Is Russia getting ready to launch a nuclear strike from Crimea?

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Analysis & Opinion, Crimea, Military analysis, Russia

Last week, the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency published a report entitled Russia Military Power 2017. In particular, it indicates that Moscow regards the U.S. and its NATO partners as the main threat to Russian security, its geopolitical ambitions and, most importantly, the current government in the Kremlin.

“For the first time since the end of the Cold War, the United States recognizes that Russia poses a threat to their country.” says Leonid Polyakov, former Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine, chairman of the Expert Council of the Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament Studies (CACDS).

Polyakov notes that the United States and Russia have not yet concluded any agreements on the limitation of tactical nuclear weapons

“The United States insisted on concluding such an agreement. Even under the former White House administration, some congressmen believed that it should precede the signing of an agreement on the limitation of strategic nuclear weapons. Such an agreement was concluded, but Russia still refuses to sign a treaty on the reduction of tactical nuclear weapons.” Polyakov explains.

Leonid Polyakov

Leonid Polyakov

Polyakov adds that Moscow is stalling for several reasons, the main one being that for Russia tactical nuclear weapons are of much greater importance than for the United States.

“Moscow set forth a specific condition for signing this agreement… the Kremlin demanded that the U.S. remove all its nuclear weapons from the territory of Western and Central Europe. But, the Europeans themselves opposed such a move, insisting that they wanted to maintain American presence in their security system. And even if the U.S. agreed to this condition, I’m sure that Moscow wouldn’t agree to sign a treaty on the limitation of tactical nuclear weapons.”

This position stems from Russia’s objective weakness in relation to NATO. If we look at conventional weapons, the NATO group is far superior to the Russian one. The United States also has a significant advantage in space, which gives them additional intelligence and strike capabilities. Moreover, the United States has started deploying anti-missile defense systems, which Moscow perceives as an immediate threat directed against Russia. According to Russian military doctrine, this threat can be counterbalanced only with nuclear weapons. We should not forget that after the annexation of Crimea and Russia’s invasion of the Donbas, there were frequent allusions to a nuclear confrontation that actually turned into direct nuclear blackmail.”

Polyakov believes that Moscow is capable of launching a tactical nuclear strike on Europe.

“They haven’t said anything officially, but Russian diplomats have threatened Denmark and Sweden if they join NATO’s missile defense system. There’s no doubt that NATO military facilities, especially missile defense sites and nuclear weapons storage complexes, are targets for Russian nuclear weapons.”

Leonid Polyakov points out that the United States, as well as American military bases and submarines, are the target of Russia’s strategic nuclear weapons, whereas the range of tactical missile systems (for example, the Kalibr cruise missile) is only 1,500 kilometers… which would then target closer sites.

The Caliber cruise missile

Kalibr cruise missile

“So, Russian air strikes could target, for example, missile defense objects in Poland, an airfield in Bulgaria, or any other military facilities in Europe.”

Viktor Muzhenko

Viktor Muzhenko

On July 7 at a joint meeting of the Military Council of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Academy of Sciences, the Chief-of-Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Viktor Muzhenko declared that Russian troops were getting ready to place nuclear weapons in occupied Crimea.

“They’ve started working on restoring storage facilities for nuclear weapons – the Feodosiya-13 site – and a strategic aviation base at Gvardeyskoye airfield. At least one frigate and three submarines of the Black Sea Fleet are equipped with modern rocket systems (Kalibr-type cruise missiles) that can be armed with nuclear weapons.

Leonid Polyakov believes that the probability of such a strike is very high:

“The information supplied by Muzhenko indicates that Russia is getting ready to deploy and use nuclear weapons. The targets of these attacks would be any NATO administration or base: headquarters, military bases and aircraft carriers, such as those stationed in France and the United Kingdom, as well as missile defense systems that are deployed in Turkey, Romania and Poland.”

Speaking at the European Parliament in December 2016, the leader of the Crimean Tatar people, Deputy of Ukraine Mustafa Dzhemilev announced that Russia had already delivered nuclear weapons to Crimea.

Earlier, in an interview with Interfax Russia on December 15, 2014, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov stated that Russia had the right to deploy nuclear weapons in annexed Crimea.

“Crimea has become part of a state (Russia-Ed.) that has such weapons in accordance with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. In compliance with international law, Russia has every reason to dispose of its legitimate nuclear arsenal in accordance with its interests and in accordance with its international legal obligations.”

