Is Putin about to use Sinai plane disaster as he did apartment bombings in 1999?

Rescuers digging for survivors after bombing of an apartment building on Kashira Road in Moscow, Russia, 13 September 1999. This and other similar terror acts in Russia were used by Putin to start another war in Chechnya. According to former FSB officer Alexander Litvinenko murdered by his former FSB colleagues in London and other experts, the FSB conducted the bombings on Putin's orders to boost his election chances. (Image: Wikipedia)

Rescuers digging for survivors after bombing of an apartment building on Kashira Road in Moscow, Russia, 13 September 1999. This and other similar terror acts in Russia were used by Putin to start another war in Chechnya. According to former FSB officer Alexander Litvinenko murdered by his former FSB colleagues in London and other experts, the FSB conducted the bombings on Putin's orders to boost his election chances. (Image: Wikipedia) 

2015/11/05 • Russia

Andrey Illarionov, Russian economist and former economic policy advisor to the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin. Currently, a senior fellow in the Center for Global Liberty and Prosperity at the Cato Institute in Washington, DC (Image: Voice of America)

Andrey Illarionov, Russian economist and former economic policy advisor to the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin. Currently, a senior fellow in the Center for Global Liberty and Prosperity at the Cato Institute in Washington, DC (Image: Voice of America)

Andrey Illarionov says that recent statements by Vladimir Putin suggest that the Kremlin leader may be about to exploit the crash of the Russian plane in Sinai in much the same way that he did the apartment bombings in 1999, to unify Russian society behind even harsher measures against “terrorists.”

The Russian analyst points to statements by Putin and other Russian officials in the last several days which suggest that the Kremlin plans on identifying some group as being responsible for the downing of the plane, mobilizing Russian public opinion against that group, and then launching an attack on it.

Apartment bombing in Volgodonsk, Russia, 16 September 1999 (Image: Wikipedia)

Apartment bombing in Volgodonsk, Russia, 16 September 1999 (Image: Wikipedia)

And he asks, “Does this not remind everyone of the play, ‘The Beginning of the Second Chechen War in August-September 1999’ in three acts?”

  • In the first, the situation is as follows: “the latest war in the Caucasus/Middle East is becoming unpopular in Russian society.”
  • In the second, “terrorist acts take place in Russian cities/with a Russian jet, in which hundreds of innocent people die.”
  • And in the third act, Illarionov concludes, “Russian society is frightened and unwillingly supports the harsh measures of the authorities in putting down the Chechen/and defeat of Islamist ‘terrorists.’”

What Illarionov does not say but what will certainly be on the minds of many who read his post is something truly frightening: Many have concluded that Putin not only exploited the 1999 bombings but was in some way involved in their organization. Thus, any suggested parallel is inevitably politically explosive.

[For the most detailed discussion of what happened in 1999, see John Dunlop’s The Moscow Bombings of September 1999: Examinations of Russian Terrorist Attacks at the Onset of Vladimir Putin’s Rule (Ibidem, 2014).]

Edited by: A. N.

Tags: , , ,

  • Dagwood Bumstead

    So far there’s no 100% proof that the aircraft WAS brought down by a bomb, though it has not been ruled out either. If it WAS brought down by a bomb, then IS is a likely suspect- indeed, it has already claimed responsibility.
    I do not rule out the demented dwarf blowing up the aircraft- he’s ruthless enough as not only the apartment bombings but also the way in which he dealt with the Beslan and Nord-Ost hostage crises show- but then the question is: to what purpose? Dwarfstan has no border with Syria, unlike Chechnya. And sending Dwarfstanian troops to Egypt to root out the Sinai branch of IS is not on; I doubt whether Egypt would permit Dwarfstan’s troops frolicking on its territory.
    The dwarf will certainly try to stir up enthusiasm in Dwarfstan for a full-scale Dwarfstan involvement in Syria. There was little enthusiasm for the war against Kyiv, and even less for involvement in Syria. But he needs some show of support to send in more troops to prop up Assad. If he didn’t order bombing of the plane himself then the IS bombing- if it was a bombing- occurred at a most convenient moment for him. Coincidence????
    If the dwarf does send more troops to Syria it will be to Kyiv’s advantage. The more troops and material- tanks, artillery, aircraft- get sucked there in the better. And it’s better yet when Dwarfstan’s tanks get brewed up, aircraft get shot down, and “volunteers” return as Gruz 200 or Gruz 300.

