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Analysis

536 posts

Analysis of events in Ukraine

16 minute read

Analysis

Ukraine moves to plug loopholes, demand equal sacrifice in mobilization

With manpower shortages mounting, exhausted Ukrainian soldiers lacking rest demand overhauled mobilization enacting defined terms and universal obligation as lawmakers debate new law.

byBohdan Ben

Blood Gold: How Kremlin mercenaries loot Africa to wage war in Ukraine

15 minute read

Analysis

Blood Gold: How Kremlin mercenaries loot Africa to wage war in Ukraine

Seizing African gold mines and building smuggling networks, the Kremlin-backed Wagner Group has generated over $2.5 billion to fund Russia's war in Ukraine. But there is a way to close the tap on Wagner's Africa blood gold pipelines.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

How Wagner Group exports Putin-style rule to Africa

15 minute read

Analysis

How Wagner Group exports Putin-style rule to Africa

Russia's Wagner Group follows a systematic four-part playbook to gain authoritarian control in African nations. In CAR, Sudan, and Mali, the Kremlin-backed mercenaries secure resource access for Russia in exchange for propping up Putin-like regimes.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

19 minute read

Inside Ukraine’s secret FPV drone labs racing to stay ahead of Russia

DIY warriors operating from garages with soldering irons are outmaneuvering Russia's state giants in the technology arms race -- so far.

byAlya Shandra

11 minute read

Analysis

Mapping North Korea’s discreet artillery ammo route to Russia

Detailed tracking shows North Korea exported enough ammunition to enable Russia's fivefold edge in daily artillery use against Ukraine

byTatarigami

6 minute read

Balance of war in Ukraine set to shift, not in Russia’s favor

As Russia's war against Ukraine nears its third year, a turning point seems imminent, with the balance of power likely to shift not in Russia’s favor. Factors such as intensified international backing for Ukraine, successful Ukrainian strikes on Russian military targets, and Russia's domestic economic struggles are reshaping the war's trajectory.

byThe Jamestown Foundation

UK security deal with Ukraine: Budapest Memorandum 2.0 or road to NATO?

13 minute read

Analysis

UK security deal with Ukraine: Budapest Memorandum 2.0 or road to NATO?

Britain became the first of G7 nations to commit to a bilateral security agreement with Ukraine. Though lacking firm guarantees, it has enshrined that the UK’s aim is to help Ukraine restore its 1991 borders – making it the first nation to do so.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

17 minute read

How Ukraine built a volunteer hacker army from scratch

Volunteer Ukrainian hackers have inflicted over $1 billion in damage on Russia, outmaneuvering its cyber defenses through constantly adapting, coordinated attacks.

byDavid Kirichenko

12 minute read

Analysis

David topples Goliath: Ukraine’s DIY naval drones outfox Russia’s Black sea fleet

Lacking warships, Ukraine came up with a “drone swarm” solution. They can swim, fly, shoot, and batter. The result? Russian Black Sea Fleet warships have fled to Novorossiysk - but are not safe even there.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

19 minute read

Analysis

Game on: How football survives in wartime Ukraine

Neither bombs nor destruction could extinguish Ukrainians' passion for football, which perseveres as an act of courage.

byDavid KirichenkoandbyAndrew Todos

8 minute read

Analysis

Russia left out in the cold as US sanctions torpedo LNG project

Russia's Arctic LNG 2 project now needs alternative investors, carriers, and equipment: its partners chose to leave over face the wrath of US third country sanctions

byMaksym Gardus

9 minute read

Slovakia quietly bolsters Ukraine’s defenses despite political rhetoric

Business overrides politics in Slovakia and Hungary as both nations' defense firms expand production and cooperation with Ukraine despite claims of not supplying weapons

byBohdan Ben

16 minute read

Analysis

Why post-Russian Studies are the future for a post-Russia world

As scholars of Russian imperialism from the Caucasus to Central Asia begin breaking academic silos to forge solidarity against Russia's invasion of Ukraine, a glaring question demands an answer: How much responsibility do researchers bear for the war?

byRoman Horbyk

4 minute read

Analysis

ISW: Four reasons why there is no alternative to the total liberation of Ukraine

Anything short of restoration of Ukraine's 1991 borders will be economically unliftable for Ukraine and the West

byThink Tank

Production of Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer Bohdana

12 minute read

With billions invested, Ukraine-EU defense cooperation gains momentum

Defense industry and cooperation can’t be built in one day. But the good news for Ukraine is that it can’t be canceled in one day either due to huge investments and multi-year contracts. Even if governmental military aid from the US or EU declines, new factories and joint production will continue deliveries regardless of politics.

byBohdan Ben

Putin wants to freeze war in Ukraine, claims NYT. Should we believe it?

10 minute read

Analysis

Five realistic scenarios of war in Ukraine in 2024: GLOBSEC report

New analysis gamed out several ways the Russia-Ukraine war could unfold, but saw little chance for clear victory or defeat for either side next year.

byAlya Shandra

10 minute read

Analysis

US academia still in thrall of “great Russia” myth

Terms like "masterpiece" and "genius" were far more likely to describe Russian versus non-Russian content, reflecting what researchers called qualitative bias

byOrysia Hrudka

10 minute read

Analysis

“People and Know-How, not corruption, now stymie Ukraine’s defense industry,” says Ukrainian Armor director

Ukrainian Armor stands alone as the only private company importing arms for Ukraine's military, with revenues surging over 100 times since Russia's full invasion.

byYevheniia MartyniukandbyBohdan Miroshnichenko

how many ships Russia lost black sea ukraine

9 minute read

Analysis

What Russian Black Sea Fleet ships were destroyed by Ukraine

A game of Battleship is unfolding in the Black Sea, where navy-less Ukraine, left to its own resorts against Russia's menacing fleet, takes out ships one by one with a combination of missiles, drones, and ingenuity

byAlya Shandra

8 minute read

Analysis

Putin wants to freeze war in Ukraine, claims NYT. Should we believe it?

Vladimir Putin has reportedly signaled a willingness for peace talks and softened his opposition to Ukraine joining NATO—a sharp turn from his past uncompromising stances.

byYevheniia Martyniuk

Analysis

Ukraine moves to plug loopholes, demand equal sacrifice in mobilization

Blood Gold: How Kremlin mercenaries loot Africa to wage war in Ukraine

How Wagner Group exports Putin-style rule to Africa

Inside Ukraine’s secret FPV drone labs racing to stay ahead of Russia

Mapping North Korea’s discreet artillery ammo route to Russia

Balance of war in Ukraine set to shift, not in Russia’s favor

UK security deal with Ukraine: Budapest Memorandum 2.0 or road to NATO?

How Ukraine built a volunteer hacker army from scratch

David topples Goliath: Ukraine’s DIY naval drones outfox Russia’s Black sea fleet

Game on: How football survives in wartime Ukraine

Russia left out in the cold as US sanctions torpedo LNG project

Slovakia quietly bolsters Ukraine’s defenses despite political rhetoric

Why post-Russian Studies are the future for a post-Russia world

ISW: Four reasons why there is no alternative to the total liberation of Ukraine

With billions invested, Ukraine-EU defense cooperation gains momentum

Five realistic scenarios of war in Ukraine in 2024: GLOBSEC report

US academia still in thrall of “great Russia” myth

“People and Know-How, not corruption, now stymie Ukraine’s defense industry,” says Ukrainian Armor director

What Russian Black Sea Fleet ships were destroyed by Ukraine

Putin wants to freeze war in Ukraine, claims NYT. Should we believe it?

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