Putin’s preparations for war reflect total bankruptcy of his system, Melnikov says

Russian kindergarten children holding Kalashnikov assault rifles, grenades and grenade launchers after a "patriotism" lesson in St. Petersburg, Russia, February 2015 (Image: social media)

Russian kindergarten children holding Kalashnikov assault rifles, grenades and grenade launchers after a "patriotism" lesson in St. Petersburg, Russia, February 2015 (Image: social media) 

Analysis & Opinion, Military analysis

Recent days have featured a drumbeat of developments suggesting Russia is preparing for war: Moscow has boosted its military spending, Vladimir Putin has told businesses to go on a military footing, Patriarch Kirill has spoken about a looming apocalypse, and school children are being instructed on how to cope with a military conflict.

The big question is “why?” As Moscow blogger Aleksandr Melnikov points out, “there are no military threats to Russia, no country has territorial claims against our country, and no one is preparing to attack it.” Instead, he suggests, the reason for Putin’s war talk lies within his elite and his inability to offer Russia anything else.

“The final goal of the system which is failing in Russia, the logical conclusion of all its shameful existence can be only a war with the contemporary world,” he continues. “The first steps have already been made – Ukraine, conflict with Western countries, aggressive interference in their internal affairs, and the militarization of all social life of the country.”

Under Putin, “the rotting Russian system has no other sense.” And it is happening, Melnikov says, because that system has “nothing to offer its citizens, and nothing to offer to the world.” It has led itself into a dead end and views talk of war as the only way to keep its rulers in positions of whatever happens to anyone else.

“The results are well-known,” the blogger continues. “Sanctions, a lack of capital, the rotting away of ‘state companies,’ enormous social differentiation, the robbing of the regions, privileges for the ruling bosses, the lack of prospects for the young, a brain drain, pensions at the poverty level, open deceiving of pensioners, the insanity of the ruling hierarchs. A completely and absolutely poor country.”

“Ahead there is no dawn: things will only get worse in every sense. This is completely obvious,” Melnikov argues. Consequently, “the last exit for the ruling bosses is to drive their passive people into the box of preparation for war. They are doing this step by step, gradually moving forward to their goal.”

Whether there will be a war or not is still unknown. “But to live this war, to make the life of people a preparation for war, having based it on hatred and using it to hide all the failures of the Russian bosses and all Russian society, that will happen,” for the same reasons and with the same short-term effect as the Anschluss of Crimea.

“If a war with the Western world happens, this will be the last Russian war: the country will lose it, with enormous victims and destruction.” But in some respects, the Russian people have already lost because they have shown themselves willing to be driven about in any direction that Putin and his bosses want. “They will agree to anything.”

“What will be ‘the trigger’ of such a war?” That is clear, Melnikov says. “If the Western governments freeze the money and property of the upper Russian rulers and their friends held in the West, then the last thread and the last meaning of existence together with the West will be lost for the Russian elite.”

And then, Melnikov concludes, “the country will still more rapidly head toward the abyss of history,” all to save rulers that have done nothing to save the Russian people.

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Edited by: A. N.

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  • focusser

    I hope Putin re-elects himself for another 5 years. That will destroy Russia altogether. You are doing a great job Vlad, keep it up.

    • Tony

      To destroy russia, we just need to tell russians what they want to hear.
      That they need a stronger military and stricter control of socitey.
      Then they will end up like North Korea, spending everything on military while living in hell and still be unable to actually win militarily because they killed their economy in the process. Plus civil war risks rise cause no one is happy in russia.
      Alternatively russians could realize that their marching towards the abyss and change course.
      Either way, we win but the later case would be better for all.

      • focusser

        I wouldn’t put my mortgage on the sheep changing course. Besides one or two opposition politicians, there is nobody who will tell Russians the truth.

        • Ihor Dawydiak

          They may not change course as long as a ruthless shepherd is present waving an ugly cane. However, do they actually need someone to tell them the truth? Does the truth not exist in their unpaid wages and what awaits them on their dinner plates?

          • focusser

            The biggest problem is that normal Russians, still believe all the Kremlin lies about the West at fault for all Russian problems. They do need someone to tell them the truth, but with the Kremlin controlling most of the media, it won’t be easy.

          • Ihor Dawydiak

            True enough although the word “normal” may not be appropriate for the average Russian citizen. After all, even with censorship of the mass media, how could it be possible for a relatively well educated population to not understand the extent of the war mongering and corruption that has continuously infected the leadership of their country or for that matter almost everyone around them. Perhaps this psychosis could be described as some hybrid form of the “Stockholm Syndrome”?

