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The logic of war

It seems that in the nearest future Ukraine is to expect a new phase of war, from which nobody will be able to hide. And the sooner we are psychologically prepared for it, the fewer victims it will result in.

As of today, nobody has any illusions, that Putin will stop at nothing. Russia, alas, has already passed the point of no return, at which it would have been able to reconsider and agree to compromise. The logic of any antiterrorism operation is such that the more the circle around the mercenaries narrows, the more dangerous they become for civilians. Ukraine’s support on all sides by the Department of State, new sanctions on part of the EU and Japan, the Kremlin’s total fiasco on the international arena, the failure of the military operation in Donbas – all of this put together will inevitably force Putin to seek new forms of escalating tensions in Ukraine. We have seen how Russian special services are apt at preparing such operation, with the example of the “Nord-Ost” musical, explosions at the Volgograd railway station, in the Moscow underground and at the central market in Astrakhan. Let us note, that back then they were dealing with their own citizens, now the FSB and MIH professionals have their hands completely unties: today they have real enemies, the Ukrainians. So there may be explosions in August, anywhere it is possible: at the “Stirol” chemical plant or “Privoz” market, the water pipeline in Dnipropetrovsk or the Kharkiv metro.

The unanimous flight of mercenary leaders from the ATO zone, the attempt to take the Lviv Mayor’s life with a grenade launcher, the murder of the Kremenchug city head and the soon-to-be governor of Poltava, constant signals about the mining of various buildings, the attack on “PrivatBank” in Kharkiv, the activities of intelligence and sabotage groups of the separatists in all of the East of the country are just the visible signals of the new stage of the bloody war. We can no longer doubt that Putin’s associates are thoroughly preparing it, everything is financed by Yanukovych and his Family, and the plan will be executed by dozens of professional terrorists who infiltrate the country on a daily basis. Now they are being sent not into the boiling cauldron of military combat, but the pre front zone and freed territories.

The Kremlin understands that the “Russian Spring” has failed miserably, they were also unable to pull Ukraine apart with the help of the PRD, PRL and other sellout separatists. Putin is so far not ready for a full-scale invasion, despite the constant accumulation of military equipment at the border. Therefore, while losing the military operation in Donbas, the mercenaries will take on peaceful civilians. The logic of how the events will unfold does not give them a choice, other than to start a hybrid war in Ukraine – with mass terrorist acts and large-scale sabotage. Ukrainian special services are quietly talking about how it is best not to aggravate the situation. Even President Poroshenko recently spoke about how the problem is quite serious. He confirmed the fears that terrorist acts are being planned in the country, and demanded that the SSU employ assertive measures to prevent them.

The ATO press center also confirms that the investigation and sabotage groups of the mercenaries have become significantly more active in the recent days. “Their current main task is the collection of intelligence data regarding the locations of the units and regiments of the ATO, the creation of an agent network, as well as the preparation to conduct terrorist acts among the civilians on freed territories,” says the official message. However, it is obvious that they will not stop at Donbas. Deputy head of the SSU Viktor Yagun concluded that the majority of the saboteurs are interested in the regions border the ATO zone, such as Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhya oblasts, to destabilize the situation and disrupt the infrastructure.

One of the leaders of the Kharkiv separatists Konstantin Dolgov also made it clear that the terrorists’ plans are no joke. According to him, “There is a threat to the underground in Kyiv, Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk, oblast center railway stations, airports and stadiums.” Most probably, they will start with sabotage in Odesa already in August. However, according to the plans of the Russian intelligence, the wave of terror has to cover all of Ukraine. According to the Kremlin’s plans, the victory of our troops in Donbas has to be marred by fear and victims among the civilians.

Where we want to or not, but we will have to learn to live with fear and make peace with the fact that we are in a state of full-fledged war. While before some managed to flee from reality and pretend that this has nothing to do with them, now it will be impossible to hide from what is happening anywhere: not on the beach, in the supermarket, the metro, the theater. The war will become total and all-encompassing, and combat will not just be the matter of heroic young men at the front or partial volunteers in the rear. And storage item, a suspicious passer-by, a plastic bag are henceforth a potential threat to the lives of hundreds. If the Russian terrorists mined schools and kindergartens in Donbas, it is easy to imagine what kind of evil plans they are ruminating. The nine people who got blown up in Donbas, among which there were children, are just the first victims of the second stage of the undeclared war.

There is no doubt that we will win in the end. The question is what kind of price will we have to pay for this victory. The sooner we learn to live in the conditions of constant threat of terrorism, without panic, emotional exhaustion, infantilism, depression, the sooner we will get the result we won. And this is the logic of war.

