In the last seven days, Russia has increased its targeting of civilian infrastructure. Over the past 24 hours, Russian occupiers have launched 6 missiles and 28 air strikes, fired more than 90 rocket-propelled grenades at military and civilian targets on the territory of Ukraine. Russian forces continue to prioritize strategically meaningless offensive operations around Donetsk City and Bakhmut over defending against continued Ukrainian counter-offensive operations in Kharkiv Oblast. The Russian military is preparing for a large-scale defense in the east and south of Ukraine. Ukrainian forces liberated a settlement southwest of Lyman and are likely continuing to expand their positions in the area. Ukrainian forces continued to conduct an interdiction campaign in Kherson Oblast. Ukrainian partisans continue attacks on the Russian military assets and logistics in southern Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Russian authorities are working to place 125 “orphan” Ukrainian children from occupied Donetsk Oblast with Russian families. The IAEA reports that the Zaporizhzhia NPP has been reconnected to the Ukrainian power grid. Mykolaiv residents recommended to leave the city. Odesa aspires to become a part of the UNESCO World Heritage list soon. US President Biden warned that the use of nuclear or chemical weapons by Russia in Ukraine will have consequences.
Daily overview — Summary report, September 18
A map of the approximate situation on the ground in Ukraine as of 00:00 UTC 05/07/22. pic.twitter.com/Cg5RdVg18W
— War Mapper (@War_Mapper) July 5, 2022
The General Staff’s operational update regarding the Russian invasion as of 06.00 am, September 18, 2022 is in the dropdown menu below.
Military Updates
Russia's Iranian-made Shahed drones creating problems for Ukraine – WSJ
They destroyed two 152-mm howitzers, two 122-mm howitzers & 2 BTR armored infantry vehicles in 1 brigade, commander says https://t.co/AKMPLmYGdD
📷 @kms_d4k – Shahed-136 shot down above Kharkiv Obl pic.twitter.com/mklr3Qls8z— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 18, 2022
The Russian military is preparing for a large-scale defense in the east and south of Ukraine, the Luhansk military administration head Gaidai reports. The Russian Federation gathers equipment and troops in the Svatov region. A group of the Russian military was spotted on the territory of an agricultural college in the village of Khomovka.
In the Kherson region, the Russian army is building additional defense lines in the Kalanchak area. In the city of Kherson, the arrival of additional military forces is reported. The Russians closed the settlements in the Kherson region for entry and exit, the locals are forbidden to approach river crossings, and searches intensified.
US President Biden warned that the use of nuclear or chemical weapons by Russia in Ukraine will have consequences.
Regional Updates
Russian shelling hits thermal power plant in Sloviansk – Donetsk Oblast Head Pavlo Kyrylenko
The ensuing fire is being extinguished; Russia purposefully target infrastructure objects to cause most harm to civilians, Kyrylenko saidhttps://t.co/cLhcEimrtM pic.twitter.com/EGnWQV8HHc
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
In the Donetsk Oblast, in the building of the “administration” in Donetsk, central Lenin Square, he building of the “Ministry of Justice of the DNR”, the Main Post Office and the Drama Theater are reportedly shelled.
Russians set up this torture chamber in the military enlistment office of Shevchenkove, a town in Ukraine's recently-liberated northeast
So far, police have found 10 torture chambers on the liberated territories: https://t.co/IDSrmNdHme
📽️ Donbas Realii https://t.co/67XwHbFEZz pic.twitter.com/kauRwS70zC— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 18, 2022
In the Kharkiv Oblast, Russian occupiers fired rockets at Chuguev. Critical infrastructure, private homes, businesses and petrol stations damaged. An 11-year-old girl was injured and died in the hospital, a woman was also injured.
Satellite imagery from @Maxar shows the Pishanske cemetery entrance from March 2022 & August 2022 where hundreds of bodies of 🇺🇦civilian adults and children, as well as soldiers, were found after the liberation of Izium from Russian troops https://t.co/Cx0NG1A7gz
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
In the Chernihiv Oblast, some villages, located near the Russian border, were deserted due to enemy shelling. There is no mandatory evacuation for residents of border villages, but about 1,000 left from the Semenov community alone on the Russian-Ukrainian border. Local residents resettle in villages in areas located further from the border.
The Russian army bombed Lucya's home. Her three daughters lost their houses, too.
Villages around #Chernihiv are in ruins after the siege, artillery fire, and air strikes. Read more about #Chernihiv at https://t.co/BafAOjzi6y.
🎥 @ZarinaZabrisky pic.twitter.com/NcIy1VZJaQ
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 1, 2022
In the Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Russian troops shelled a village near Zaporozhye. In Melitopol, partisans blew up the railway, disrupting the supply of weapons to the Russian invaders from Crimea. In the Zaporizhzhia region, the Russian occupying forces and collaborators threaten the local population with imprisonment and being transported to the “Luhansk People’s Republic” where the death penalty is legal for supporting partisans.