          • focusser

            100 years of having the government control everything you do, obviously has had an effect. This will take years to eradicate, they had a chance in the 90’s to become a civilized country, but they just can’t handle freedom. When I talk to older Soviets and they tell me how good everything was, and that we had everything. I just ask them, and what exactly did you have? I never get a reply.

    • AmounRah

      Or maybe you could focus on falling-apart-Ukraine?
      Or are you guys too distracted by the “big bad Russia” that you can’t see what’s happening under your noses?
      Because that was kind of the point by your new ex-US informant “president” and you are gobbling it up like there is no tomorrow. And when he finally leavs with Ukraine’s money in his pockets (he increased his net-worth what…like 10 fold in the first year? do correct me if I am off) and the pockets of his masters, Ukrainians will still not know what the heck happened.

      • Alex George

        I don’t follow your argument. The article is about Russia, is it not?

        Putin does appear to be bankrupting Russia. I can’t see that happening in Ukraine. And even if it did, why would that matter? The west has already bailed out Ukraine before and will do so again. The West is wealthy, Russia is poor.

  • zorbatheturk

    Putin is playing with toy submarines in his bathtub now.

    • Ihor Dawydiak

      And at least one of them lies in the bottom of his adjacent garbage can. It’s named, “The Kursk”.

  • Eolone

    Putin’s paranoia is increasing before the election. It’s shameful that children should be used for his end.

  • Brent

    The “Russian MIR”…giving rifles to young school girls….no wonder no other countries want to become part of Soviet 2.0

    • veth

      END OF RUSSIA NEARING: KIRILL

      The head of the Russian Orthodox church, Patriarch Kirill, said Monday that the end of the world is approaching, the state-run RIA Novosti news agency reports.

      Following a service at the Christ the Savior Cathedral in central Moscow, Kirill told congregants that the coming apocalypse “is already visible to the naked eye.”

      According to Kirill, society can unite to prevent the world from slipping into “the abyss of the end of history.”

      • Ihor Dawydiak

        For narcissists such as Kirill, the end of Kirill would also be the end of the world. Perhaps he has had a premonition about his own demise.

    • Tony

      Fast forward 20 years and some of those girls are in jail for killing people with guns, uncle vova taught them how. Meanwhile some of the other girls became victims of domestic violence, the “russian world”.

      • Ihor Dawydiak

        On the other hand, perhaps we should not presume too much. The glass house which the the Russians built may be shattered into many smaller pieces 20 years from now.

    • Микола Данчук

      Would this not be more reflective of the so called “banana republics” of africa and south america?
      Child soldiers as a desperate justification of inhumane indignities?
      How cheap has life become when you can’t afford to enjoy a childhood?

      • slavko

        Putin is putting into practice what terrorist organizations like Hamas has been doing… feeding kids weapons rather than nutritious food.

  • AmounRah

    “The big question is “why?””
    Is……..guys…..is that a serious question?

    Alright, let’s try this:
    Why do the States spend billions on military, when there is no threat against the country?

    Maybe because it wants to bolster it’s military?

    I am trying to figure out if this was a rhetorical question or just more propaganda…
    The whole article is “we dont know but maybe, but what if, and if that, and if this, but we still dont know BUT MAYBE”

    Get your heads out of the clouds…and from certain parts of your lower half.

    • focusser

      Name one country threatening to invade the Russia.

      • AmounRah

        Name one country threatening to invade the States?? O__o
        Logic is a two way street, man

        • focusser

          I can name a country that threatened to nuke the States. Also another country that threatened to nuke European countries too.

          • AmounRah

            Sounds great!
            I can name a country that DID nuke another, much, much, much smaller country, twice, killing hundreds of thousands of civilians intentionally, mutating the future generation and damaging the region as a whole. I did not know we are doing a d**k measuring contest.

            But that was not the question, was it.

            The question was:
            Name one country that is threatenING to invade the States.

          • Alex George

            Why are you trying to defend the fascist regime in Japan in WWII? Try reading the history of what happened back then. You may end up understanding why the atomic bombs were dropped.

            Look at the horror unleashed by that Japanese regime, mostly on its Asian neighbours. Then think about the same fascist values which are inherent in the Russian leadership today. The Russians have not unleashed the same horror on their neighbours as the Togo regime, I grant you, but the potential is there.

            As for the United States, it spends billions on its military because it can. It is a very wealthy nation, and it is a friend of many nations. When US forces deploy in eastern Europe, or in the Mediterranean, or in the Black Sea, or in the Middle East, or in the Pacific, its forces are welcomed by many nations.

            By contrast, look at who welcomes Russian forces. Mostly only other fascist regimes like North Korea, Iran and the Assad rump in Syria (which I note the Kremlin is now going to abandon)