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RNBO: News & Analysis Center July 10 Update

RNBO: News & Analysis Center July 10 Update

Military action in the conflict zone

Militants shot up an ATO forces checkpoint in Sievierodonetsk on July 10. After firing a number of times at the Ukrainian servicemen, the militants turned their mortar in the opposite direction and began to shoot at the residential areas of the city. According to eye-witness reports, there were no casualties among the civilian population, but several of the city’s buildings and other structures were damaged. This treacherous tactic the terrorists clearly used to turn locals against the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Andriy Lysenko, spokesperson for the National Security Council’s News & Analysis Center, reported at the Center’s evening briefing July 10, 2014. 

According to Lysenko, the ATO forces have undertaken a wide range of measures to block and reduce the territory that remains under the control of the terrorists. Specifically, Armed Forces personnel and the National Guard managed to block some of the militant forces at the Siversk-Lysychansk border. 

ATO units have set up a new network of checkpoints and have maximally restricted the movement of the militants, forcing them to reduce their resistance and flee from Siversk Artemivsk County in Donetsk Oblast. At the moment, the ATO operation remains active in this area. As they hurry to get away, many of the militants are dropping their weapons, and leaving artillery and equipment behind. Some are surrendering.

Today, militants also shot with mortar and guns at Donetsk Airport, which is currently under the control of the Ukrainian Army. Their attack was successfully repelled with no casualties on the Ukrainian side.

Population centers in the conflict zone

Military sappers continue to defuse mines in various infrastructure in those settlements abandoned by the terrorists. Working around the clock and at considerable risk to their lives, these men are removing mines from highways, buildings and other vital infrastructure in eastern Ukraine.

So that the residents of liberated towns might return to their homes as soon as possible, engineering brigades are laying down routes for the delivery of humanitarian freight and providing the conditions for repair brigades to work to recover destroyed infrastructure. Just in the last few days, sappers have defused nearly a tonne of TNT, almost 10 hand-made bombs, and 20 anti-tank and anti-personnel mines planted by the terrorists. While de-mining administrative and residential buildings, roadways and bridges, soldiers in sapper units are dealing with  a wide range of modern methods of mining and setting explosives, which again testifies that terrorists have the assistance of professionally trained explosives specialists.

The terrorists appear to be aware that they cannot win against the ATO forces in open battle, so they continue to hide behind “live shields.” Under cover of the local population,  ordinary they set up firing positions in densely-populated areas. For instance, in the town of Snizhne, Donetsk Oblast, a position was set up for an APC near the Furshet supermarket and near the Pension Fund of Ukraine administrative building, as well as caches for weapons and the “command.” The terrorists also took over the local recruitment office and established a base for mortar and trucks. In addition, the militants have used a local church and fire station for their mortar teams and have organized well-camouflaged gun emplacements in the dome of the church. 

News has come that Russia is considering nearly all Ukrainian citizens who cross the Ukrainian-Russian border refugees. Meanwhile, the State Border Service of Ukraine reports that not one citizen of Ukraine expressed the desire to obtain refugee status in Russia while crossing the border. The general flow of passengers and cargo at the Ukrainian-Russian part of the border plunged 50% in recent months and 18% fewer Ukrainian citizens are crossing into Russia.

Still, Russian media and individual RF officials continue to insist that all Ukrainians who head to Russia are refugees. Of course, that upsets Ukrainian citizens who are crossing the border to visit their family, for private and business matters, or to simply travel as tourists.

Source: mediarnbo.org

Translated by Lidia Wolanskyj

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    Arm Ukraine and force Putin back to the negotiating table

    Russia, despite its repeated denials, is sending large quantities of military equipment to the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine along with 9,000 of its troops. Movement of Russian forces, including the Pantsir-S1 missile system, are being tracked by think tanks and western intelligence agencies. Only Russian professional (not conscript) troops and intelligence officers can operate highly sophisticated Russian military equipment – not irregular separatist forces.

    Respected Russian military analyst Pavel Felgenhauer has concluded that the aim of Vladimir Putin, Russia's president, is to destroy Ukraine's independence by installing a satrap in Kiev similar to Chechen warlord Razman Kadyrov, thereby ending Kiev's goal of integration into Europe.

    Putin reportedly told German Chancellor Angela Merkel that Kiev should deal with the separatists by buying them off with autonomy and money as he had in Chechnya, which to her was unacceptable.

    Russia and its separatist proxies have never abided by the September Minsk peace accords and last month tore them up and demand a new agreement that would lend legitimacy to their territorial gains. Military assaults have claimed a growing number of civilian lives, including 40 in rocket attacks on the port city of Mariupol and a Luhansk hospital, with the total number of civilians killed rising to 5, 500, according to the UN. Growing numbers of combatants continue to die on both sides, as illustrated by these gruesome photos of a column of 16 Russian and separatist tanks that was destroyed yesterday.

    In the face of the new Russian-backed offensive, pressure on US President Barack Obama to send defensive military equipment to Ukraine is becoming ever more intense. The release of a report for the Atlantic Council of the US by eight US ambassadors calling for military assistance was published along with a crescendo of commentaries in The Times, The Guardian, The Financial Times (here, here andhere), The Wall Street Journal (here and here), The Washington Post, The New York Times, The American Interest, The Christian Science Monitor, The Atlantic, The New York Post, The Boston Globe, The Los Angeles Times and Spiegel Online.

    This chorus of support was backed by influential former US National Security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski and former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. A bipartisan group led by Republican and Democratic Senators Rob Portman and Dick Durbin called for military assistance to Ukraine "to defend its sovereign borders against escalating Russian aggression".

    The New York Times reported that the US was considering supplying arms to Ukraine, something reportedly confirmed by Douglas Lute, the US Ambassador to Nato. Ashton Carter, President Obama's choice to become his fourth Defence Secretary, said three days later he was "very much inclined" to provide arms to Ukraine to fight Russian-backed separatists.

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    Arguments against the supply of weapons, the Wall Street Journal wrote, "look increasingly naïve". Nevertheless, Canadian commentators have pointed to Ukrainian corruption (see here and here) and the presence of "UkrainianNazis" as a way perhaps to justify the Stephen Harper government's decision not to providie military support. High levels of corruption never stopped the supply of Canadian military equipment and special force trainers to Pakistan, Iraq and Afghanistan. Although Putin and the Russian media have repeatedly raised accusations of"fascism" in Ukraine, it is the Russian (rather than the Ukrainian) regime that more closely resembles the political science definition of "fascism".

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    Taras Kuzio is a research associate at the Centre for Political and Regional Studies, Canadian Institute forUkrainian Studies, University of Alberta and non-resident fellow at the Center for Transatlantic Relations, School of Advanced International Relations, Johns Hopkins University.

    P.S.: Please spread this appeal as much as possible.