    • Igor Z

      Gruz 2,000

    • miguel

      We have seen that the height challenged criminal will use guile and wiley maneuvers to complete his goals and does it with flagrant violations of international law, just because it is in his best interest.
      So on that basis, I present that if it was a bomb planted by vova’s planning, he must have had a particular reason for it.
      This reaches into the realm of conspiracy theory, but sometimes conspiracy theories do play out to be true.
      My thoughts bare in mind that the Mistrals went to Egypt. RF did a lot of planning for these two ships and money involved in manufacturing the helicopters etc. So besides the 2 billion dollar price tag, I would imagine time and treasure from the RF coffers probably equated to closer to 10-20 Billion dollar mark. That is a LOT of money, even for vova. The 2 billion is a good amount, but something he would be willing to let pass, the 10-20 billion would not be, plus the troops training, time in planning, etc.

      So my scenario basically comes down to him gambling on a court case coming up and RF government not being able to be implicated by the investigators and the courts.
      They set up ISIL as a fallguy with the little video, and everyone hates ISIL and many understand that many of the ISIL fighters are from the RF and that FSB and ISIL play in the same sandbox from time to time.
      Egypt is found guilty of not protecting its skies and other played up things that would be a detriment to its tourism trade.
      vova makes an offer of trading the Mistrals for Egypt not receiving bad press from Kremlin sponsored media and the enormous lawsuits and court trial costs.

      There are a lot of questions around four aircraft disasters near or involving Russia and a lot of obfuscation from the Kremlin and the investigators. The Russian MoD has been caught lying and so has the BUK manufacturer A – A.

      You have SibirAir1812 – still disputed to the actual cause.
      The Polish Presidents plane – still has a lot of controversy around it.
      MH17 – has been pretty much determined to be a Kremlin sanctioned operation, but they still deny the possibility even though they have the means to know exactly what happened – Kremlin sponsored and controlled media continues to proliferate multiple scenarios all proven false.
      And now the Sinia disaster.

      Anyways, I am not saying it did happen this way, but it is a possible conclusion of what will happen if it was a bomb, either ISIL placed or FSB placed.
      And vova having the Mistrals is not a good thing for anyone in the world, especially Ukraine right now.

      I still give the most likely scenario as a faulty repair (or inspections of the repair) from a tail strike many years ago, so I still give the Kremlin the benefit of the doubt. Which will cost RF a lot of money to revamp its Airplane supply and will give a bad reputation to Russian air carriers for many years to come.
      However the possibility of a explosion (flammable or non flammable) in the tail area of the plane is becoming an increasing possibility as more and more investigators look into it.

      My condolences to all the families that lost loved ones on this flight, I do hope the true cause of this disaster is brought to light for the healing to begin.

      Hold up hope for the investigators to determine it, and hopefully there will not be controversy with this disaster.
      Although with RF past experience of involvement in investigations does not show high hopes of avoiding controversy.

      • Dagwood Bumstead

        Dwarfstan has now cancelled ALL flights to Egypt, not only Sharm, so apparently Moscow now considers a bomb the most likely scenario rather than structural failure.
        This now leaves thousands of Dwarfstan tourists stranded, and how will they be brought back home? If aircraft to Egypt are out, that leaves ships, possibly from Sharm to Eilat or Aqaba, then by road to Tel Aviv or Amman, finally flying home to destinations in Dwarfstan. The alternative is sea travel from Sharm to Dwarfstan, but I don’t know whether Dwarfstan can arrange this at short notice as all its naval transports and some civilian Ro-Ro ferries are already fully occupied with supplying arms and ammo to Syria. However the dwarf solves this, it will cost $$$, which are already running low.