Moscow analyst: Russia has made North Korea’s rocket program possible

North Korean missile Hwasong-10 (also known as BM-25 and Musudan)

North Korean missile Hwasong-10 (also known as BM-25 and Musudan) 

Analysis & Opinion, Russia

In two articles published online this week, Moscow analyst Aleksandr Nemets details the evidence many have assembled showing that Moscow is heavily involved in both the rocket program of North Korea and Pyongyang’s “aggressive plans” to use it against other countries (see “Зато они ‘делают’ ракеты” and “Системный подход“).

It is absolutely essential, he says, that South Korea, Japan and the United States understand that everything that is now brewing in the region is what Moscow or more precisely Putin wants” and not some rogue action by Kim Jong Un as many imagine.

In the first of these articles, Nemets traces the history of Russian deliveries of missiles to North Korea in recent decades and the ways in which, apparently with some Russian assistance, Pyongyang has modified them, and then offers three main conclusions:

First of all, he says, “the development of the relatively primitive ballistic rocket Hwasong-10, one that corresponds to the level of Soviet rockets of the 1960s, from the beginning in 1992 until the series of tests in 2016, lasted 24 years.” What the North Koreans came up with was “a copy of the Soviet R-27 rocket.”

Soviet R-27 (SS-N-6 Serb) SLBM and North Korean Hwasong-10 also known as BM-25 and Musudan (Image: Steven Zaloga, 2010)

Soviet R-27 (SS-N-6 Serb) SLBM and North Korean Hwasong-10 also known as BM-25 and Musudan (Image: Steven Zaloga, 2010)

In some ways, it was not even as good, but it is important to note that the Hwasong-10 does not contain anything original,” a pattern that speaks to ‘the low scientific-technical potential of North Korea,” Nemets argues.

Second, he continues, “even this primitive result would have been impossible without very intensive Russian assistance, especially in 2015-2016. Why did Moscow feel compelled to provide this? Obviously not for money … Beyond any doubt, Moscow’s goal was the infliction of maximum harm on America.”

North Korean missile launch with Kin Jong Un watching

And third, “the Hwasong-12 ballistic rocket, which was successfully tested in May 2017 and which has a range of more than 4000 kilometers and is capable of striking Guam and Alaska, is a much-improved version of the Hwasong-10, although it is based fundamentally on the very same technologies.”

Taken together, Nemets says, all this shows that

“it is absolutely excluded that the weak industrial and scientific-technical system of North Korea could have created the Hwasong-12 in any case so quickly. If the Russian share in the Hwasong-10 was conditionally more than 80 percent, then in the case of the Hwasong-12, it approached 100 percent.”

In the second article, the Moscow analyst broadens his focus in order to suggest that the timing of North Korea’s actions, its missile launches and threats in particular, reflects less a Pyongyang calendar than a Moscow one intended by Putin to do maximum harm to the United States.

Nemets argues that the North Korean actions happened precisely as Russian-American relations were deteriorating, when Moscow’s expectations for a new deal with Donald Trump were replaced by a recognition that Washington was going to take a hard line against Russia for its interference in American elections and its aggression in Ukraine.

Ukrainian officials have pointed to these links, but their words have been dismissed by many who believe that Kyiv is simply trying to blacken Russia’s reputation (and respond to Moscow’s claims that North Korea’s missiles came from Ukrainian factories) in order to win more support from the West, the Moscow analyst suggests.

But now a Russian official has implicitly made the connection between Moscow’s intentions and Pyongyang’s actions, Nemets says. Sergey Ryabkov, Russia’s representative to the United Nations, said that

“the government of the Russian federation had been forced to react to the additional dislocation of (powerful) American THAAD complexes in South Korea and Japan that are capable of intercepting ballistic rockets.”

Put in more normal language, the Moscow analyst says, this shows that “Moscow, infuriated by the fact that [North Korea’s] neighbors don’t approve [Pyongyang’s] nuclear and thermonuclear tests and the launch of rockets flying over the territory of Japan, was simply forced to do something.”

Related:

Edited by: A. N.

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  • Brent

    No surprise. Russia already supplies weapons to Hezzbollah, Iran, The Taliban, and the FSB willingly allowed many Russian Muslims to join ISIS, who Russia never took on in Syria

    • veth

      Putins peacekeepers plan for Donbass, gained zero support in UN-council, not even from China.

  • Ihor Dawydiak

    If Putin had lived as an adult in the age of Stalin, he would have presented himself as the ideal deviant for Russia’s NKVD. However, while initially useful in his role as a murdering henchman and scumbag, he too would have been executed at a later convenient date for being an overly zealous boot licking pederast and secretive khuilo.

    • ak47

      Hey hohol. Learn to spell your name correctly for a start. It is Igor not some dumb spoon head Ihor. Second of all it is the bankrupt and corrupt to the core non country okraina which has been selling the soviet area arsenal including rocket engines to the highest bidder – the fact openly stated by your masters.

  • Oknemfrod

    From very moment the Fatty started, all of a sudden, launching his garbage successfully, it was obvious to anyone but brain-dead who had make this technological “break-through” possible, as well as what was the purpose behind it. The fact that dwarf’s proxies have planted that fake story about the “Ukrainian trail” in NYT (which should have known better than to publish this garbage) is merely another confirmation of the same.

    • Tony

      Lets never forget NYT’s eternal shame in publishing the following and refusing to retract this lie:
      http://sovietholodomor.weebly.com/uploads/1/5/4/5/15453416/871866675.jpg

      As a matter of historical record, about 5 million died.

      So yea, no surprise that NYT has russian propagandists. Many news agencies hilariously have moscow stationed correspondents attempting to give “unbiased” views of what is happening in Ukraine because “russsia isnt there” despite the mountains of evidence by OSCE, videos, captured soldiers, captured equipment, admissions by top militants, MH-17 report regarding russian BUK, etc.

      • Oknemfrod

        But indeed.

  • zorbatheturk

    All roads lead to Moscow. The Kremlin is ground zero of worldwide evil.

  • Screwdriver

    North Korea’s Missile Success Is Linked to Ukrainian Plant, Investigators Say
    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/14/world/asia/north-korea-missiles-ukraine-factory.html

    • slavko

      Moscow analyst Alexandr Nemets says Russia provided the missile technology to North Korea and he details the evidence.

      • Screwdriver

        Why should we believe some muskovy katsap, instead of the NEW YORK TIMES ?

        • slavko

          NYT article omits details of original interview with the researcher behind the report. In that original report there are statements by the researcher that claims that he really doesn’t know if the rocket engines came from Ukraine into NK. He also said that Russia also possesses those engines as they are a Russian designed engine. And the Russia may have shipped them to NK.
          Btw., New ferry links Russia and North Korea. Apparently they have very close relations with much to share!

      • zorbatheturk

        North Korea has been a RuSSian puppet from the get-go.