Moscow keeping LNR and DNR from going to war — against each other, Mitrokhin says

Ihor Plotnitsky and Oleksandr Zakharchenko, the heads of the Russian puppet administrations in the occupied territories of Luhansk and Donetsk oblast, so-called "LNR" and "DNR," some time before the Plotnitsky assassination attempt (Image: TASS)

Ihor Plotnitsky and Oleksandr Zakharchenko, the heads of the Russian puppet administrations in the occupied territories of Luhansk and Donetsk oblast, so-called "LNR" and "DNR," some time before the Plotnitsky assassination attempt (Image: TASS) 

2016/08/26 • Analysis & Opinion, Politics, Ukraine

Moscow may or may not use the “LNR” or “DNR” to renew its aggression against Ukraine, but it now faces the challenge of preventing the two from going to war against each other, one it can meet, but that by itself highlights the weakness of the Novorossiya project, Nikolay Mitrokhin says.

Nikolay Mitrokhin

Nikolay Mitrokhin

A recent series of attacks on and murders of leaders of the Moscow puppet formations “DNR” and “LNR” in the deep rear of areas under control by them, FSB and Russian military personnel raises the question as to who is responsible, the Russian analyst at the University of Bremen says.

Officials and the media in these Russian-controlled areas in each case sought to lay the blame for these attacks on Ukrainian “diversionists.” But Mitrokhin suggests that only “naïve local residents and those who watch Russian television” can possibly accept that version of events.

It has been clear for some time, he says, that the leaders of the two entities have anything but good relations, with supporters of the one attacking the leader of the others as a Jew and complaining about the problems that the other entity is causing for theirs because “the larger and economically developed ‘DNR’ depends on the smaller and weaker ‘LNR.’”

For the “DNR,” the shortest route to the Russian Federation lies through the “LNR,” something the “LNR” recognizes and exploits by having established “not a nominal but a completely real border with “its own tariffs, taxes and other” fees to the detriment of the economic and political interests of the “DNR.”

“Not only ordinary residents of the ‘DNR’ but also its wealthy business owners are suffering from this,” Mitrokhin says, and they are angry about what the “LNR” is doing. One of them, Aleksandr Zakharchenko, may hope to lead a combined “LDNR” in the future given the fact that the Minsk Accords have collapsed. That gives him another reason to attack the “LNR.”

However that may be, the Bremen-based Russian analyst says, “there are people on the territory which Zakharchenko controls who specialize in a certain method of murder.” And it is thus no surprise that “LNR” leaders are increasing their personal security arrangements not so much to fend off Ukrainian “diversionists” as to fight “DNR” and Zakharchenko’s agents.

Mitrokhin says that in his view, “there is no reason to expect a serious war between the ‘DNR’ and the ‘LNR.’ Both ‘the army’ and other force structures in these ‘republics’ is fully or to a significant degree under the control of Russian curators.” But that doesn’t mean that it can stamp out all the conflict between the “DNR” and the “LNR.”

The leaders of the two have “the possibility either to settle accounts by economic means … or by sending in hired killers.” That doesn’t bode well for Moscow’s project, but it may also threaten Ukraine because Moscow may decide that the only way to deal with these conflicts is to give the two “republics” a new common cause – the resumption of aggression against Kyiv.


Related:

 

Edited by: A. N.

Tags: , , , , , ,

  • Dirk Smith

    The civilized world applauds future conflicts between third-world ruSSia’s fat drunken subhuman lumpenproletariat.

  • Ben Skinner

    I was wondering how long it would take Zakharchenko to “acquire” the Luhansk. He should do it, before Putin knows what’s happened. Do it quickly, do it precisely, and then integrate the two as smoothly as you can. Do not abide civilian deaths, keep the fight aimed solely at the enemy.
    Really, you should try it, Aleksandr. You claimed your flag is holy for all of your people, bring them together under it, then. Stop paying bribes to the weasels.

    • Quartermaster

      Zakharchenko is a weasel.

      • Ben Skinner

        Shhh… lets not discourage him, now. 😉

  • Wojciech Krysztofiak

    http://pl.blastingnews.com/swiat/2016/08/putin-oglasza-manewry-wojsk-zas-niemcy-chca-przywrocic-obowiazek-sluzby-wojskowej-001082397.html Niemiecka kanclerz w ostatnich dniach sierpnia pielgrzymuje do wszystkich stolic państw Grupy Wyszehradzkiej. 26.08.2016 roku spotka się z premier Szydło. Czy niemieccy politycy chcą lojalnie uprzedzić swoich natowskich sojuszników o ich „desinteressement” na wypadek napaści Rosji na Ukrainę? Czy polski rząd postawi Angeli Merkel pytanie o zachowanie niemieckiego rządu w razie wojny Rosji z Ukrainą?

    • Oknemfrod

      Bardzo dobre pytania. Ostatnio, Merkel została rozmawiać tak, jakby była nieugięty o ochronie członków NATO. Jednak wszystkie że hałas może być tylko pustymi słowami. Jeśli historia uczy czegokolwiek, pytanie, czy Niemcy zamierzają chować się za Polską, jest więcej niż poprawne. Szydło musiała to zrozumieć dobrze i zadać odpowiednie pytania. Nie wiem, czy zrobiła to rzeczywiście.

      • Geralt von Riva

        until now we never let our allies alone. in ww1 we helped austria.
        actually we help france in syria. and if it is necessary to defend poland we will come.

        ukraine actually is defended by ALL in the same way. -> none.
        many greetings to mr obama^^

        • Alex George

          Russia only stabs its allies in the back, or abandons them. The Kremlin is always unreliable.

  • zorbatheturk

    Funny how Putin puppets all look like B-grade Frankenstein doubles from a bad 50s horror flick. I’m guessing they don’t wear Calvin Klein underpants.