[hr] Source: Glavnoe
Translated by Mariya Shcherbinina

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January 14 – One Ukrainian military was killed and 17 injured in the ATO area in the last 24 hours, – informed NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko. The terrorists fired at ATO positions 85 times. Donetsk airport and towns around it remain the epicenter of most confrontations.

January 14 – On January 13th, the militants have used 220mm heavy flamethrower system TOS-1 "Buratino" for the first time since the armed conflict began. "Buratino" opened fire at the outskirts of Vesele village. "Buratino" systems have been transported from Russia. These weapons are prohibited by the international community. Russia ignores all the prohibitions.

January 14 – OSCE: There has been an agreement to cease fire close to Donetsk airport and arrange joint patrols – Deputy Head of OSCE's special monitoring mission in Ukraine Oleksandr Huh.

January 14 – Russia is rebuilding a former Soviet military base located 50 km from Finland, in the village Alakurtti in Murmansk region. It is planned that the base will become one of the key strongholds of Russia's northern territories, will strengthen country's defense potential and improve its territorial claims in the Arctic.

January 14 – The video of shelling the checkpoint near the town of Volnovakha by the Russian terrorists who killed 13 civilians, is available on the Internet

January 14 – European community should recognize that Russian Federation is the culprit in case of terrorist attack near the town of Volnovakha, – said Anna Elzbieta Fotyga, the Member of the European Parliament and former Polish Minister of Foreign Affairs (2006-2007) at the European Parliament on Wednesday, January 14th.

January 14 – Ukrainian military who are defending Donetsk airport (aka "Cyborgs") have captured two Chechen militants, -informed NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko.

January 14 – The transit of gas to Europe which goes through Ukraine, will be provided a different route. This was stated by the head of Gasprom, Oleksiy Miller during the first visit to Russia of the new Vice-Chairman of the Eurocommission on Energy, Marosha Shefhovych chovych. Miller related to Shefchovych the new position under consideration by the Russian side: the Ukrainian transit route will be transferred to Turkey and Europe should hurry to build appropritae gas transportable pipes in order to receive this gas in a new location which will be the point of release and delivery of the gas on the border of Turkey and Greece. Miller again affirmed that the project "Southern Stream" is closed. "The Gas flow Turkish Stream is the only route through which one can deliver 63 million cubic meters of Russian gas which are untill now still being transited through Ukraine. There are no other possibilities. Our European partners are informed about this and now their task is to create a necessary gas-transportation infrastructure from the border of Turkey and Greece," he stated.

Shefrovych in his turn stated that the decision of Gasprom evokes a reaction of surprise on the part of the ound outEurocommission: "Today we discovered that that gas which is transported through Ukraine – that amount will re-directed through a new pipe system. This concerns relatively large quantities of gas, which, certainly, are not needed neither in Turkey, nor in countries of South-Easter Europe," he told the journalists.

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March 8: Putin’s most important objective was to create a giant military base in Crimea

March 8 – 1 Ukrainian military was killed and 3 were injured in the last 24 hours in the ATO area, – informed NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko.

March 8 – Official Kyiv is ready to communicate with the representatives of Donbas – with those, who will be elected as a result of legitimate elections, but not with the warlords, – said Deputy Foreign Minister of Ukraine Vadym Prystayko: "At this point in time, there is a need to unite Ukraine, which is torn to pieces by our neighbours and thus we are ready to meet the needs and take into account the opinions of local people in these regions. But we cannot and will not talk to the warlords".

March 8 – During the night of March 8th, the intensity of provocative attacks by the militants decreased, but they violated "silence regime" 6 times, – informs ATO's press-centre. The enemy is using aerial reconnaissance – over the last 24 hours air defence forces have recorded the activity of 6 remotely piloted aircraft.

March 8 – "Since the annexation, Putin's most important objective was to create a giant military base in Crimea, not a gambling zone, where in addition to the fleet, there is strategic aviation, air defence, space forces, coastal missiles and nuclear weapons", – writes a journalist and human rights activist Andriy Klimenko (Crimea). According to him approximately 100 thousand troops will start serving at the peninsula over the next two years and there "should not be any disloyal residents – e.g. Crimean Tatars, journalists, community activists – all those who do not want to receive Russian passports and want to keep Ukrainian one. This will continue, unfortunately".

March 8 – Armed Forces of Ukraine have completed the fourth stage of withdrawal of heavy weapons from the combat contact line in Donbas according to Minsk agreements, – informed NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko: "We have completed the fourth stage of withdrawal of heavy weapons from the contact line. Earlier we withdrew 100-mm anti-tank guns – "Rapira" and "Ruta", MLRS "Grad" and "Uragan".

