to strike all legitimate Russian military targets massing for potential cross-border offensives, not just those near Kharkiv, could significantly alter Russian military calculations by removing the perceived “sanctuary” for buildups and deterring such operations before they can begin.

The increased likelihood of other Russian offensives in northern Ukraine would compel Ukrainian forces to reallocate resources, creating opportunities for Russian exploitation elsewhere in the conflict zone, according to ISW.

US clarity that Ukraine can use US-provided weapons against Russian ground forces concentrations in Russia that appear to be preparing for imminent cross-border operations would likely change Russian commanders’ calculations about the wisdom of making such ostentatious preparations. ISW continues to assess that the US should allow Ukraine to strike all legitimate military targets in Russia’s operational and deep rear with US-provided weapons,” ISW said.

Read also:

You could close this page. Or you could join our community and help us produce more materials like this.  We keep our reporting open and accessible to everyone because we believe in the power of free information. This is why our small, cost-effective team depends on the support of readers like you to bring deliver timely news, quality analysis, and on-the-ground reports about Russia's war against Ukraine and Ukraine's struggle to build a democratic society. A little bit goes a long way: for as little as the cost of one cup of coffee a month, you can help build bridges between Ukraine and the rest of the world, plus become a co-creator and vote for topics we should cover next. Become a patron or see other ways to support. Become a Patron!

To suggest a correction or clarification, write to us here

You can also highlight the text and press Ctrl + Enter

Please leave your suggestions or corrections here


    Euromaidan Press

    We are an independent media outlet that relies solely on advertising revenue to sustain itself. We do not endorse or promote any products or services for financial gain. Therefore, we kindly ask for your support by disabling your ad blocker. Your assistance helps us continue providing quality content. Thank you!

    Related Posts