Hybrid War in Ukraine and Belarus: same thing and potentially same disastrous outcome
Calling for dialogue, the Belarus opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanovskaya has stressed that "the revolution in Belarus is not…
Ukraine’s new National Security Strategy: Russia as the aggressor, full NATO membership, and a few drawbacks
Ukraine has still not established a common conceptual understanding or a common terminology. The disparity between the physical…
Zelenskyy is solving the wrong war
The real or imaginary threat President Zelenskyy has repeatedly reiterated his electoral promise to end the war. The…
What if Russia wins in Ukraine? Consequences of Hybrid War for Europe (Part 2)
In part one, I conceptualized the Hybrid War. I argued that it is a long term strategy, aimed…
Urging to reconsider Russia sanctions: peace at the cost of European integrity
The International Crisis Group (ICG) recently published the report “Peace in Ukraine I: A European War” which recommends…
While nobody is watching, COVID-19 may allow Russia to crush Ukraine
In an article published in March, I conceptualized the Hybrid War, highlighting its two crucial elements: Hybrid War…
What if? Hybrid War and consequences for Europe (part 1)
Ukraine is in the process of adopting a new National Security Strategy of Ukraine called "Security of a…
The basis for a peaceful resolution of the war in eastern Ukraine – trends at the end of 2019
As we try to predict the future, second-guessing what’s is taking place inside the head of President Putin,…
Why negotiate? Expectations for the Normandy Four meeting
The Normandy Four meeting scheduled for 9 December might very well be one of the most important events…
Minsk protocol and “Steinmeier’s formula” – conflict resolution or conflict conclusion?
Returning peace to Ukraine is the main priority of President Zelenskyy. He wishes to restore negotiations in the…
Hybrid War in Ukraine – predictions for 2019 and beyond
Does the Hybrid War actually work? In the aftermath of the first round of the presidential election in…