Russia claims city it doesn’t hold. ISW says announcement was staged for US’s Independence Day
Putin claimed Russia captured Kostiantynivka. ISW and Zelenskyy both say it's cognitive warfare timed for US Independence Day.
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Ukrainian fortress belt
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ISW: Russia’s grand territorial ambitions are divorced from battlefield reality
The think tank noted that Russian forces first infiltrated Kostiantynivka in October 2025 and have made no significant tactical gains in six months, even as Peskov restated Moscow's withdrawal demand on four oblasts.