 

Translated by: Christine Chraibi
Source: Radio Liberty

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  • veth

    Crimea is Ukraine.

    • James

      half of the ukraine is Russia!

      • veth

        Whole Russia is part of Ukraine!

        • James

          east of ukraine is Russia, west is half poland half hungry… ukraine is an artificial state,in reality it doesn’t exist.

  • Screwdriver

    “Polyakov believes that Moscow is capable of launching a tactical nuclear strike on Europe.”
    This is shocking! We would not know that without Leonid Polyakov! Wow, what a discovery!

    • Mykola Potytorsky

      You know what is even more shocking ? You are still around spewing verbal vomit.

      • Screwdriver

        We are all around …very temporarily here. Think of it when you go to tserkva later today.

        • Mykola Potytorsky

          Do not worry I have better things to think about.

        • Brent

          And you’ll only be around this site making a lying a$$ of yourself until the Kremlin Mafia paychecks keep coming….

      • Rafael Hernandez

        Care to explain why he is “spewing verbal vomit” Or is this the same old ukrop troll line?

  • veth

    Australia Urges Russia To Cooperate With Initiatives To Prosecute MH17 Suspects
    July 16, 2017 09:12 GMT

    Australia has urged Russia to cooperate with new moves to prosecute suspected perpetrators, who brought down Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 over eastern Ukraine in July 2014, killing all 298 aboard.

    Dutch investigators concluded in 2015 that the jet was shot down by a Russian-made Buk missile over conflict-torn eastern Ukrainian territory held by Russia-backed separatists.

    Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop urged Russia to comply with UN Security Council resolution 2166, authored by Australia.

    “That calls on all states to cooperate to ensure that those responsible for the killing are brought to justice,” Bishop said on July 16.

    Last month, the Netherlands said that suspects in the case would be tried in a Dutch court, and under Dutch law.

    Russia, which denies any involvement in the fighting in eastern Ukraine, also denies one of its rockets could have been used to bring down MH17.

    Most of those on board the Boeing 777 on the flight from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur, were Dutch, but it was also carrying other passengers from 17 countries, including 38 Australians.

    ARREST PUTIN……..

    • Rafael Hernandez

      But somehow after 3 years, no conclusive evidence have been presented that it was Rebels or Russian soldiers who shot MH17 down. Strange isn’t it?

      • Mykola Potytorsky

        you are funny

        • zorbatheturk

          Krembots are as funny as nose warts.

          • Mykola Potytorsky

            they are nose warts

        • Dale Davies

          Like bleeding piles!

    • zorbatheturk

      Chute the Pootin.

    • Dale Davies

      Nothing of the nature of MH17 happens in Pootlerstan that little goat Bad Vlad does not order or at least is informed of. The assassination of Boris Nemtsov is another example. The Kriminalin will deny and deflect all accusations!

  • veth

    https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-mh-17-families-seek-justice-russia-three-years/28619155.html

    Putin must be brought to the Haque Prison, not a trial in absentia.

    • Dale Davies

      There is a long list involved including Yanukobytch!

  • simon boyland

    It amuses me when ill informed journalists write “articles” like this. Forgive me if I am wrong, but was Putin not asked to directly intervene in Crimea by Viktor Yanukovych, the illgeally deposed prime minister of Ukraine ?, so this invasion/annexation story is a pack of lies. Secondly, both Russia and China have proven that the west and NATO lied when they used the weapons shield to stop Iranian missiles lie, both the US and NATO know that Iran did not, and do not posess nuclear weapons, so how can you use that as a pretext to place weapons shields in Europe ?. Computer simulations have proven what Putin was saying all along, the weapons shield was placed there with the intention of limiting Russia’s capability of using nuclear weapons, could you imagine the uproar if Russia were to place similar on Mexico’s border with the US ?. Seems to me that the ones being deceptive here are not Putin and Russia, so your misinformation shouldn’t be treated seriously at all.

    • veth

      Boy, Viktor Yanukovitch never asked Putin to invade Crimea, and he was no prime Minister. and he was not illegally deposed as well.

      • focusser1

        Don’t ask a Russian to be bothered about facts.

