- First: to serve as a cover for Russian attacks and subversion in a similar way that the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics were used as cover for a Russian invasion in the East.
- Second: to deceive the West that Ukraine has big problems in other regions outside the ATO and nurse the hope among pro-Russian people that Ukrainian government will soon collapse.
- Third (and most importantly) to keep a pilot light on for future Russian military activity in these regions. Right now the situation may not be ideal for Russian attack in Kharkiv, for example. However, by keeping the idea of the indigenous “Kharkiv Partisans” alive, the appropriate individuals and propaganda messages can be dusted off and used when the timing is right for propaganda emphasizing that the war in Ukraine is a civil war.

Kharkiv/Sumy
“The Kharkiv Partisans:” A terrorist group or just a front for Russian subversion?
Genesis:




Odesa
“Odesa Underground / Odesa Fraternity.” A propaganda project and/or an Odesan copy of the Kharkiv Partisans?
Genesis: Odesa has been the target of a pro-Russian bombing/sabotage campaign much like the one in Kharkiv. One of the attacks was claimed by a group calling itself the “Odesa Defense Committee” but they were not heard from again. By May 2014, the Ukrainian security services had identified 21 terrorist attacks in Odesa, most of them low-level and all but one without casualties. Ukrainian security forces cracked down and arrested a number of accused operatives. In mid-July, the Ukrainians expelled the Russian diplomat Valeriy Shibeko who worked at the local Russian consulate. The commentator Nikolai Holmov mentioned in a radio show that this expulsion seemed to coincide with a drop in bombings and pro-Russian activity. The lull may not last. In May 2015 a known pro-Russian activist started claiming he was the spokesman for a new armed group called the “Odesa Underground.” They took credit for bombing two billboards in Odesa in mid-June. They were not much noticed until early July when the “Odesa Underground” spokesman said that they had bombed an Odesan café owned by a Ukrainian patriot. The YouTube video taking credit for this attack included photographs, biographies, and addresses of several other Ukrainian political activists in Odesa. This was a barely-veiled threat. In mid-September a related political organization named the “Odesa Fraternity” had an inaugural conference in Russian-occupied Donetsk. The Odesa Fraternity is a who’s-who of pro-Russian Odesans living under Russian protection. The group openly includes the spokesman for the “Odesa Underground,” as well as another convicted terrorist from the early 2000’s and many other known separatists from Odesa. The Odesa Fraternity was called the “political wing of the Odesa underground” in the Russian press. The meeting notes, which were posted online, said that the conference “...is grateful for the support of the Supreme Council of the "DNR," its chairman Denis Pushillin, and the leader of the republic Aleksandr Zakharchenko.”Propaganda Themes: The emerging structure and themes of the Odesa Underground/Odesa fraternity suggests the Russians may be conducting a propaganda campaign repeating the success they have had with the “Kharkiv Partisans” – creating another supposedly independent group that can break ceasefires and conduct subversion. Russian propaganda about Odesa often emphasizes supposed persecution of pro-Russian activists in Odesa.



Trending Now

“Bessarabian People’s Rada” A political front for a new People’s Republic in a good location

Propaganda Themes: By continuing to keep the fiction of widespread Bessarabian separatism alive Russia can eventually use this organization as political cover to conduct subversion in rural Odesa Oblast. Indeed, the SBU claims that a major Russian attempt to start subversive warfare in SW Odesa was already thwarted. In addition to promoting the perception that Bessarabia is full of separatists, Russian propaganda often uses the “repression” of the Bessarabian People’s Rada to attack Ukraine as anti-democratic. This is likely an attempt to cause friction between Ukraine and her western supporters. There also appears to be a Bulgarian angle in propaganda about Bessarabia, probably because of Bessarabia’s large Bulgarian minority.


Chernivtsi
“Assembly of the Romanians of Bukovina” A propaganda project to promote the fiction of Romanian separatism

Propaganda Themes: The Assembly of the Romanians of Bukovina claims to only be calling for “Romanian Bukovina Autonomy within Ukraine” and emphasizes their limited demands for autonomy “right now.” The group’s statements and Russian propaganda about the group emphasize that the Romanians in Chernivisti are “Romanians living in a Romanian province, which is now part of Ukraine.”
