Why Ukraine must not end the Donbas “blockade”

Russian hybrid army in the Donbas, Ukraine

Russian hybrid army in the Donbas, Ukraine 

2016/05/12 • Analysis & Opinion

Article by: Vitaliy Portnikov

If Russian officials say that only the end of the “blockade” will normalize the situation in the Donbas, it means that Ukraine is on the right track.

Vitaly Portnikov, Ukrainian political analyst and writer

Vitaly Portnikov, Ukrainian political analyst and writer

The statement by Russia’s special representative to the Minsk negotiations, Boris Gryzlov, that only the end of the “Donbas blockade” would allow discussions to proceed on normalizing the situation in the Putin-occupied region, reveals what Moscow really wants.

Moscow’s goal is for Ukraine to support the occupiers and the population under their control. Moscow wants the power in the “people’s republics” to remain with the thugs, who will be selected by Surkov [Vladislav Surkov is Putin’s special advisor, responsible for Russia’s Ukraine strategy — Ed.] and Gryzlov and for the money to come from the Ukrainian budget. They would kill us and we would trade with them. This is what Putin wants.

This is not a symbolic goal. The Russian ruler no longer has that much money. Soon he will not have enough for his own regions. It is understood that Russians have become used to poverty and will not complain when their quality of life deteriorates significantly. However, Russian authorities have their own “hot spots” — Moscow and St. Petersburg. The populations of the two capitals have to live comfortably, even against the background of general poverty. This is the key to stability and prosperity of any Russian government — from the tsarist and Bolshevik to the Putinist.

But in Russian history there have already been situations where there was not enought money for the capital — and then the regimes collapsed. And this is precisely what Putin wants to prevent. And for him, every penny is important now.

This is why Russian diplomacy is focused on solving the financial problems of the regime. It is fighting for the lifting of sanctions because Russia understands that their continuation will bring about the default of government companies. Russian diplomacy is trying to achieve the renewal of Ukrainian payments in the occupied territories because otherwise Russians themselves will have to pay.

If Gryzlov says that only the end of the “blockade” will normalize the situation in the Donbas, this means that Ukraine is on the right track.

Only the real reintegration of the region — without invaders and mercenaries, under the Ukrainian flag — will provide the solution to the problem. And until then Putin will have to spend money on the Donbas that he no longer has.

Related:

Translated by: Anna Mostovych
Source: Espreso TV

Tags: , , ,

  • Ken Sears

    I have been saying since this whole thing began that TIME is Putin’s enemy in this aggressive adventure of his. So…NOW is definitely NOT the TIME…since TIME is catching up with Putin and the “chickens are coming home to roost”…to make things easier for him!

    • Quartermaster

      The screws need to be tightened, not relaxed. Were I Poroshenko, I’d have people in each of the EU capitals asking for just that, and I would not rest until I got it.

    • Dagwood Bumstead

      The old Stones song “Time is on my side” certainly does NOT apply to the demented pedophile dwarf. But with time and cash running out, he may well see himself forced to move forward. It’s not in the dwarf’s nature to back down, so further aggression should not be discounted. And Belarus, riddled with Dwarfstan’s moles to a far greater extent than the Ukraine was, is an easy target. Apart from a few verbal protests it’s highly unlikely that any western “leader” will do anything. There certainly won’t be any resistance from the Belarusian army, despite Lukashenko’s bluster about defendig the country from ANY invader.
      For the dwarf such an invasion and annexation has only pluses. He gets a longer border with the Ukraine, compounding Kyiv’s defence problems. He strengthens his army with that of Belarus. He scores points with Dwarfstan’s citizens. And he also gets a direct border with Lithuania and a longer one with Latvia, together with Estonia his next targets.

      • danram

        Which is PRECISELY why we should have been arming Ukraine for the past two years!!!

  • Lev Havryliv

    Astute analysis by Vitaliy Portnikov. Russia’s war against Ukraine is bankrupting Russia. And the sooner the better got Russia and the victims of Russian aggression. The weakness and economic vulnerability of the Putin dictatorship is becoming more evident day by day.

    In no way can Ukraine consider any financial or other support for these Russian occupied regions until Russian forces withdraw and Ukraine restores control over its eastern border.

    • Dagwood Bumstead

      If the demented pedophile dwarf needs cash, all he has to do is tell Yanukovich Senior and Junior, Azarov and friends “Proffessor Viktor, hand over every cent in your offshore bank accounts NOW or you will be on the next Aeroflop flight to Kyiv!” That should keep Dwarfstan afloat for another year or so. But even these ill-gotten gains will run out. And the dwarf already had to slash the subsidies to Transnistria, South Ossetia, Abkhazia and the Crimea. There’s hardly anything left for the so-called LNR and DNR.

      I agree that as occupying power Dwarfstan should pay for everything in Donbas and Crimea. Kyiv should not send one hryvna to the occupied territories under any circumstances whatsoever as long as Dwarfsta hasn’t unconditionally withdrwn its thugs completely.

  • danram

    The author is 100 percent correct! Under no circumstances should Ukraine assume financial responsibility for the occupied territories unless and until they have FULL political AND military control over the ENTIRE territory and ALL Russian troops have left.

    Until them, let Russia pay to support them.

    “You broke it, you bought it!”

  • Commentor

    Nothing should get through. If the Tartars do not fight Russia by waging war against Russia in Crimea they deserve to lose Crimea.