        • veth

          Putin is born in Georgia……………

          • focusser1

            I was talking about the troll. :)

      • simon boyland

        Boy ? lol. You can’t patronise me son, I would utterly fucking destroy you. Secondly, Viktor Yanukovych has stated to the press that he invited Russia into the Ukraine, go and do some research. Thirdly, the fact that Yanukovych invited Russia into the Ukraine was confirmed by prosecutor general of the Ukraine Yuriy Lutsenko who has stated that he has a copy of the letter that Yanukovitch sent to Putin asking Russia to intervene in Ukraine. Word of advise muppet, go and do some research

        • Brent

          So Yanukovych invited Russia into Ukraine…..while Yanukovych was hiding in Russia after fleeing like a chickensh*t thief from Ukraine?

          I guess Putin killing off Yanukovych’s youngest son on Lake Baikal was the payback?

          I don’t think you could destroy that bag of Cheetos sitting on the desk next to your computer “Little Boyland”….. https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/32eabe5b3c1625d760b15c32d0f291bf9c24e7e18465f6c2186c626d9afc4e11.jpg

        • Scradje

          Kremtroll scum always present an accurate reflection of the naцi degenerates and throwbacks they troll for. Rehashing the same old lies and propaganda from 2014 demonstrates that they are witless as well as evil.

          • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G%C3%B6del%27s_ontological_proof Styx

            Scradje scum always present an accurate reflection of the naцi degenerates and throwbacks they troll for. Rehashing the same old lies and propaganda from 2014 demonstrates that they are witless as well as evil.

      • simon boyland

        Not illegally deposed ? lol, you really do not know shit about anything do you. Change the Veth to Meth, clearly a druggie who doesn’t know what they are talking about

        • veth

          There was no coup in Ukraine.

        • Brent

          Hey “Little Boyland”….alot of the nonsense you are spouting was debunked over two years ago. Ask “Kiko” for an updated Kremlin propaganda playbook because most of your fellow trolls stopped using your nonsensical arguments over two years ago….

      • Rafael Hernandez

        The crimeans didn’t want anything to do with the fascist Junta in Kiev

        • Mykola Potytorsky

          I hear they are pretty thirsty-any truth to this rumor?

    • Mykola Potytorsky

      Putin is the king of deception and lies

      • simon boyland

        Really ?, I am sure it isn’t Putin who is lying about putting weapons shields on the US’s border. I am sure it isn’t Putin who has been lying about Syria where again western governments were trying to overthrow a democratically elected leader. I am sure it isn’t Putin that was lying when he repeatedly pointed out that the west were taking things in a very dangerous situation and he did not want this to happen, as evidenced by recorded interviews with journalists. There is a lot of deception and lies, they are not coming from Putin, they are coming from the west and those who back them.

        • Brent

          And I’m sure you are just another moronic Russian troll. No one else believes Assad, whose family came to power in an actual coup in 1970, is democratically elected other than you stupid Russian trolls. But I guess you like those type of “democratically elected” leaders who use chemical weapons and barrel bombs on their own people.

          Will you still be celebrating them when Putin uses them on you Russian stooges when you finally wake up and see what a mess he’s made of your country?

        • Dale Davies

          Seems to me those weapon installations are at the invitation of the countries involved due to worry about the displays of Pootlerstan aggression.

      • Rafael Hernandez

        Where exactly?

        • Mykola Potytorsky

          everywhere-whenever he opens his mouth the only thing to come out is hot air and lies.

          • zorbatheturk

            And foul vodka breath that could strip paint.

    • focusser1

      You need to get facts straight before commenting. BTW, RT is more suitable for your posts.

      • simon boyland

        I have got my facts straight, far more so than the “reporter” that wrote this article, go and do some research, you might be amazed by what you find.

        • focusser1

          Yanukovich was President of Ukraine before he run away to Russia. He never asked Russia to invade Crimea, he asked Russia to invade the Ukrainian mainland. Also Yanukovich did not have the authority to ask anyone to invade Ukraine. You really should stop reading Russian media.

          • Dale Davies

            On top of that, Yanukobytch was “impeached” by his own political party for overstepping his rights and authority as president!

        • Brent

          The only thing that amazes me is you’re still using two year old Kremlin propaganda for the basis of your arguments…..

          What’s next? You going to try to claim a Ukrainian Air Force SU-25 shot down MH17?

          But here’s the most telling thing about your newly minted “troll” status. 3.5 years after Russia invaded Ukraine, you suddenly surface and have made a total of 11 comments about he entire subject….just quit while you’re ahead and before you make an even bigger a$$ out of yourself “little boyland”…..go back to playing Warcraft….

