Declining birthrates among Russians accelerating demographic decline, Rosstat figures show

The grave digger wearing a t-shirt of Russia's ruling party "United Russia." (Image: social media)

The grave digger wearing a t-shirt of Russia's ruling party "United Russia." (Image: social media) 

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Rosstat, the Russian government’s statistics agency, reports that during the first four months of 2017, Russians gave birth to almost 70,000 fewer children than they did in the comparable period a year earlier, a decline that wiped out all gains from declines in mortality rates and put Russia on course to lose more than 280,000 people in 2017.

And that happened even though marriages increased in number relative to population while divorces declined slightly (gks.ru and newsland.com), and means that Russia’s demographic decline is accelerating again.

Especially hard hit are predominantly ethnic Russian regions where the declines in the first three months were greatest, amounting to some 114,000.

That was partially compensated for by increases in predominantly Muslim regions, and as a result, the total decline for this period was only 93,000. But the ethnic mix of the country continues to change against the Russians.

All of this was predicted by demographers. What Russia is going through now, they say, is “the second wave of the demographic collapse of 1992-2000.”

Low birthrates then mean that there is simply no new group of women in the prime child-bearing cohort to give birth. And that pattern will feed on itself, reducing each new generation in turn.

As a result, many regions and especially predominantly Russian ones will suffer from depopulation or from an increase in the number of pensioners to the extent life expectancies increase. But there will be no one to replace them as workers or to support them after they take retirement.

What makes this situation especially difficult is that Vladimir Putin and his regime are almost in complete denial, especially after the three years in which there was a slight uptick in the number of births and in which births did exceed deaths. But that period is now ending as all serious demographers predicted it would.

And what is worse is that Putin’s “optimization” programs – a euphemism for cutbacks in medical care and social services – almost certainly means that there will be ever fewer live births, higher infant mortality, and a much slower growth in life expectancies than would have been the case otherwise.


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Edited by: A. N.

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Comments

  1. Avatar zorbatheturk says:

    Dirty Harry famously said Make My Day. This story just did!

    1. Avatar veth says:

      We note that the propaganda site “Events of the Crimea” reported that, according to official data, the volume of exports of goods from Crimea in 2016 was $ 47.65 million. In turn, the website of the State Statistics Committee of Ukraine stated that in 2013 the volume of exports of goods From the Crimea was $ 904.9 million, that is, 19 times more.

      Earlier, QHA reported that retail prices for fruits and vegetables in the occupied Crimea are several times higher than in the rest of Ukraine.

      1. Avatar Eddy Verhaeghe says:

        In other words the GDP of the Crimea is in freefall… And the RF will have to pick up the tab… You break it, you pay for it under international law. Ordinary Russian will come to regret ‘Krymnash’.

  2. Avatar Oknemfrod says:

    Way to go.

  3. Avatar Andrew Chmile says:

    GOD IS JUST!!!

    PRAISE GOD!!!

  4. Avatar Ihor Dawydiak says:

    In the very few affluent countries of the world, the birth rate has been declining but there are still modest increases. However, in Russia those very few who are affluent are too greedy or are too busy in stealing money to bother with having children. As for the rest, too many of them are far too busy with trying to make ends meet (including time spent rummaging through garbage containers) and cannot afford to have children. So how can Vovochka the Midget resolve this numerical epidemic where Muslims such as Killer Kadyrov of Chechnya will soon outnumber them? Hmmm. Perhaps Russia’s Grand Pederast (with the help of Kirill the Unholy’s propaganda machine) might offer incredible savings on “condoms” (along with a guarantee for three or four uses with a picture of Putin’s Man Breasts on them) with super secret sneaky leaks included. And who knows, maybe Russia’s wannabe Kublai Khan could make a few rubbles and export the children makers to his Pompous Porker friend Kim Jong Un of North Korea where both will soon be in a dire need of slave labor.