Russia spreads false encirclement claims from Dobropillia to Kharkiv — ISW
Russian bloggers claimed they could target Dobropillia’s supply roads. Ukraine said its troops have kept the routes open.
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Institute for the Study of War
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Russia fabricates Dobropillia encirclement to strengthen its case for Kyiv’s capitulation at UN – ISW
Ukrainian officers describe active fighting around the Donetsk Oblast transport hub.
Russia’s answer to Starlink was written off as a failure—its satellites are still climbing
Forty-six days after their 19 July launch, the new craft sit at a median 365 km—higher than Russia's already-working first batch was at the same age.
Russia grinds up the eastern approach to Sloviansk after its northeastern push stalled
Russian troops pushed to the edge of Pyskunivka and infiltrated Mykolaivka, the village that would give them a dry approach to the city.
Ukraine has knocked out seven of Russia’s 10 biggest warehouses as its air defenses fall short, ISW says
The drones keep reaching depots that help supply Moscow's military, faster than Russia can shield them. The latest strike occurred yesterday.
US rebuilt full intelligence sharing with Ukraine—and Kyiv strikes deep inside Russia hit harder
Both parties in Washington now credit the restored flow of satellite data and warnings, reversing a short 2025 cutoff that a Ukrainian officer said cost hundreds of lives.
ISW: First Pokrovsk, then Huliaipole—now Russia points its logistics-killing air campaign at the Fortress Belt
The 2025 version took months to set up advances, and this one is expected to move just as slowly.
ISW: Russia’s long push toward Sloviansk gains no ground as Ukraine counterattacks
Its assaults across northern Donetsk Oblast produced no confirmed advances in the newest DC-based think tank's war assessment, an offensive now grinding into its fifth month.
ISW: Russia has taken just 81 km² of Ukraine this year—while claiming 2,226
The false picture is not just propaganda for the public but material that appears to reach the desk of Russia's leader, the think tank says.
Russia can’t attack NATO right now—ISW explains what the new border bases are really for
The think tank says Russia's new NATO-border bases prepare post-Ukraine-war force projection, not a near-term attack.
ISW: Russia gains ground in Kostiantynivka but Fortress Belt stays out of reach
Russia's strategy of stacking armies on one Donetsk Oblast city is producing slow infiltration, not the operational breakthrough Moscow needs to crack the fortified chain, ISW says.
Russia is pulling strategic reserves to prop up a failing offensive, HUR says — and 20,000 troops is less than one month of its own losses
Moscow's military missed its self-imposed April deadline to seize three Donetsk Oblast cities, now it wants the rest of the region captured by September.
Russia spent two months advancing in Zaporizhzhia Oblast — Ukraine clawed back up to 9.5 km in a week
Counterattacks pushed Russian forces from over a dozen settlements and disrupted the timeline for a hypothetical Orikhiv-Zaporizhzhia operation, though Mashovets cautions Ukraine lacks the forces for anything beyond tactical stabilization.
Trade or nuclear war: Kremlin envoy Dmitriev’s visit to US shows Russia remains committed to Ukraine’s capitulation
The Kremlin envoy told Washington that failure to meet Russia’s requirements could trigger intensified military action.
NYP: Russia tells the world it’s winning — actual military performance paints a different picture
While Putin talks victory, Russia’s forces are stuck fighting for fields at unsustainable losses and can't break Ukrainian defenses.
Ukrainian counterattacks expose Russian command chaos across Pokrovsk front
Three Russian brigades forced to halt operations as coordination failures between army corps turn tactical setbacks into operational disruptions
Russian advances would take 83 years to capture remaining Ukraine, ISW says in its Ukraine Fact Sheet
The US-based think tank published data-driven analysis countering Trump's misconceptions about Ukraine's war effort, military losses, and international aid distribution.