ISW says it can’t confirm Russia’s alleged destruction of Ukrainian Patriot system
Russia claimed to have destroyed a US-supplied Patriot air defense system in eastern Ukraine, but ISW has not confirmed this yet.
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ISW
169 posts
ISW: Russia constructing 30-km wall of train cars in occupied Donetsk Oblast
The so-called "tsar train" may serve for the Russian military as a defensive line against future Ukrainian assaults, according to the ISW.
ISW: Ukrainian forces advanced near Bakhmut
Fierce fighting rages on in partially Russian-occupied Donetsk Oblast, as Moscow seeks to fully capture the eastern Ukrainian region.
ISW: Russia expands its military presence and influence in Africa
Formal basing agreements and sanctioned operations suggest these efforts would likely last for years, ISW reported.
ISW: Ukraine bypasses Russian air defenses in Russia-occupied Crimea
Ukraine's multiple successful strikes on Russian military targets across Russian-occupied Crimea demonstrated Ukraine's growing ability to penetrate Russian defenses. The strikes aimed to degrade the Russian military’s ability to use Crimea as a base for further offensive operations in southern Ukraine
ISW: Putin aims to convince West to betray Ukraine through negotiations
Putin is deliberately framing the war in Ukraine as "a struggle" between Russia and the West rather than between Russia and Ukraine, to convince the West to betray Ukraine through negotiations
ISW: Russia officially deploys Ukrainian POWs to front lines
Ukrainian prisoners of war are being forced into combat roles against their own country by Russia, which violates international law
ISW: Russia employing fewer glide bombs due to worries about Ukrainian air defenses
In the last few days, Russia lost five bombers in southern Ukraine.
ISW: Continued Western assistance only way to make Russia fail in war against Ukraine
CNN recently reported that Ukraine aid package continues to stall in the US Congress. Without US resupplies, Ukraine may exhaust its stock of weapons, which are vital in naval defense, protecting infrastructure, and stopping Russian ground vehicles and aircraft.
ISW: Russia makes marginal gains near Avdiivka
Over the past several days, Ukrainian defenders repelled over 70 Russian attacks near Avdiivka, where fighting has emerged as some of the most intense since Russia launched its full-scale invasion.
ISW: Russia likely presses attack to prompt aid debates in West
Russia lost 87% of its pre-war ground forces but continues partial mobilization efforts to sustain its eastern Ukraine offensive, which US intelligence believes is meant to erode Western backing for Ukraine.
ISW: Russian forces take minor gains near Avdiivka
Geolocated footage showed Russian military “marginally advanced in the industrial zone southeast of Avdiivka,” ISW said.
ISW: Ukrainian forces advance in Dnipro’s eastern bank and in the south while Russians advance near Avdiyivka
According to the latest ISW war assessment, both Ukrainian and Russian armies conducted their offensive campaigns on 17-18 November 2023 with minor advances on both sides.
ISW: Ukraine prepares for ground operations on east bank of Dnipro River
Ukrainian forces have created several bridgeheads on the east bank of the river in the Kherson Oblast, which could serve as a base for continuing the attack against Russian defenses.
ISW: Ukraine increases attacks on Russian logistics and rear areas
ISW confirmed it with the recent Ukrainian partisans’ attack on a Russian military headquarters in occupied Melitopol; on a former Luhansk People’s Republic (LNR) People’s Militia head; on a Russian military base in occupied Skadovsk etc.
ISW: Equipment losses forcing Russia’s hand in infantry tactics
Russian forces likely rely on infantry-led frontal assaults to compensate for a lack of adequately trained personnel and due to widespread equipment losses.
ISW: No signs Russia ready for good faith Ukraine peace talks
Pressure on Ukraine to negotiate an end to the war will likely remain meaningless if not harmful as long as Putin believes that he can achieve his objectives on the battlefield, an ISW assessment reports.
ISW: Russia may force Ukrainian prisoners of war to fight in Ukraine
Such Russian actions violate the Geneva Convention on Prisoners of War, which ban forcing prisoners into battle
ISW: Avdiivka losses create long-term crisis for Russian military
The scale of Russian equipment destruction around Avdiivka appears greater than at Vuhledar last winter and spring. Those losses prevented sustained Russian offensives elsewhere.
ISW: Russia deploys cheaper domestic drones alongside Shaheds to evade Ukrainian defenses
Russia aims to maximize impact on critical targets in a such way, as new Italmas drones can evade defences and strike targets the Shaheds can't reach.