5 explosions heard in Bohatyr village in Zaporizhzhia Oblast at a Russian military base – Melitopol Mayor Ivan Fedorov
📷by UkrInform https://t.co/bTMVABgAYh pic.twitter.com/B8PwNR7mag
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
In the Mykolaiv Oblast, the local population is recommended to leave, said the head of the Mykolaiv military administration. The shortage of pure water remains an acute problem.
In the Odesa Oblast, at a meeting with the UNESCO team, Ernesto Ottone, UNESCO Assistant Director-General for Culture, said that the nomination of Odesa’s historic center for the World Heritage list will be reviewed at the UNESCO next session.
#Odesa aspires to become a part of the @UNESCO World Heritage list soon.
Ernesto Ottone, UNESCO Assistant Director-General for Culture, speaking via Zoom on Sep 17, said UNESCO to do all the diligence to ensure Odesa could be a part of the list.
🎥 @ZarinaZabrisky pic.twitter.com/7169jongRY
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
In the temporarily occupied Crimea, two cars, property of the head of the Russian state information service RIA Novosti, Dmitry Kiselyov, set on fire.
Partisans destroyed 2 cars of Russian propagandist
Members of resistance movement in Crimea set Land Rover Freeland & golf cart of Dmitriy Kiseliov on fire. Kiseliov has been under EU sanctions for promoting 🇷🇺propaganda in support of annexation of Crimea https://t.co/FFOjNu3aN8 pic.twitter.com/lozawvjNsv
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
According to British Defence Intelligence, (last 48 hours):
- Russia has launched several thousand long-range missiles against Ukraine since 24 February 2022. However, in the last seven days, Russia has increased its targeting of civilian infrastructure even where it probably perceives no immediate military effect.
- This category of mission has included strikes against the electricity grid, and a dam on the Inhulets River at Kryvyi Rih.
- As it faces setbacks on the front lines, Russia has likely extended the locations it is prepared to strike in an attempt to directly undermine the morale of the Ukrainian people and government.
Losses of the Russian army
Russian Lend-Lease to Ukraine in Kharkiv offensive, as of 16 Sept
Tanks: 71
Armored vehicles: 152
Artillery: 47
Armored vehicles: 9
Air defence systems: 3
Other equipment: 31 unitsBased on lost equipment counts https://t.co/PBMLeZAGV3
📷 Yigal Levin; one of the captured tanks pic.twitter.com/StUvhN8SeY
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
As of 18 September, the approximate losses of weapons and military equipment of the Russian Armed Forces from the beginning of the war to the present day:
These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of Sept. 18, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/Yq9rQtMdQo
— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) September 18, 2022
Humanitarian
This is the Stolpakov family: Olena, her husband Dmytro, their daughters 6-year-old Olesia & 8-year-old Sasha
All of them including their grandparents Tetiana & Oleksandr were killed in an attack launched by Russian troops on Izium in Kharkiv Oblasthttps://t.co/RNWIrTQf88 pic.twitter.com/JRr6lIWs40
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
Satellite imagery from @Maxar shows the Pishanske cemetery entrance from March 2022 & August 2022 where hundreds of bodies of 🇺🇦civilian adults and children, as well as soldiers, were found after the liberation of Izium from Russian troops https://t.co/Cx0NG1A7gz
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
Environmental
The IAEA reports that the Zaporizhzhia NPP has been reconnected to the Ukrainian power grid after engineers repaired one of the four damaged power lines.
Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant reconnected to the Ukrainian power grid
The plant is held by Russian forces but continues to be operated by its Ukrainian personnel – IAEAhttps://t.co/deb7ECuKlb pic.twitter.com/bvqb58xuox
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
Legal
First evidence of #Russia abductions, torture and forced deportation from #Kozacha_ Lopan (#Kharkiv oblast)#Ukraine #warcrimes #StandWithUkraine #RussiaWarCrimes #StopRussia https://t.co/Z0Ag0hkqfh pic.twitter.com/7TsPK0eS2n
— Halya Coynash (@halyapuff) September 18, 2022
Support
US officials admit frustrations that Russia sanctions have been slow to bite – CNN
🇷🇺 economy only shank by 4% btw April & June – below predicted 15% – thanx to revenues from soaring energy prices. However, worst effect of sanctions will be felt in 2023https://t.co/iKPli90suX
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
Germany approved the sale of 18 RCH-155 self-propelled guns to Ukraine to be received no earlier than 2025. The contract for the supply of 18-wheeled howitzers with Krauss-Maffei Wegmann is worth 216 million Euros. The RCH-155 is a wheeled self-propelled artillery mount with an L52 cannon. A firing range of up to 54 kilometers is declared with V-LAP high-precision projectiles at a speed of nine rounds per minute. Weight SAU-39 tons. The maximum speed is 100 km/h. The maximum mileage is up to 700 kilometers.
Germany greenlights delivery of 18 self-propelled RCH-155 howitzers to Ukraine
The federal government approved the sale after 2 months of hesitation. They can be delivered 30 months at the earliesthttps://t.co/CPhHdq15tK pic.twitter.com/IOs6dmNCSr
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
Spain sent Ukraine 5 transport aircraft with ammunition for large-caliber artillery systems. The Spanish Ministry of Defense officially confirmed the departure of the T-23 aircraft of the Spanish Aerospace Forces from Madrid.
