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Moldova elections: Pro-Russian vs Pro-EU performance (2014-2025)
🎯 2025 Polling Miss: Major Pro-EU Victory
Pre-election polls (among decided voters): Pro-Russian 44.4% vs Pro-EU 34.7%
Actual results: Pro-EU 50.2% vs Pro-Russian 24.2%
The pro-EU PAS party dramatically outperformed projections, securing a clear parliamentary majority (~55 seats) despite widespread concerns about Russian interference and vote-buying.
| Year | Election type | Pro-Russian performance | Pro-EU performance | Winner | Key notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Parliamentary | 38% (PSRM + PCRM) | 45% (PLDM + PDM + PL) | Pro-EU Coalition | PSRM emerged as largest single party |
| 2016 | Presidential | 52.2% (Dodon) | 47.8% (Sandu) | Pro-Russian | Peak of pro-Russian electoral success |
| 2019 | Parliamentary | 39.5% (PSRM + Șor) | 26.8% (ACUM bloc) | Pro-Russian | PSRM largest party, complex coalitions |
| 2020 | Presidential | 42.3% (Dodon) | 57.7% (Sandu) | Pro-EU | Diaspora vote crucial for Sandu |
| 2021 | Parliamentary | 33% (BECS + Șor) | 52.8% (PAS) | Pro-EU | PAS absolute majority, major shift |
| 2024 | Presidential | 44.7% (Stoianoglo) | 55.3% (Sandu) | Pro-EU | Close race, Russian interference alleged |
| 2025 | Parliamentary (Pre-election Poll) | ~44.4% (BEP + Others) | ~34.7% (PAS) | Pro-Russian? | Polling among decided voters; ~40% undecided |
| 2025 | Parliamentary (ACTUAL RESULTS) | 24.2% (BEP) | 50.2% (PAS) | ✓ Pro-EU | PAS won ~55 seats, clear majority despite Russian interference attempts |
Key trends & observations
- 2014-2016: Pro-Russian parties gained momentum, culminating in Dodon's presidential victory
- 2020-2021: Major pro-EU surge with Sandu's presidency and PAS parliamentary dominance
- 2024: Pro-Russian support remained resilient (~45%) despite EU integration progress
- 2025 Pre-election: Polls suggested pro-Russian comeback (44.4% vs 34.7%), with 40% undecided
- 2025 Actual Results: Massive polling miss - PAS won decisively 50.2% vs BEP 24.2%, securing ~55 parliamentary seats
- Diaspora Impact: Moldovan voters abroad (mostly pro-EU) were once again decisive, helping PAS exceed expectations
- Turnout: 52.2% voter turnout - higher than previous parliamentary elections
- Russian Interference: Despite massive alleged vote-buying schemes (138,000+ people paid), cyberattacks, and disinformation, pro-EU forces prevailed
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and focused on urgent measures to strengthen Ukraine’s defense, addressing the acute shortage of ammunition in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and exploring ways to enhance Ukraine’s air defense capabilities, including air defense systems and missiles. AAAA aaa A a | АААА А ааа а acute shortage of ammunition
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The Russian Volunteer Corps and Freedom of Russia Legion, who since 1 June have been conducting a renewed military operation in Russia’s Belgorod Oblast, announced that the governor of Belgorod Oblast, Vyachelav Gladkov, failed to meet them at a church in Nova Tavolzhanka to retrieve the captive Russian soldiers. Instead, the groups stated that they will hand over the prisoners to Ukraine for further exchanges.
Ramstein-Miesenbach Air Base in Germany and focused on urgent measures
Moldova elections: Pro-Russian vs Pro-EU performance (2014-2025)
🎯 2025 Polling Miss: Major Pro-EU Victory
Pre-election polls (among decided voters): Pro-Russian 44.4% vs Pro-EU 34.7%
Actual results: Pro-EU 50.2% vs Pro-Russian 24.2%
The pro-EU PAS party dramatically outperformed projections, securing a clear parliamentary majority (~55 seats) despite widespread concerns about Russian interference and vote-buying.
| Year | Election type | Pro-Russian performance | Pro-EU performance | Winner | Key notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Parliamentary | 38% (PSRM + PCRM) | 45% (PLDM + PDM + PL) | Pro-EU Coalition | PSRM emerged as largest single party |
| 2016 | Presidential | 52.2% (Dodon) | 47.8% (Sandu) | Pro-Russian | Peak of pro-Russian electoral success |
| 2019 | Parliamentary | 39.5% (PSRM + Șor) | 26.8% (ACUM bloc) | Pro-Russian | PSRM largest party, complex coalitions |
| 2020 | Presidential | 42.3% (Dodon) | 57.7% (Sandu) | Pro-EU | Diaspora vote crucial for Sandu |
| 2021 | Parliamentary | 33% (BECS + Șor) | 52.8% (PAS) | Pro-EU | PAS absolute majority, major shift |
| 2024 | Presidential | 44.7% (Stoianoglo) | 55.3% (Sandu) | Pro-EU | Close race, Russian interference alleged |
| 2025 | Parliamentary (Pre-election Poll) | ~44.4% (BEP + Others) | ~34.7% (PAS) | Pro-Russian? | Polling among decided voters; ~40% undecided |
| 2025 | Parliamentary (ACTUAL RESULTS) | 24.2% (BEP) | 50.2% (PAS) | ✓ Pro-EU | PAS won ~55 seats, clear majority despite Russian interference attempts |
Key trends & observations
- 2014-2016: Pro-Russian parties gained momentum, culminating in Dodon's presidential victory
- 2020-2021: Major pro-EU surge with Sandu's presidency and PAS parliamentary dominance
- 2024: Pro-Russian support remained resilient (~45%) despite EU integration progress
- 2025 Pre-election: Polls suggested pro-Russian comeback (44.4% vs 34.7%), with 40% undecided
- 2025 Actual Results: Massive polling miss - PAS won decisively 50.2% vs BEP 24.2%, securing ~55 parliamentary seats
- Diaspora Impact: Moldovan voters abroad (mostly pro-EU) were once again decisive, helping PAS exceed expectations
- Turnout: 52.2% voter turnout - higher than previous parliamentary elections
- Russian Interference: Despite massive alleged vote-buying schemes (138,000+ people paid), cyberattacks, and disinformation, pro-EU forces prevailed
