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Intel: Russia aims to destabilize Ukrainian unity through hybrid campaigns

Ukrainian intelligence reports Russia’s new focus on destabilizing Ukraine from within through hybrid subversive campaigns.
ukraine unity
Cadets of the Lviv Military Academy on Ukraine Unity day on 16 February 2022. Credit: Armyinfrom
Intel: Russia aims to destabilize Ukrainian unity through hybrid campaigns

The Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine has reported that Russia is actively seeking to disrupt the internal unity of Ukraine. This strategy includes the implementation of multiple hybrid subversive campaigns.

According to Ukrainian intelligence, Kremlin-aligned analysts have prepared suggestions for Russia’s higher military-political leadership for a more “effective” continuation of the war against Ukraine in 2024. A major issue identified by Moscow is the societal consensus and stability of Ukraine despite “the alleged emergence of internal political conflicts.”

The report outlines that the proposed method to “destroy the unity within Ukraine” involves conducting several hybrid subversive campaigns in conjunction with continuing intensive combat operations.

These campaigns aim to discredit the mobilization process, encourage a mass exodus of the population from Ukraine, and inspire regional divisions. The intelligence report quotes narratives proposed by Russian “analysts,” such as “The southeast is fighting for the interests of Bandera followers,” “Galicia, without separatists, would have long entered the EU,” and “In Kyiv, there is no mobilization ― everyone is walking around and having fun.”

However, the report also notes that Kremlin “analysts” believe that there are no longer any political forces inside Ukraine capable of changing the state’s development vector, and the number of those who were once sympathetic to the “Russian world” has catastrophically fallen.

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