The dispute over Greenland poses a direct threat to international support for Ukraine, as Kyiv critically depends on both the US and the EU. Ukraine has effectively found itself caught between two positions, says diplomat Vadym Triukhan, Kyiv 24 reports.
Recently, US President Donald Trump has claimed that Greenland is "unprotected" against a Russia–China threat and effectively demanded that the island be placed under US control. Such a position threatens international law and casts doubt on any security guarantees in a potential peace deal between Ukraine and Russia.
According to him, any choice, even a symbolic one, could negatively affect relations with the other side.
As a result, this could weaken Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression, which claims the lives of dozens of civilians and hundreds of soldiers every day.
Critical dependence on Washington: weapons, Europe cannot fully replace
“Ukraine largely depends on the position of the US in many international organizations ... such as the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank,” Triukhan emphasizes.
Beyond the financial dimension, the intelligence factor remains extremely important.
Although French President Emmanuel Macron previously stated that Paris currently covers three to four volumes of intelligence previously provided by the US, he simultaneously acknowledged that Europe is not capable of supplying 100% of the necessary data, the expert recalls.
Also, the US produces critical types of weaponry that still lack full-fledged equivalents worldwide.
“This includes, in particular, missiles for Patriot systems. That is why taking sides in a conflict between one partner and another is an extremely thankless task,” the expert stresses.
What if partners reconcile and Ukraine does not
Triukhan also draws attention to another key factor—the personality of US President Donald Trump. He is known for his flamboyance and willingness to sharply raise the stakes, but he also has a reputation as a politician who knows how to strike deals, including at the interstate level.
“Let us imagine what would happen if we, figuratively speaking, ‘fell out’ with the Americans, and the very next day or a few days later they reached an agreement with Denmark with the support of Europeans,” the political analyst notes.
In such a scenario, the partners would reconcile, while Ukraine, having intervened and taken someone’s side, would risk damaging relations with another key ally for a long time.
At the same time, the expert acknowledges that Europe’s partners deserve credit. They have managed to cover 2025 and are likely capable of covering at least the next two years as well, both financially and in terms of the bulk of their weaponry.
But not all of it.
