Why we shouldn’t be afraid of Trump

Donald Trump Caricature by DonkeyHotey

Donald Trump Caricature by DonkeyHotey 

2016/11/09 • Analysis & Opinion

After he accedes to the post of President of the United States, Donald Trump will become part of the system that he wanted to destroy – a system of checks and balances

One can only wonder how, literally up to this very morning, nearly the whole world was confident Hillary Clinton would win the US presidential election, despite opinion poll displaying varying results and often approaching the margins of statistical error.

In fact, the gap between Trump and Clinton is just within this statistical error. Clinton’s defeat can hardly be called a defeat – she could have won this election. But the winner was Donald Trump.

This naturally raises concerns among those who hoped that the new President of the United States would be a predictable representative of the US political establishment and would continue Barack Obama’s course. However, the new President is a man that had presented himself as a destructor of the foundations, as a fighter against the system.

But the situation is paradoxical because, after he accedes to the post of President of the United States, Donald Trump will become part of the system that he wanted to destroy.

The USA is not an absolute monarchy. It is a country where the government is based on a complex system of checks and balances. And, of course, on the interaction between the President and Congress. Both Houses of Congress – and this is also the result of today’s election results – will contain a Republican majority.

If the US president wants to succeed – and such an ambitious man as Trump, of course, wants to succeed – he will have to cooperate effectively with Congress. With the Congress where the majority are members of his own party. And such a cooperation is a guarantee against any adventurism and emotional decisions.

However, the Congress will interact with not only Donald Trump but also with members of his administration, whom he will select from the same Republican camp. And all these people in positions of responsibility must also be approved by Congress. Thus, the US government will is not be headed by some eccentric businessman who decided to try himself in politics. The US government will be headed by the Republican administration. With all ensuing consequences.

I would not indiscriminately consider these effects to be negative. In any case, it was the Republican presidents that gave America the energy and rigidity making it a leader in the modern world during its newest history.

However, there is one holdback. Party affiliation is important, but Trump gave absolutely clear promises to the people who voted for him. He promised them to make America “great again” – that is to protect their work and return them their jobs. But how?

It’s very simple – by defending the American market with protectionism, trade barriers, and duties. This means slower economic growth, both in the country that is being protected and the countries from which it is protecting itself. First of all, this is the USA itself, and of course, China.

This isn’t very good for the world. Not very good for America, China, Russia. But for Ukraine, it’s not that bad. Because it would mean a further decline in oil prices. Another trigger reduction – Trump desire to promote American energy production, promote the achievement of “shale revolution” against the fears of environmentalists. Here they say that Trump has agreed with Putin. First, do not agree. And secondly, this decline in oil prices he did finish off.

Read also: How a Trump victory would affect the economy of Ukraine

And, of course, Trump’s victory means that people are more and more afraid of globalization and vote for decisions that are supposed to protect them from its effects. It’s no coincidence that Donald Trump’s victory is so often compared to Great Britain’s vote to withdraw from the EU – the new American President, by the way, was an active supporter of this decision. Now the world has to verify how effective this protection is and what the defenders are capable of after being granted with trust.

Donald Trump doesn’t know himself what kind of president he will be. But his election to the “highest office of the land” carries historical significance – now, people themselves will have a chance to verify how effective their faith in the possibility of turning back the clock actually is. By the way, Donald Trump may be the first one who will review the postulates of this faith.

Read also: Trump Revolution: From Russia With Revenge


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Translated by: Alya Shandra
Source: espreso.tv

Tags: , , , , ,

  • Turtler

    Finally, something halfway decent regarding the Trump candidacy and which looks like the poster paid attention to the American Constitution for a change…

  • zorbatheturk

    My guess is Trump’s ego is too small to be confined to purely domestic matters. The saying ” Be careful what you wish for! ” may soon apply to Mr Putin. A strong United States is Mr Putin’s worst nightmare. Trump will not be befuddled like Obama by climate change activism. This should mean lower oil prices. Another nail in Mr Putin’s coffin. If Trump tightens monetary policy, higher interest rates produce a stronger dollar, the flipside of which is lower commodity prices. Again, RuSSia heads for bankruptcy!

    • Turtler

      “My guess is Trump’s ego is too small to be confined to purely
      domestic matters. The saying ” Be careful what you wish for! ” may soon
      apply to Mr Putin.”

      Well, I’d add in the fact that even if Trump’s ego shrunk to being willing to play around in the small pool of North America- which would require nothing less than a Miracle of Bibical proportions- the interests and preexisting commitments of the US would not let him. Now,Trump could try disengaging and retrenching from a lot of them- and he might- but that’s going to take time.

      And if there’s one thing Putin, ISIS, and the PRC have demonstrated it is that they are impatient.

      “A strong United States is Mr Putin’s worst nightmare.”

      Agreed.

      “Trump will not be befuddled like Obama by climate change activism. ”

      Well, I can hope.

      That and hope he doesn’t get befuddled by Other things.

      “This should mean lower oil prices. Another nail in Mr Putin’s coffin. If
      Trump tightens monetary policy, as expected, higher interest rates will
      produce a stronger dollar, the flipside of which is lower commodity
      prices. Again, RuSSia heads for bankruptcy!”

      Here’s hoping!

      • zorbatheturk

        I am interested to see what Trump does on China.