Copyright © 2024

The work of Euromaidan Press is supported by the International Renaissance Foundation

When referencing our materials, please include an active hyperlink to the Euromaidan Press material and a maximum 500-character extract of the story. To reprint anything longer, written permission must be acquired from [email protected].

Privacy and Cookie Policies.

As life goes back to normal, Ukraine registers record number of new daily COVID-19 cases

Passersby on a street in Kyiv, 4 June 2020. Photo: Euromaidan Press
As life goes back to normal, Ukraine registers record number of new daily COVID-19 cases

Ukraine is slowly getting back to normal and lifting its quarantine restrictions, but the COVID-19 epidemic in the country is far from subdued.

A record number of 588 new COVID-19 cases was registered in the country on 3 June, according to statistics published by the Ministry of Health. This is the largest number of new daily cases since the outset of the epidemic in Ukraine. See how in this excerpt from our live page Interactive COVID-19: Ukraine and world:

var divElement = document.getElementById(‘viz1591313837022’); var vizElement = divElement.getElementsByTagName(‘object’)[0]; if ( divElement.offsetWidth > 800 ) {’100%’;*0.75)+’px’;} else if ( divElement.offsetWidth > 500 ) {’100%’;*0.75)+’px’;} else {’100%’;*1.77)+’px’;} var scriptElement = document.createElement(‘script’); scriptElement.src = ‘’; vizElement.parentNode.insertBefore(scriptElement, vizElement);

The number of recoveries was also the largest on 3 June – 602. Taken together, although the number of recoveries and new infections has lately been roughly equal, there are still more infections and the number of active cases (yellow on the graph below) has been rising incrementally in the last weeks:

Data: snapshot from our live page Interactive COVID-19: Ukraine and world

This trend is alarming because Ukraine is slowly lifting its COVID-19 lockdown measures. The country reacted swiftly, imposing a strict lockdown before there was a large COVID-19 outbreak and has thus far managed to evade the staggering death tolls of Western Europe. Schools and public transport were closed in early March, as were restaurants and non-essential shops. This strict lockdown lasted for nearly two months until public resistance started growing and on May 22 Ukraine relaunched public transport and started gradually opening up venues. Notably, restaurants with inside seating are to be reopened on 5 June.

Despite the quarantine being phased out, COVID-19 isn’t. Ukraine’s Ministry of Health says that more and more oblasts are not ready to ease the lockdown.

On 4 June, Ukraine’s Ministry of Health stated that 9 regions – Volynska, Dnipropetrovska, Donetska, Zhytomyrska, Luhanska, Lvivska, Rivnenska, Chernivetska oblasts and the capital Kyiv – are not ready to soften the lockdown (marked with a red X below), while on 1 June the number was only 6:

Data: snapshot from our live page Interactive COVID-19: Ukraine and world. The Ukrainian Ministry of Health determines the readiness of Ukrainian Oblasts to relax the quarantine based on 3 measures: if infection rates in the last 7 days are below 12 people per 100,000 citizens, if bed occupancy in health facilities designated for hospitalization of patients with confirmed COVID-19 cases is less than 50%, and if the average number of PCR tests is over 12 per 100,000 citizens in the past seven days.

Offering further pessimism is a graph of the reproduction number of COVID-19 in Ukraine, or simply R. It is a way of rating a disease’s ability to spread. It’s the number of people that one infected person will pass the virus on to, on average.

Some diseases, like measles, spread very quickly – it has a reproduction number of 15 in populations without immunity. The new coronavirus, known officially as Sars-CoV-2, has a reproduction number of about three, but estimates vary.

This is why nations have imposed lockdowns around the world: to lower the R so that eventually the outbreak of disease subsides.

Dr. Ihor Ivanov, a researcher at the Institute of Mechanics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, has been modeling reproduction numbers for COVID-19 in Ukraine. His results are in the graph below.

On the Y-axis is the sum of new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days. On the X-axis is the R number calculated by Dr. Ivanov. On 16 April, the R number was the highest: one person infected more than 1.5 people, on average. Then R gradually lowered, until it passed the threshold of 1 (the thick black vertical line) on 10 May, when 3350 new people were contracting COVID-19 per week, meaning that one person infected fewer than one other person, on average.

After that, we see both the number of infected people and R falling until 19 May, after which the trend is reversed – both R and the number of new infected people rises, until on 30 May R is again over 1, meaning that one infected person will pass on the disease to more than one other person and the outbreak of disease grows.

Did the quarantine which started to be relaxed on 12 May have something to do with this? It may very well be – as the number of newly infected people will be registered on tests with a lag of around a week.

Graph: Ihor Ivanov, edited by Euromaidan Press

This means that, unfortunately, Ukraine will need to make the difficult choice of either prolonging the lockdown at the cost of the economy or prepare for many more deaths over the summer. It failed to suppress the outbreak in the two months of lockdown and is thus will be forced to face the problem while its population has become weary of following lockdown limitations.

See more graphs at our live page Interactive COVID-19: Ukraine and world:


You could close this page. Or you could join our community and help us produce more materials like this.  We keep our reporting open and accessible to everyone because we believe in the power of free information. This is why our small, cost-effective team depends on the support of readers like you to bring deliver timely news, quality analysis, and on-the-ground reports about Russia's war against Ukraine and Ukraine's struggle to build a democratic society. A little bit goes a long way: for as little as the cost of one cup of coffee a month, you can help build bridges between Ukraine and the rest of the world, plus become a co-creator and vote for topics we should cover next. Become a patron or see other ways to support. Become a Patron!

To suggest a correction or clarification, write to us here

You can also highlight the text and press Ctrl + Enter

Please leave your suggestions or corrections here

    Euromaidan Press

    We are an independent media outlet that relies solely on advertising revenue to sustain itself. We do not endorse or promote any products or services for financial gain. Therefore, we kindly ask for your support by disabling your ad blocker. Your assistance helps us continue providing quality content. Thank you!

    Related Posts