Copyright © 2021 Euromaidanpress.com

The work of Euromaidan Press is supported by the International Renaissance Foundation

When referencing our materials, please include an active hyperlink to the Euromaidan Press material and a maximum 500-character extract of the story. To reprint anything longer, written permission must be acquired from [email protected].

Privacy and Cookie Policies.

Putin and Trump may have chemistry but they don’t have physics to make a deal, Portnikov says

A meeting between Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump took place on the sidelines of the G20 summit on July 7, 2017. (Image: screen capture)
A meeting between Vladimir Putin and US President Donald Trump took place on the sidelines of the G20 summit on July 7, 2017. (Image: screen capture)
Edited by: A. N.

Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump may have achieved a certain “chemistry” at their meeting in Hamburg, as US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson suggests; but neither leader has the underlying “physics” that will allow for any real agreement or the capitulation of one to the other, according to Vitaly Portnikov.

The Ukrainian commentator argues that as a result, the meeting was less significant than many have wanted to make it into because at least at the present time, “both leaders simply do not have the platforms needed for an agreement” or even for approaching one in any serious way.

Portnikov argues that “Trump cannot capitulate to Vladimir Putin even if he wanted to but he doesn’t want to” for three reasons:

  • First, “he is president of the US,” and the relative power of the two countries is incomparable even when Moscow “decides to make use of the newest technologies for the destabilization of its opponent.”
  • Second, the state he leads is itself a barrier to any capitulation given how Moscow has been behaving.
  • And third, Trump can’t because he and his closest collaborators are “figures of an investigation into possible contacts with the Russians during the election” and the president must show “that he does not have any relationship to these contacts.”

But Putin cannot capitulate to Trump either and for three important reasons:

  • First, Putin long ago left the world of reality for a world based on fantasies of his importance.
  • Second, “capitulation would mean the collapse of Putin’s authority” in the eyes of his security service cronies.
  • And third, just as Trump has nothing to offer Putin so Putin has nothing to offer Trump which is not inconsistent with the political and “what is most important” economic systems of the countries that they head.

As a result, the two could talk as long as they wanted – “an hour, two or even three” and nothing would result, Portnikov says. Indeed, what their aides did announce after the meeting of the two shows just how little the meeting mattered as far as key issues are concerned.

The partial agreement on Syria had already been worked out before the meeting and in fact was announced nearly simultaneously in Jordan because it reflected the work of more than just the US and Russia. If the two are going to resolve the Syrian crisis, it will take far more than what has been announced.

As to Ukraine, it has turned out that “the American administration has no new form, that its entire model involves the demand that the Minsk accords be fulfilled and that there be a separate channel between the White House and the Kremlin,” something that was already in place under Barack Obama.

Kurt Volker, the new special US representative on Ukraine, is known as a hawk but in fact he simply is someone who “thinks in a sober-minded fashion.” That is indeed “an important signal to Moscow” that the Trump Administration is “prepared to wait until Russia weakens and capitulates” and better to the US than to the EU.

But Putin “will not capitulate,” and that appears to be something that hasn’t entered Trump’s mind, Portnikov says.

And as far as cyber-security is concerned. Trump knows that Putin is lying, but he has no strategy for dealing with that either. Consequently, the meeting could be praised by Tillerson only for allowing the two leaders to achieve a certain “chemistry” in their relationship. But “this has no importance at all.”

“Because ‘chemistry’ without ‘the physics’” which operates on the real laws of the world, isn’t going to produce any result at all.

Edited by: A. N.
You could close this page. Or you could join our community and help us produce more materials like this.  We keep our reporting open and accessible to everyone because we believe in the power of free information. This is why our small, cost-effective team depends on the support of readers like you to bring deliver timely news, quality analysis, and on-the-ground reports about Russia's war against Ukraine and Ukraine's struggle to build a democratic society. A little bit goes a long way: for as little as the cost of one cup of coffee a month, you can help build bridges between Ukraine and the rest of the world, plus become a co-creator and vote for topics we should cover next. Become a patron or see other ways to support. Become a Patron!
Total
0
Shares
Related Posts