March 8 – In Luhansk Region during the period of carrying on of fighting activities, during the shelling of residential areas, eight churches of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church, which do not belong to the Moscow Patriarchate, were harmed "Ruined churches with destroyed altars and icons – a visible affirmation of what kind of "Orthodox World" the Russians and their mercenaries in Donbas are fighting for," Head of the Luhansk Region State Administration. Henadiy Moskal.

March 8 – Russia poses a serious threat to the safety of Europe and the European Union should continue a decisive policy of counteraction in regards to Kremlin.

This is presented in the article of the Head of the Swedish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Margot Valstrem, published in the newspaper Svenska Dagbladet. "We saw how Russia, without any hesitation, sent advanced armed force units across the border in order to support the separatists, who with weapons attempted to fight with the Ukrainian forces and increase their control over the territory of Ukraine," notes the Minister.

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January 22: Whereas Russia’s Foreign Minister Lavrov said again, mockingly, that he yet needs to be presented with any evidence that Russian army is indeed fighting in Donbas

January 22 – On August 24th, 2014 (Independence Day of Ukraine) Putin's army entered Ukrainian Donbas en masse and started its offensive. On January 22nd, 2015 (Day of Ukrainian Unity – celebrating the unity of Eastern and Western Ukraine) Putin's army has ostentatiously "conquered" a symbolic Ukrainian site – Donetsk airport – today Ukrainian military left behind most parts of the airport. Whereas Russia's Foreign Minister Lavrov said again, mockingly, that he yet needs to be presented with any evidence that Russian army is indeed fighting in Donbas.

January 22 – 10 Ukrainian military were killed and 16 wounded in ATO on January 21st, – informed the spokesman of the General Staff of Ukrainian Armed Forces Vladyslav Seleznyov.

January 22 – Whereas NATO would like to re-establish communication with colleagues from the General Staff of the Russia's Armed Forces, – stated Supreme Allied Commander Europe of NATO Allied Command Operations, US General Philip Breedlove (Reuters).

January 22 – The Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Oleksandr Turchynov hasn't ruled out offensive operations by the militants in the near future (stated by Turchynov as a result of his visit to the war zone, according to NSDC press-service). "New terminal has been almost completely destroyed, but our Armed Forces have strengthened their positions near the village of Pisky and inflicted a series of very strong assaults", – said Turchynov.

January 22 – Militants of the terrorist group "People's Republic of Donetsk" have "paraded" captive Ukrainian soldiers along the streets of Donetsk. Abuse of prisoners and torture of prisoners violates Hague Convention on the rules of military operations (The Hague Conventions of 1899 and 1907). Abuse of prisoners is punishable under Hague Tribunal. Instead, Ukrainian government is trying to start negotiations on the release of prisoners of war captured at Donetsk airport, – informed NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko.

January 22 – Self-proclaimed leader of Donetsk-based terrorists Oleksand Zakharchenko has said that they intend to "push the frontline" further from Donetsk. It has been previously reported that in September 2014, when explaining the invasion of the city of Novoazovsk and other areas by the militants and disguised Russian soldiers, Russian President Vladimir Putin explained that the main objective of the militants is "pushing the frontline further".

January 22 – In Donetsk, the terrorists fired at a trolleybus with a mobile mortar, killing seven civilians. The site of the attack is located 20 km from Donetsk airport. For several days now, the terrorists have been travelling around Donetsk in a van with a mortar, shooting at residential areas, trying to encourage the residents to take up anti-Ukrainian views.

January 22 – During the meeting in Berlin of the heads of the Ministries of Foreign Affairs of the countries of the "Normandic foursome," progress was made only regarding one issue of the Minsk agreements. This was written by Ukraine's Minister of Foreign Affairs, Pavlo Klimkin on his page on Twitter. "Yesterday in Berlin there was a Borodino – a diplomatic battle, which no one won or lost. We made one step forward on one point of Minsk agreements," he wrote. According to him, it concerns a ceasefire.

January 22 – Facts confirm that Russia is directly involved in the army operation in Eastern Ukraine. This was stated by the President of Lithuania, Dalia Hrybauskaite to the Lithuanian journalists during the Davos Forum, writes "This is open territorial aggression, carried out not by some terrorists-seperatists, but by Russia itself, because neither the separatists nor some other people can have such weapons. These cannot be bought at the market or on the street; they are very specific – they can only be owned by big countries," she emphasized. "All the more, there are direct indications that not only the weapons, but the army itself (Russian), its subdivisions are involved," said Hrybauskaite. According to her, Russian representatives are openly lying about the situation in Ukraine. "We really see an enormous demonstration of lying when they say one thing and do something totally opposite, when they blame one side, but, it turns out, that the obligations are not being fulfilled by the other (side)," said the President of Lithuania.

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