Military buildup registered at nearly half of Russian bases at Ukraine’s border in late 2021, satellite image project shows

Russian military Ukraine border

Radar remote sensing imagery from the Sentinel-1 satellite (right) reveals the amount of miltiary equipment stationed at a Russian military base, seen in the high-resolution image by the MAXAR satellite (left). The images were made on the same date November. Collage by texty.org.ua 

Hybrid War

A satellite image visualization by the Ukrainian project texty.org.ua reveals that the amount of military equipment on 10 out of 26 Russian military bases at Ukraine’s borders has increased during September-December 2021.
At none of the military bases had the amount of military equipment dropped.

The project allows tracking the growth of Russian military bases at Ukraine’s borders using remote sensing data from the Sentinel-1 satellite.

In March 2021, Russia started increasing its military forces at Ukraine’s borders and in the occupied Crimea and Donbas. After talks between US President Biden and Russian President Putin, Russia withdrew some of the troops and equipment, but not all of it.

In the fall of 2021, Russia’s militarization started again. According to some tallies, 120,000 Russian troops, as well as heavy military equipment, artillery systems, means of air defense and logistical support of troops are present near Ukraine’s borders.

The interactive map at Texty shows the contours of 26 Russian military bases located either near the Ukrainian border or in occupied Crimea or Donbas.

The Russian military bases monitored by Texty’s project (the digit represents the number of military bases in the vicinity) ~

The Russian military bases monitored by Texty’s project (the digit represents the number of military bases in the vicinity)

Fragments from the app EO Browser, which allows visualizing data from the Sentinel-1 satellite at different dates when the remote sensing image was made, appear under the map upon clicking on a polygon.

Radar satellite images by the Sentinel-1 satellite reveal an increase of military equipment at the Russian military base Pogonovo south of Voronezh during November- December 2021. Screenshot from texty.org.ua ~

Radar satellite images by the Sentinel-1 satellite reveal an increase of military equipment at the Russian military base Pogonovo south of Voronezh during November- December 2021. Screenshot from texty.org.ua

Some Russian military bases show a recent growth of military equipment, like the one in Pogonovo (pictured above). Others show no meaningful change. Yet others like one in Yelnya (below) reveal a growth of military equipment in October, after which its quantity remained stable. A second military base in Yelnya showed a growth of equipment in December.

Yelnya military training ground

The military base in Yelnya shows an increase in military equipment over October 2021

We have conducted a short visual analysis of the dynamics of the military equipment on the military bases and found that the amount of military equipment has increased on 10 out of the 26 military bases during September-December 2021. Several bases had little traces of military equipment to begin with. No military bases had displayed a decrease of military equipment over the study period.

Russia

Yelnya 1

increase in October 2021, then stable

Yelnya 2

increase in December 2021

Klintsy 1

increase in December 2021

Klintsy 2 (inside city)

stable during September-December 2021

Klintsy 3 (inside city)

stable during September-December 2021

Klimovo

fluctuation during September-December 2021

Kursk

stable during September-December 2021

Kursk 2

increase during late November-December 2021

Pogonovo

decrease from September levels in November, then a further increase in December 2021

Boguchar

stable during September-December 2021

Valuiki 1

fluctuation during September-December 2021

Valuiki 2

slight increase in December 2021

Kamensk-Shakhtinsky

stable during September-December 2021

Korenovsk

stable during September-December 2021

Afipsky

stable during September-December 2021

Raevskaya

increase during December 2021

Occupied Crimea

Opuk

increase in December 2021

Perevalsk 1

stable during September-December 2021

Perevalsk 2

fluctuation during September-December 2021

Bakhchisaraj

increase during November-December 2021

Djankoi

increase during November-December 2021

Occupied Donbas

Shymshynivka

stable during September-December 2021

Buhaivka

stable during September-December 2021

Miusynsk

stable during September-December 2021 (few traces of military equipment)

Myrne

small increase in late December 2021

Kruhlyk

stable during September-December 2021 (few traces of military equipment)

The satellite imagery being used comes from the Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar mission, which allows taking shots of the same location irrespective of weather conditions. It is of the Interferometric Wide Swath acquisition mode with a 5m by 20m resolution. Artificial land cover is displayed as pink pixels. Compare the collage below to the one in our featured image at the top of the page: the high-resolution image (left) shows the absence of military equipment, and therefore there are no pink pixels on the radar image (right).

There is no military equipment on the Russian military base, seen in the high-resolution imagery from Google Satellite (left) made in November 2020. And therefore, no pink pixels are visible in the radar remote sensing imagery from the Sentinel-1 satellite (right). Collage by texty.org.ua ~

There is no military equipment on the Russian military base, seen in the high-resolution imagery from Google Satellite (left) made in November 2020. And therefore, no pink pixels are visible in the radar remote sensing imagery from the Sentinel-1 satellite (right). Collage by texty.org.ua

Describing their methodology, Texty wrote that they used only the satellite images made from identical orbits so that the angles from the radar to the surface of the earth are identical. They selected the images by selecting the latest image for the given territory and then finding earlier images made from the same orbit.

Texty’s project will be updated as new satellite images come in, so check their website later on.

Related:

Ukraine needs independent journalism. And we need you. Join our community on Patreon and help us better connect Ukraine to the world. We’ll use your contribution to attract new authors, upgrade our website, and optimize its SEO. For as little as the cost of one cup of coffee a month, you can help build bridges between Ukraine and the rest of the world, plus become a co-creator and vote for topics we should cover next. Become a patron or see other ways to support. Become a Patron!

Tags: , ,