The next phase of the Hybrid War, or why Russia is unlikely to invade Ukraine
European security has greatly deteriorated in the last months. Europe is experiencing a Russian-induced energy and migration crisis.…
NATO’s defining moment is now or never
While NATO is not obliged to defend Ukraine, it is committed to defending itself. That responsibility just happens…
The possible invasion is not the real issue. Russia’s new wave of destabilization needs a three-dimensional approach
Ukraine, NATO, and the EU are once again concerned that the ongoing Russian military build-up near Ukraine might…
Putin’s offer to “stop NATO expansion”: the reason behind Russia’s month of aggression
Just as the meeting of NATO Ministers of Foreign Affairs is drawing to an end, the Russian Federation…
Russia’s Hybrid War against Ukraine intensifies while military conflict remains low-intensity
In a hybrid war, the main battlespace is the cognitive spaces of populations and key decision- and policy…
Why Ukraine does not (yet) “deserve” NATO membership
Despite the title of the article, I strongly support a future NATO membership for Ukraine. It is probably…
Hybrid War in Ukraine and Belarus: same thing and potentially same disastrous outcome
Calling for dialogue, the Belarus opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanovskaya has stressed that "the revolution in Belarus is not…
Ukraine’s new National Security Strategy: Russia as the aggressor, full NATO membership, and a few drawbacks
Ukraine has still not established a common conceptual understanding or a common terminology. The disparity between the physical…
Zelenskyy is solving the wrong war
The real or imaginary threat President Zelenskyy has repeatedly reiterated his electoral promise to end the war. The…
What if Russia wins in Ukraine? Consequences of Hybrid War for Europe (Part 2)
In part one, I conceptualized the Hybrid War. I argued that it is a long term strategy, aimed…
Urging to reconsider Russia sanctions: peace at the cost of European integrity
The International Crisis Group (ICG) recently published the report “Peace in Ukraine I: A European War” which recommends…
While nobody is watching, COVID-19 may allow Russia to crush Ukraine
In an article published in March, I conceptualized the Hybrid War, highlighting its two crucial elements: Hybrid War…
What if? Hybrid War and consequences for Europe (part 1)
Ukraine is in the process of adopting a new National Security Strategy of Ukraine called "Security of a…
The basis for a peaceful resolution of the war in eastern Ukraine – trends at the end of 2019
As we try to predict the future, second-guessing what’s is taking place inside the head of President Putin,…