Russia can’t attack NATO right now—ISW explains what the new border bases are really for
The think tank says Russia's new NATO-border bases prepare post-Ukraine-war force projection, not a near-term attack.
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Institute for the Study of War
8 posts
ISW: Russia gains ground in Kostiantynivka but Fortress Belt stays out of reach
Russia's strategy of stacking armies on one Donetsk Oblast city is producing slow infiltration, not the operational breakthrough Moscow needs to crack the fortified chain, ISW says.
Russia is pulling strategic reserves to prop up a failing offensive, HUR says — and 20,000 troops is less than one month of its own losses
Moscow's military missed its self-imposed April deadline to seize three Donetsk Oblast cities, now it wants the rest of the region captured by September.
Russia spent two months advancing in Zaporizhzhia Oblast — Ukraine clawed back up to 9.5 km in a week
Counterattacks pushed Russian forces from over a dozen settlements and disrupted the timeline for a hypothetical Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operation, though Mashovets cautions Ukraine lacks the forces for anything beyond tactical stabilization.
Trade or nuclear war: Kremlin envoy Dmitriev’s visit to US shows Russia remains committed to Ukraine’s capitulation
The Kremlin envoy told Washington that failure to meet Russia’s requirements could trigger intensified military action.
NYP: Russia tells the world it’s winning — actual military performance paints a different picture
While Putin talks victory, Russia’s forces are stuck fighting for fields at unsustainable losses and can't break Ukrainian defenses.
Ukrainian counterattacks expose Russian command chaos across Pokrovsk front
Three Russian brigades forced to halt operations as coordination failures between army corps turn tactical setbacks into operational disruptions
Russian advances would take 83 years to capture remaining Ukraine, ISW says in its Ukraine Fact Sheet
The US-based think tank published data-driven analysis countering Trump's misconceptions about Ukraine's war effort, military losses, and international aid distribution.