Russia has ramped up its production capabilities and can now launch up to 500 drones per day, including up to 300 strike drones such as the Geran-2 or Shahed-136 and Garpia-A1, and up to 200 decoy drones, Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence (HUR) told RBK-Ukraine.
According to HUR, Russia has already stockpiled over 6,000 strike drones and another 6,000 decoys, and its daily production rate is increasing, from 170 drones per day today to 190 drones per day by the end of 2025.
Crucially, Moscow no longer relies on Iran: it has established a closed-loop production cycle for drones on Russian territory.
Meanwhile, the Russian arsenal also includes more than 1,950 strategic missiles, including:
- Up to 500 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
- Up to 300 Iskander-K cruise missiles
- Up to 260 Kh-101 missiles (used by Tu-95, Tu-160 bombers)
- Up to 280 Kh-22/Kh-32 missiles (Tu-22M3 bombers)
- Over 400 Kalibr cruise missiles
- Up to 150 Kinzhal hypersonic missiles (MiG-31K)
- Up to 60 North Korean KN-23 missiles
The HUR reports that Russia manufactures up to 195 new missiles every month, posing a constant threat to Ukrainian infrastructure, defense, and civilians.
To counter this threat, Ukraine urgently needs more air defense systems, particularly the Patriot, which is among the few capable of intercepting ballistic missiles. However, even the most advanced air defenses may struggle against a mass swarm of drones launched simultaneously.
That’s why experts stress the need for autonomous AI-powered interceptor drones capable of operating independently from human control. This would allow for faster, scalable, and more resilient protection against UAV saturation attacks.
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