        • Dale Davies

          Ewe get free speech here unlike on Pootlerstan controlled news such as RT.

    • Brent

      You’re wrong and you’re not forgiven.

      Now go back to your computer simulation of having a girlfriend “little boyland”….and stop dreaming Mexico wants anything to do with you lying thieving inbred Russo Nazzi’s!!!

    • zorbatheturk

      Savushkina random name generator:

      simon boyland = Ivan Trollalotsky.

    • Dale Davies

      boyland! Good name for a Pee-Wee Pootler wanna be. you and Pee-Wee need to get out of pedophile land. This is more than just about Iran. General Pootlerstan aggression back to Georgia and Moldova and continuing to today with military jets in civilian airspace with transponders turned off. The “excuse” of equipment malfunction to explain is wearing thin. Turkey gave the correct response and look how their relationship with Pootlerstan is now. The boundaries were established!

  • Bayethe

    Of what tactic value is launching a nuclear weapon from Crimea over launching it from the Russian mainland ??? Stupid article really.

    • Oknemfrod

      Of none. But it doesn’t mean it can’t happen. When you deal with a sort of people who drink themselves into stupor or to death (what’s the tactical value in that?), anything is possible. Did imposing food sanctions on one’s own people have a tactical value? Did the shooting down of the MH17 have any? And if the latter was done by someone who after a drinking binge couldn’t tell a huge passenger jet from a military cargo plane, where is a guarantee that someone else in the same condition won’t fire a nuke-tipped “Kaliber” instead of a conventional one?

      • Rafael Hernandez

        Crimea is Russian territory, so they can do whatever they want there. Of course the Russian government is trying to deter any possible aggresion against Russia. Russia has been invaded in 1812, 1917 and 1941. Of course Russians would protect their borders, and the best way to do it is scare NATO of, so they don’t do a Serbia or Libya on Russia

        • Oknemfrod

          No civilized state has recognized Crimea as Russian; on the contrary, all civilized states have rejected the notion and consider Crimea a Russia-occupied territory of Ukraine, with a bunch of sanctions imposed against Russia just to make it loud and clear. Everything Russia has been doing in Crimea is illegal from the standpoint of the international law for the simple reason that its presence there is illegal per se. By stupidly clinging to the peninsula, Russia is burrowing itself increasingly deeper into the political and financial hole it’s dug for itself by invading Crimea in the first place. So far, the only benefit it’s derived from the occupation is the gung-ho “krymnash” euphoria it’s stirred inside the crania of mindless sheeple; but even the latter has been steadily wearing out.

          From the defensive standpoint, the value of Crimea to Russia is nil due to its very location, far detached from the main land. Even if someone wanted to invade Russia (which nobody after 1941 has shown any inclination to do), seizing Crimea would offer no value whatsoever. If the Russians really wanted to defend their borders, they’d concentrate troops on the Chinese border rather than in the West where nobody threatens them despite all the facetious declarations by the Kremlin.

          • Dale Davies

            Crimea is one step in a bigger plan that has been operation since the rise of Pee-Wee Pootin. The first hint of his thought patterns was his declaration that “the worst geopolitical disaster of modern times was the failure of the CCCP”. He miscalculated the resolve of the Ukrainian people. The acquisition of Donbas supplies financial gain to Pootlerstan while depriving Ukraine causing instability. I still feel there will not be a resolution until Pootlerstan is bankrupt again or there is military intervention to stop the bloodletting.

          • Oknemfrod

            Agreed! And there’s another important step that ought not be missed after it’s bankrupt again: Unlike a number of times in the past, it shouldn’t be fed and aided and thus effectively abetted for yet another cycle of its “raising from the knees”, only to turn around to bite the feeding hand and spit in the face of its very rescuer. Enough is enough.

          • Dale Davies

            True. But they need to give up and leave occupied lands. Might need to lose some land themselves as part of a surrender agreement.

          • Oknemfrod

            But of course. Yet they’ll do that only when they are, rather than being on their knees, are prostrated flat on their empty bellies and given an ultimatum in return for another portion of “Bush drumsticks”, as they called them in the 1990’s. First thing first.

