Why Ukraine’s counteroffensive failed: WP analysis in 7 minutes
After 100 days and 20 kilometers retaken instead of wargamed Azov Sea advance, US and Ukrainian officials have starkly different answers for "why"
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Analysis
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Analysis of events in Ukraine
What’s at stake if Ukraine loses?
Global security may spiral if Ukraine falls, with dictators embracing nukes while Americans question wasted aid and credibility.
Integration of Ukraine into NATO, WWIII-Free: Strategic guide by Kurt Volker
NATO should start talks in the NATO-Ukraine Council without delay regarding Ukraine's swift accession to the alliance, including an Article 5 defense plan, US diplomat says.
Ukraine military aid stranded by Polish border blockade
A brigade of military boats bound for Ukraine's counteroffensive sits stranded at Poland's border, which has blocked transport along with Hungary and Slovakia. Only Romania's border with Ukraine remains open currently, severely limiting military and humanitarian aid.
Expert: Ukraine must radically boost infantry to counter Russia’s “meat grinder” tactics
Ukraine must boost infantry quality to force personnel loss ratios requiring Russia to expend 15-20 soldiers to kill one Ukrainian, argues military expert.
“You are very special.” How Russians cultivate their agents in the West
Russian intelligence employs a patient, meticulous approach in cultivating assets, playing long games spanning decades. Defectors reveal files from the 1970s and 80s, exposing the depth of this Cold War-era cultivation strategy.
Not only Merkel and Schroeder: Germany’s Russia problem runs deep despite war in Ukraine
The German parliament, Bundestag, is a ‘theme park’ for spies, as German intelligence services are ‘castrated’ by numerous control mechanisms, an American expert highlights.
Battle of Avdiivka: Russia strangles Ukrainian stronghold
Avdiivka stands firm against the Russian onslaught even though the forces of the opposing sides are unequal.
Why you can’t compare casualties in Ukraine and Gaza
The UN's tally is being done with methods that are rendered meaningless in the realities of Russia's war against Ukraine. Nevertheless, it continues to be reported as if it was the real casualty rate
Russia’s “unprecedented” Ukrainian grain theft premeditated war crime, legal report suggests
The grand pillaging was planned ahead of the invasion and is purposefully designed to starve populations in Global South, Global Rights Compliance says
Analyst: Russia demothballs 7.5x more artillery than West sends Ukraine
Ukraine is grateful for every piece of equipment, but for any kind of breakthrough, more weapons are needed, says Volodymyr Dacenko
VSquare: Russian spies still call Brussels home
Kirill Logvinov, Russia's top diplomat to the EU, has continued wining and dining Brussels diplomats despite being identified as a Russian intelligence officer. Logvinov regularly hosts lavish dinners where he spreads anti-Ukrainian propaganda, even as Brussels looks the other way.
Four reasons the West should finally seize Russia’s frozen assets for Ukraine
Not only is it legally sound, it will discourage authoritarian countries from launching wars. And if countries act in unison, this step will not destabilize Western economies, a new report says.
Weekly Frontline Update: Cluster munitions save Ukraine from Russian onslaught on eastern front
Russia is stepping up offensive operations on the eastern front while Ukraine continues to decimate the Russian Black Sea Fleet in occupied Crimea.
Ukraine squeezes every last drop for defense in 2024 budget, Russia still 2.5x more
Ukraine is funneling 81% of all tax income to defense in 2024, still counting on $29 bn in aid from partners as Russia boosts military spending
North Korean arms transfers to Russia estimated over 500,000 artillery rounds in two months, OSINT group says
An investigative study, supported by satellite imagery and cargo analysis, confirms the delivery of 500,000 artillery rounds from North Korea to Russia within two months.
Brussels backs EU membership talks for Ukraine. Here’s what happens next
The debate is still set to happen at a summit in mid-December, but the approval of the European Commission sends a powerful signal to Ukraine, which was in 2014 invaded by Russia for choosing the path towards the EU.
Weekly Frontline Update: Russia burns resources in Avdiivka, while Ukrainians expand bridgehead in Kherson Oblast
Russia continued to throw more troops into the Avdiivka meat grinder on the eastern front, while Ukraine began moving armored vehicles across the Dnipro River in the south, less than 90 kilometers from Crimea.
OSINT data: Russia’s assault on Avdiivka costliest since all-out war outset in terms of equipment losses
Geoconfirmed's investigation confirmed Russia's major equipment losses in the Avdiivka offensive —197-215 combat vehicles damaged or destroyed over three weeks. This is "by far the most costly Russian assault" since the start of the all-out war, the investigators said.
Russia runs out of tanks as war intensifies
Ukraine inflicted unprecedented damage on Russia's armored forces in October, destroying over 400 Russian tanks, according to the General Staff.