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau condemns occupier atrocities in Izium. “Reports of mass graves in Ukrainian Izium are horrifying and heartbreaking. Canada condemns these heinous atrocities. We will continue to work with partners to bring those responsible to justice, and we will continue to help the people of Ukraine,” he said.
Ukraine gets $1.5 billion grant from the U.S.
This is the last tranche of $4.5 billion aid from World Bank's Multi-Donor Trust Fund. Funds to be used to reimburse budget expenditures for pension payments & social assistance, PM Denys Shmyhal announced https://t.co/Lh0ItLPHKi
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 17, 2022
New Developments
A video leaked to social media of how Putins' close confidant Yevgeny Prigozhin visits prisons to recruit men aged 22 to 50 for war against Ukraine.
He says war is hard but after 6 months of service, prisoners would be released. pic.twitter.com/vZ0uD5x3A9
— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) September 15, 2022
German chancellor Scholz said that there have been shifts in the talks with Putin, they are taking place “in a friendly tone.” He spoke to the Russian president about the withdrawal of troops, humanitarian issues, such as the export of grain, and the Zaporizhzhia NPP.
Germany deliberately delays the provision of real military assistance to Ukraine, as it hopes to normalize cooperation with the Russian Federation, said Polish Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau. “The scale and pace of Germany’s support for Ukraine demonstrate the features of deliberate delay. It seems that the intention is that, regardless of the outcome of this war, German-Russian relations suffer as little as possible,” he said.
Indian leader Narendra Modi personally urged Vladimir Putin to stop the war against Ukraine. Modi told the Russian dictator about the need to “take the path of peace” and reminded him of the importance of “democracy, diplomacy, and dialogue.” India has so far largely avoided outright condemnation of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and has also seen a record increase in Russian oil imports since February.
Assessment
- On the war. [Paragraph]
The Institute for the Study of War has made the following assessment as of 17 September, 2022:
Russian forces continue to conduct meaningless offensive operations around Donetsk City and Bakhmut instead of focusing on defending against Ukrainian counteroffensives that continue to advance. Russian troops continue to attack Bakhmut and various villages near Donetsk City of emotional significance to pro-war residents of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) but little other importance. The Russians are apparently directing some of the very limited reserves available in Ukraine to these efforts rather than to the vulnerable Russian defensive lines hastily thrown up along the Oskil River in eastern Kharkiv Oblast. The Russians cannot hope to make gains around Bakhmut or Donetsk City on a large enough scale to derail Ukrainian counteroffensives and appear to be continuing an almost robotic effort to gain ground in Donetsk Oblast that seems increasingly divorced from the overall realities of the theater.
Russian failures to rush large-scale reinforcements to eastern Kharkiv and to Luhansk Oblasts leave most of Russian-occupied northeastern Ukraine highly vulnerable to continuing Ukrainian counter-offensives. The Russians may have decided not to defend this area, despite Russian President Vladimir Putin’s repeated declarations that the purpose of the “special military operation” is to “liberate” Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts. Prioritizing the defense of Russian gains in southern Ukraine over holding northeastern Ukraine makes strategic sense since Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts are critical terrain for both Russia and Ukraine whereas the sparsely-populated agricultural areas in the northeast are much less so. But the continued Russian offensive operations around Bakhmut and Donetsk City, which are using some of Russia’s very limited effective combat power at the expense of defending against Ukrainian counteroffensives, might indicate that Russian theater decision-making remains questionable.
Ukrainian forces appear to be expanding positions east of the Oskil River and north of the Siverskyi Donets River that could allow them to envelop Russian troops holding around Lyman. Further Ukrainian advances east along the north bank of the Siverskyi Donets River could make Russian positions around Lyman untenable and open the approaches to Lysychansk and ultimately Sievierodonetsk. The Russian defenders in Lyman still appear to consist in large part of BARS (Russian Combat Army Reserve) reservists and the remnants of units badly damaged in the Kharkiv Oblast counteroffensive, and the Russians do not appear to be directing reinforcements from elsewhere in the theater to these areas.
Key Takeaways
- Russian forces continue to prioritize strategically meaningless offensive operations around Donetsk City and Bakhmut over defending against continued Ukrainian counter-offensive operations in Kharkiv Oblast.
- Ukrainian forces liberated a settlement southwest of Lyman and are likely continuing to expand their positions in the area.
- Ukrainian forces continued to conduct an interdiction campaign in Kherson Oblast.
- Russian forces continued to conduct unsuccessful assaults around Bakhmut and Avdiivka.
- Ukrainian sources reported extensive partisan attacks on Russian military assets and logistics in southern Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
- Russian officials continued to undertake crypto-mobilization measures to generate forces for war Russian war efforts.
- Russian authorities are working to place 125 “orphan” Ukrainian children from occupied Donetsk Oblast with Russian families.