        • Mykola Potytorsky

          why would anyone want to invade russia-the land of drunks and swamp-makes no sense

          • Rafael Hernandez

            Appearently Hitler did it for land, recources and leverage against UK. BTW your last thoughts in your comment are exactly the same one’s as Hitler’s and Patton’s. Guess what, they both didn’t die naturally.

          • Mykola Potytorsky

            did patton invade the russia?

      • Bayethe

        Lots of ifs and buts in there. care to give something a little more solid. With evidence perhaps, If it’s not too much to ask.

        • Oknemfrod

          Exactly one “if” and exactly one “but”. If it’s means “lots” for you, how many are “a few”?

          • Bayethe

            There is a second part to my comment. The one about substantiating your claims. Any chance of you doing that ?

          • Oknemfrod

            Haven’t made any factual claims. If you fancy I have, list them, chapter and verse.

          • Bayethe

            So you have decided to walk back your claims ??? That’s fine everyone is entitled to a second bite of the apple every now and then.

          • Oknemfrod

            Told you I’d made no claims. Nothing to renege on.

    • Brent

      Now “Bayethe the Buffoon” has been reassigned by his Kremlin handlers to this site too??? First it was “Screwball”….then “Styx/Ian Rutherford” and “Che Guevera”…..who’s next? Is “Kiko” going to upvote all you a$$clowns soon? Or worse….the notorious Austro Nazzi “Sergei Green” who kept changing his name on a weekly basis…..

      Too bad there isn’t a truthful bone or cumulative IQ above 38 for all you Russo Nazzi aSSclown$….but Putin rides his herd of mindless sheeple very well !!! https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/a5d11f5c7e3927cc6e55fd260f4e05bb7ca23984f9982551b99f2248af48ad3f.jpg

      • focusser1

        So this is where all the trolls now gather to graze?

        • Brent

          It was taken on the back lawn at 55 Savushkina before they moved….

          • focusser1

            I see many old faces come out from under the rocks since UA Today folded. Let’s hope they come back to Ukraine Today, I haven’t banned anyone for a few days. :))

          • James

            your ukrainetoday channel is just a pile of $hit ! you keep the same uKraP trolls there and ban anyone critical of “THE ukraine”

        • Bayethe

          They still gather in The Ukraine.

        • James

          Well you low life troll is your ukrainetoday channel not enough for you?

          • focusser1

            Come and see for yourself, see how long you last.

          • James

            no need to even waste time on your propaganda channel, the only thing you do is google pro “THE ukrainian” news and anti-Russian news, then post it on there. with your troll friends..

      • Bayethe

        “When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser”
        .
        Socrates

  • veth

    Crimean hotels owners quitting business
    A dramatic downfall in the tourist business lasting for two years since the Crimea’s grab by Russia did not prompt hotels owners into lowering prices this year. Yet, many of them have drawn their conclusions and are quitting business, faceua.ua reports July 16.

    Malyj Mayak, a once-popular town near Alushta, now has deserted beaches and cafes. Its coastal villas and hotels are empty.

    At $5,000 per acre in 2013, the land in Crimea was the most expensive in Ukraine. Now now, with the offers of sales of Malyj Mayak property soaring high.

    However, every potential buyer may be faced with strong risks against the repeated threats by the Russian authorities to pull down coastal villas and hotels.

    There are some 30 offers to sell spa property in Malyj Mayak alone on the Internet. Читайте більше тут: http://zik.ua/en/news/2017/07/16/crimean_hotels_owners_quitting_business_1132983

  • zorbatheturk

    Level the Krumlin. Stop appeasing Moscow.

    • Dale Davies

      Do NOT stop there!

    • James

      STFU you Turkish kn0b… go kiss your sultan erDoGan’s a$$!

  • Ihor Dawydiak

    There is one overwhelming reason why Pompous Putin the Pederast would never risk launching a nuclear war. He is too much of a narcissist as well as a quintessential coward. As such, although he could care less about the deaths of billions of people, just the thought of permanently losing the ability to admire himself in a mirror while fondling little boys would present itself as the absolute abomination. Hence the term, “Putin khuilo”.

    • Dale Davies

      To this point in time the threat has neutered the pions in the EU government levels. Appeasers all! Go back and read Mien Kampf by the psycho Hitler. Compare the events leading up to WW2 and how appeasement worked then. THOSE THAT DO NOT LEARN FROM HISTORY, ARE DOOMED TO REPEAT IT!