
In an interview with Kseniya Kirillova posted on Krymr.com, the Israeli rabbi and analyst approaches this issue with great caution, indicating what is known and what is only suspected because the Russian government has done little or nothing to dispel the suspicions its actions have generated.
“Radical Islamism began with the invasion of the USSR into Afghanistan,” the Israeli analyst says. “All the more radical Islamists including Ben Laden came out of the struggle with the Soviet Union. The second push to the growth of radicalism was given by the invasion of Russia into Chechnya.” In both cases, the Islamists saw Moscow as the enemy.
Yet another facto which “does not speak in Russia’s favor,” Shmulyevich continues, is that it is precisely the country “which stands at the origins of Arab terrorism;” and “all those method which Islamist terrorists use now, including the seizure of planes and suicide bombers were developed by the KGB and its satellites” in Soviet times. Despite that, he says, he is “not inclined to consider that Putin stands behind the Paris terrorist attacks and supposes that they were completely organized by ISIS itself. However, “the Russian leader used the tragedy in his own interests to the maximum extent possible” and is seeking “to convince the West that Russia has become a reliable ally in the struggle with terrorism.” The Kremlin leader is having success in that regard, especially since he appears to have accepted the idea that his ally Assad will have to leave office. But that will create problems for him: he will have to assume the difficult task of providing security in the region. At the same time, if he gets bases there, he will have achieved a longstanding Russian dream. And “it is possible,” Shmulyevich continues, that the price for all this that Putin will extract from the West is Ukraine. Already it appears that “unfortunately” the West is moving in the direction on Ukraine that Moscow wants, and that risk “will increase with each new ISIS terror attack.”At present, Shmulyevich continues, “we can reliably assert only that Russia extended its hand toward the creation of ISIS” and “undoubtedly has some levers of influence” on the group. But that alone does not mean that Moscow necessarily is behind any particular action of the Islamic State.